Thanks for the thoughts guys..Appreciate hearing thoughts on this one..
Here are mine, Rams actually moved the ball well against Minny, had the ball inside the 10 four times~!! they only have one way to go and thats up..
If I have all this doubt I probably should just leave it alone but something tells me Rams almost win this one.
Here are mine, Rams actually moved the ball well against Minny, had the ball inside the 10 four times~!! they only have one way to go and thats up..
If I have all this doubt I probably should just leave it alone but something tells me Rams almost win this one.
Cleveland and Detroit also moved the ball pretty well on Minny. Minny was'nt coming off 41-0 shutout in that game either. JAX has the talent and motivational edge in this game.
History says there's hope for Vikings, Niners after shutout losses
By Pat Kirwan | NFL.com
I spent most of Tuesday talking with NFL players and coaches who are dealing with the task of rebounding from a shutout loss in Week 10 (Vikings and 49ers) or reacting to a rematch game they just had and the new NFL memo warning teams that ejections are a possibility for flagrant helmet-to-helmet contact.
The NFL game is like no other brand of football played. Shutouts have a much different affect at this level on losing teams than you might imagine. Rematch games are a lot tougher on teams that won the first game than you might imagine. And coaches and players wonder if there is a better way to handle the dangerous helmet-to-helmet collisions that need to be reduced.
Jonathan Daniel / Getty Images
Cedric Griffin and the Vikings can take solace in knowing that many teams coming off shutout losses have been able to quickly bounce back.
The shutout effect
Is there any lower feeling for an NFL player and coach than to be shut out by an opponent? It doesn't get much worse than when a 53-man roster with close to $100 million in salaries can't cross the goal line once in 60 minutes of action. This has been a fairly quiet year for shutouts, with three so far as compared to 14 in 2006. I went back to 2002 and looked at all the shutouts in the NFL. In the last 1,424 regular-season games, there have been 35 shutouts, or 2 percent of all the games.
Early this season, the Seahawks were blanked by the Steelers 21-0, and until this past weekend, every other team found a way to score points. Week 10 saw the Niners get shut out by the Seahawks on Monday Night Football and the Vikings get blanked by the Packers. The question is what happens to teams the week after a shutout? As Vikings coach Brad Childress said to me, "In NFL football, the worst performances can be followed by the best performance."
Might sound like coach talk to some, but Childress may have a point. Last year, the New York Jets and 49ers both lost a game 41-0 and won the next week. The Bengals bounced back from a 30-0 beating and won, and the Steelers got blanked 27-0 and defeated the next opponent.
In the last six seasons, the league's worst shutout was a 49-0 loss by Arizona to Kansas City in Week 10 of the 2002 season. The Cardinals pulled it together seven days later and beat Detroit 23-20. Of the 32 teams shut out from 2002-06, the record the following week is 16-16. In the past six seasons, 22 of the league's 32 teams have experienced the bad side of a shutout at least once, and now the Vikings and 49ers have at least a good chance of bouncing back. Don't be shocked to see either team win this week, and by the way, no team in the last six years has been shut out twice in a row.
Last year, I wrote an article titled: Donuts To Doughnuts midway through the NFL season. So with two weeks of play already in the books, I figured I’d update this article to include the seasonal numbers from 2007.
Here is the updated version of my Donuts To Doughnuts article:
There’s one thing you don’t see too often in the NFL…shutouts.
But when they happen, we can use them to our advantage and make a few bucks by using my Donuts To Doughnuts strategy.
Shutouts are not that common. And when an NFL team puts-up zero points in a game, they usually bounce back with a good performance. Because the talent level of all NFL teams is so close, a good spot to play-on a team is when they come off a shutout loss.
Over the last 5 years, there have been a total of 1,280 NFL games played. There have been a total of 41 games in which one team was held scoreless. So that averages out to just 8.2 times per year and about 3.2% of all games played. A rare occurrence indeed.
NFL teams off a shutout loss are just 20-21 straight-up in their next game since 2003. But, if you played any NFL team in their next game after a shutout loss, you would have gone 22-18-1 against the spread for a decent 55% winning angle over the last 5 years.
A very simple money maker that requires no handicapping at all.
Let’s break it down to see if there is a situation that works better than another.
Overall Underdog: 6-14 SU, 10-10 ATS
Overall Favorite: 14-7 SU, 12-8-1 ATS
Overall Home: 15-15 SU, 16-13-1 ATS
Overall Road: 4-7 SU, 6-5 ATS
Home Favorite: 13-6 SU, 11-7-1 ATS
Home Underdog: 3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS
Road Favorite: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Road Underdog: 3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS
According to the above numbers, the best way to utilize this Donuts To Doughnuts strategy is to play-on NFL home favorites off a shutout loss. Teams in this situation have gone 13-6 straight-up and 11-7-1 against the spread. They win by an average margin of 11.6 points per game.
Bulger will be starting so Kyle "the turn over" Boller will be on the bench
I'M ON THE JAGS...WHEN YOU SEE A TEAM COMING OFF A SHUTOUT "GIVING 9 PTS" , THE BOOKS ARE BEGGING YOU TO TAKE THE DOG..
JACKSONVILLE SHOULDN'T BE A 9 PT FAV OVER THE UNIVERSITY OF FOLRIDA!!!!!!
2 KEY THOUGHTS.
1) THE LAMBS HAVE BEEN SHUTOUT EVERY OTHER WEEK..THIS IS THAT WEEK..
2) THE RAMS OFFENSE AND SPECIAL TEAMS HAVE PROBABLY GIVEN UP AS MANY POINTS AS THEY HAVE SCORED..IF NOT MORE
I EXPECT STEVEN JACKSON TO GET BOGGED DOWN IN THE SWAMP
THE FACT THAT YOU CAN'T PULL THE TRIGGER SHOWS THAT YOU STILL HAVE SOME BRAIN CELLS LEFT.............
PERHAPS HOWEVER THE FACT THAT YOU CONSIDERED IT MEANS NOT MANY
GOOD LUCK WITH YOUR SELECTIONS. YOU'RE CERTAINLY ONE OF THE MOST INTERESTING CAPPERS HERE:toast::lol:
JACKSONVILLE SHOULDN'T BE A 9 PT FAV OVER THE UNIVERSITY OF FOLRIDA!!!!!!
2 KEY THOUGHTS.
1) THE LAMBS HAVE BEEN SHUTOUT EVERY OTHER WEEK..THIS IS THAT WEEK..
2) THE RAMS OFFENSE AND SPECIAL TEAMS HAVE PROBABLY GIVEN UP AS MANY POINTS AS THEY HAVE SCORED..IF NOT MORE
I EXPECT STEVEN JACKSON TO GET BOGGED DOWN IN THE SWAMP
THE FACT THAT YOU CAN'T PULL THE TRIGGER SHOWS THAT YOU STILL HAVE SOME BRAIN CELLS LEFT.............
PERHAPS HOWEVER THE FACT THAT YOU CONSIDERED IT MEANS NOT MANY
GOOD LUCK WITH YOUR SELECTIONS. YOU'RE CERTAINLY ONE OF THE MOST INTERESTING CAPPERS HERE:toast::lol:
Rams +10 os one of my 5 plays this week. Why....because they were able to drive it 4-5 times down the field deep into the vikings redzone. All be it boller tossed 3 to oppsing team and jackson fumbled on the 5. When I belive a team has a chance to win and I see dd spread its a no brainer in the nfl.
Bulger is a good not great qb and with a decent game and the way 39's running ill take em.
To those idiots that say the rams are due...Im due to win the lottery so what wtf.
Just my 2 cents. BOL Fellas
Bulger is a good not great qb and with a decent game and the way 39's running ill take em.
To those idiots that say the rams are due...Im due to win the lottery so what wtf.
Just my 2 cents. BOL Fellas
