RCP's poll of polls at this moment

[Willie99]

Most seem to have it consistently between 4 & 6 % recently. Two other observations.

Look at the difference in the polls that provide traditional and expanded polling data in the two surveys that provide such. I find it hard to believe that people who have never voted before are going to create a 3 to 4 point swing in the numbers. That requires a suspension of disbelief. That spread as dwindled today, it was 6.

And, look at what assholes CBS, the NYT and the LA Time are. What fucking laughing stocks they are.



Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>MoE</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>10/10 - 10/17</td><td>--</td><td>--</td><td>49.7</td><td>42.9</td><td class="spread">Obama +6.8</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen Reports</td><td>10/15 - 10/17</td><td>3000 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>50</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby</td><td>10/15 - 10/17</td><td>1210 LV</td><td>2.9</td><td>48</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Hotline/FD</td><td>10/14 - 10/16</td><td>804 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>50</td><td>40</td><td class="spread">Obama +10</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Gallup (Traditional)*</td><td>10/14 - 10/16</td><td>2155 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>49</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +2</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Gallup (Expanded)*</td><td>10/14 - 10/16</td><td>2314 LV</td><td>2.0</td><td>51</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">GWU/Battleground</td><td>10/12 - 10/16</td><td>800 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>49</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">IBD/TIPP</td><td>10/12 - 10/16</td><td>1020 LV</td><td>3.5</td><td>46</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">LA Times/Bloomberg</td><td>10/10 - 10/13</td><td>1030 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>50</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">CBS News/NY Times</td><td>10/10 - 10/13</td><td>699 LV</td><td>--</td><td>53</td><td>39</td><td class="spread">Obama +14</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">USA Today/Gallup (Traditional)*</td><td>10/10 - 10/12</td><td>761 LV</td><td>4.0</td><td>50</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">USA Today/Gallup (Expanded)*</td><td>10/10 - 10/12</td><td>1030 LV</td><td>3.0</td><td>52</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[D2bets]

Sharp people are not paying much attention to the top line of national polls. Look underneath and look at state polls. Tell me exactly what you see as McCain's path to victory.

 

[Willie99]

Sharp people are not paying much attention to the top line of national polls. Look underneath and look at state polls. Tell me exactly what you see as McCain's path to victory.

Sharp people know the state polls, especially in the swing states, are closer than the national polls. His path to victory hasn't changed.

 

[D2bets]

Sharp people know the state polls, especially in the swing states, are closer than the national polls. His path to victory hasn't changed.

And what is it? Be specific.

 

[fletchisrhsm]

Sharp people are not voting for either of these two so who gives a shit? If your sharp, you dont give a shit. If your voting for one of these your the typical bovine American brainwashed idiot who needs to shut the fuck up. Ok, that about sums up these polls.

:nohead:

 

[gtc08]

he has no path to victory. he isnt going to knock off any obama states and he's getting pounded in virginia.

mccain has to win an 8 team parlay in gambling terms, with 6 of the 8 of those states being lean obama to solid obama and willie99 was quoted saying mccain has a 50/50 shot of still winning.

 

[Willie99]

And what is it? Be specific.

Hold serve, do I really need to spell it out?

 

[fletchisrhsm]

he has no path to victory. he isnt going to knock off any obama states and he's getting pounded in virginia.

mccain has to win an 8 team parlay in gambling terms, with 6 of the 8 of those states being lean obama to solid obama and willie99 was quoted saying mccain has a 50/50 shot of still winning.

Willie is a victim of his partisan politics. Smart guy that just doenst know when to say when. Hes like that whore in the bar at 2pm. She knows it, you know it. It still goes down.

 

[Willie99]

he has no path to victory. he isnt going to knock off any obama states and he's getting pounded in virginia.

mccain has to win an 8 team parlay in gambling terms, with 6 of the 8 of those states being lean obama to solid obama and willie99 was quoted saying mccain has a 50/50 shot of still winning.

Your opinion is the least respected on these boards by members from both parties, atheists, haters, looneys, conspiracy wackos and space aliens.

 

[D2bets]

Hold serve, do I really need to spell it out?

Yes, please.

 

[Willie99]

Yes, please.

Do your own homework. If you don't know what "hold serve" means, look it up.

 

[gtc08]

Willie is a victim of his partisan politics. Smart guy that just doenst know when to say when. Hes like that whore in the bar at 2pm. She knows it, you know it. It still goes down.

hell willie is clueless. he keeps thinking mccain has a chance. his buddies coldweather and zit gave up weeks ago.

hey willie, you think mccain has a 50/50 chance like you said, i got a bridge to nowhere to sell you.

 

[gtc08]

Yes, please.

hey d2. willie says mccain has to hold serve. meaning he has to win

virginia, missouri, indiana, north carolina, florida, west virginia, new mexico, nevada, colorado, ohio

willie says mccain has a 50/50 shot of winning all these states when obama is up in 8 of those 10 listed states.

:lolBIG:

 

[D2bets]

Do your own homework. If you don't know what "hold serve" means, look it up.

I know what it means, just not sure you do. You think McCain is going to win all of the states Bush won in 2004?

 

[BetIt]

I find it hard to believe that people who have never voted before are going to create a 3 to 4 point swing in the numbers.

You do realize the increased likely voter is not just made up of people that never voted. A lot of it is new registrants since 2004 that may have voted in 2006 but have never voted in a presidential, people that voted 2004 but not 2000, maybe 2000 but not 2004, and perhaps even people that have moved and have zero voting history in that state. To believe it's solely new registrants and people that haven't voted is naive.

Anyways, maybe you should be more worried about UConn's struggles right now.

 

[Willie99]

hell willie is clueless. he keeps thinking mccain has a chance. his buddies coldweather and zit gave up weeks ago.

hey willie, you think mccain has a 50/50 chance like you said, i got a bridge to nowhere to sell you.

:nohead:

I doubt you have two nickles to rub together, your mind is a bridge to nowhere.

Assuming you have a mind, of course :think2:

 

[D2bets]

hey d2. willie says mccain has to hold serve. meaning he has to win

virginia, missouri, indiana, north carolina, florida, west virginia, new mexico, nevada, colorado, ohio

willie says mccain has a 50/50 shot of winning all these states when obama is up in 8 of those 10 listed states.

:lolBIG:

Willie doesn't even think it's 50/50. If it was 50/50 his chance of running the table would be over 1000-1. He must think McCain has a 90%+ chance of winning each of those. McCain never had any path that doesn't include stealing away some Kerry states -- Mich, Penn, Wisc, Minn. If he can't steal one of those then he has no chance. For starters, Obama is going to take Iowa, Colo, NM easy. Game over.

 

[RobFunk]

McCain doesnt even have a plan to fix the economy, nevermind a path to the white house.

 

[gtc08]

i didnt think about that d2. your right. if he was just 50/50 on it he wouldn't be saying mccain will hold serve in all those states.

safe to say we can put willie99 with tocco05 and mistermj?

 

[D2bets]

McCain hasn't led a Colorado poll in over a month and RCP avg is Obama +6. Hasn't led NM in over a month and RCP is Obama +8.4 with the latest Rasmussen, Obama +13. Do we even need to talk about Iowa? How the hell is McCain going to win, pray tell?