RAS NCAA Hoops - 12/07/04

Search
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
272
Tokens
RAS - NCAA Hoops - 12/07/04

-- NEXT UPDATE before 5:00am Pacific on WEDNESDAY, December 8.

RAS Official Plays 7-4, +2.50 UNITS (Recommended as 1 or 2 UNIT plays)
*One Play Tuesday:

Nevada at Toledo (-3.5, play to -5) - Game #717-718 - 4:00pm Pacific
With five starters back from a 20 win team of a year ago it is no secret why the Rockets are one of the favorites to win the MAC this year. They are led by conference player of the year candidate senior guard Kirk Triplett. He led the team with a 19.6ppg scoring average and was runner-up for conference player of the year last season. He is far from a one man team. Sophomore point guard Justin Ingram and junior wing Sammy Villegas each won MAC freshman of the year honors the past two seasons. 6-10 center Allen Pinson and power forward "Tino" Valencia are solid on the inside. They need to improve their rebounding and toughness but both are very capable. Nine players have averaged double digit minutes through three games which were all competitive so depth is a strength on this team. The Rockets are off to a disappointing 0-3 start but all three games were on the road, at Vandy, at Wright State, and at East Carolina. Leading returning scorers Triplett and Villegas have struggled shooting the ball out of the gate. In first three games they are a combined 8-for-37 from behind the arc, but those numbers figure to improve very soon, especially playing at home. Toledo did show some life in last game at East Carolina. They fell behind 26-9 in the first half but came roaring back to take a one point lead twice late in the game but could not hold on and lost by 2. Tonight they return to Savage Hall for their home opener where they were 11-1 last season. They have won 11 straight home openers and are 32-3 (.914) at home vs non-conference opposition under head coach Stan Joplin.

I am still down on Nevada. The Wolfpack did beat UNLV by 6 last time out but it was in Reno and the Rebels are not playing well right now. Nevada led by double digits throughout the first half due to very lackluster play by UNLV but it still ended up being a tie game with about 5 minutes to play with late free throws accounting for the final winning margin. Nevada has now won 15 straight home games but is a much different team on the road which is accentuated this year by a first year starting backcourt, including a freshman point guard. They were able to get by a very bad Georgia team, but scored just 57 points, and were blown out by Kansas, scoring just 53 points in their only two road tests to date. Even last years experienced sweet 16 team went just 5-8 in road games. Toledo is a very tough place to visit and I do not expect Nevada to perform well.

Toledo lost by 2 at Nevada last year on a buzzer beater as part of the Bracket Buster challenge. It was the closest anyone came to beating Nevada at home all season. Toledo is the better team, has much more returning experience, is playing at home, has revenge in mind, and is looking to end a three game losing streak to start the season which began with very high hopes. Expect a big effort from the Rockets tonight.

Official Play: Toledo -3.5 1 UNIT


RAS Added Looks 6-4, +0.80 UNITS (Recommended as 1/2 UNIT plays)
*No Play Tuesday.

RAS Added Info (Information purposes only)

Wisconsin Green Bay - Starting guard Brandon Morris (academics) is out until December 29th. He was a preseason second team all-conference selection.

Wyoming - Already without projected starting guard Dion Sherrell (injured in preseason game, out indefinitely) and reserve forward Jerry Webb (one start, 19.6 minutes per game, out 2-4 weeks), the Cowboys played without leading scorer Steve Leven (sprained knee) in one point win over Montana State last game. He is listed as questionable Tuesday at Dayton.

Kent State - Projected starting center Nate Gerwig (knee) is out indefinitely. He has only played limited minutes in one game this season.

Cal - Starting point guard Ayinde Ubaka (foot) will miss another 6 weeks.

Washington - Starting guard Brandon Roy (knee) is out 4-6 weeks.


Good luck!


Cordially,

Edward
 

New member
Joined
Dec 20, 2002
Messages
3,291
Tokens
Thanks Edward, gotta feeling RAS is about to start stepping it back out with your College Hoops plays.
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
272
Tokens
Toledo is now up to -6.

I do not recall a season where the lines on my plays moved so significantly on a consistent basis. I think it is a combiniation of being on some good sides and having a pretty strong following. It really makes it important to bet these early.



Edward
 

New member
Joined
Sep 20, 2001
Messages
7,485
Tokens
Right Angle, good write and info as always but I hope you dont think you are actually moving lines???. Seems like from what you just said that u are thinking that.Not the case, not even close.Good luck though.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 24, 2004
Messages
1,216
Tokens
"Wisconsin Green Bay - Starting guard Brandon Morris (academics) is out until December 29th. He was a preseason second team all-conference selection."


Has this guy been out all year. Action is on Wisc-Mil and I was going to follow. Wonder if he knows this coming in or the significance of Morris not playing. I have no clue either way. Thanks, though.

Treez
 

New member
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
826
Tokens
Uh, Treez?

Wisc-Mil and Wisc-Green Bay are TWO totally different schools...:icon_conf
 

New member
Joined
Sep 24, 2004
Messages
1,216
Tokens
LOL, sorry man, I wasn't paying attention. My fault, but thanks for the heads up...


I need to stop doing this....:smoker2:
 

RX Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
16,675
Tokens
PP -
On 11/30 Ed gave out Long Beach State/ UCLA under 149. Pinnacle opens the under at 149 u -132 at 6am. By game time the total drops to around something like 141,140 . I would think he had something to do with that. It was one of many games he has released this season as well as in the past where the line has moved against him.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 20, 2001
Messages
7,485
Tokens
Listen I am sure RAS is solid but it takes a lot of $$$ to move a line. I have been doing this for a long time and the bottom line is he DOES NOT move any lines.....trust me on that! This is not a bad thing or knock agasint RAS but just a fact.He gives good insight into the games and I am sure will win people moey but lets not go crazy here.



good luck!
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,124,868
Messages
13,652,212
Members
101,966
Latest member
trendytraders
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com