Randizzle's Week 7 NCAAF **(38-10-2)(80%)(+65 Units)!!!**

[Randizzle14]

Alright fellas, let's continue into week 7 and make it profitable!! So far this season, things are going great to say the least. Again, I will note that hitting at an 80% clip all season is mathematically improbable. Not saying it cannot happen, but I have yet to EVER see ANYONE do it. I usually hit about a 65% clip every season, which in itself is better than most any pay service I can think of.

The reason I am noting all of this is because I have noticed I have a pretty large crowd that comes in here and views these plays. I probably shouldn't care, but I would like everyone to be successful and do not want to let anyone down.So, Please do not think any play is guaranteed. Also, I would like to remind all of us that Proper Money Management is VERY important, and DO NOT unload EVER!!. I WILL make ALL of you a substantial amount of money this season as long as you keep proper betting strategy.

Ok now that I have gotten that out of the way, let's get down to Football.

Lines are out, and here are my initial thoughts:
Vanderbilt -2
Oklahoma -7*
Kentucky Pk
Purdue +19
Tennessee +13.5*
Wisconsin +5
Stanford +6.5

None of these are plays, but I will be looking into and analyzing them. Sometimes I end up playing my initial thoughts, sometimes I lay off them, sometimes I find something that makes me fade my initial thought. So I will keep you updated. As always, Good Luck this week and let's do what we are here to do.

:toast:

 

[gmoney72]

GL this week. Have tailed you and will continue to do so. Get em!!!!

 

[silver7]

Haven't Followed You To Date

But do like the admonition "proper MM". So many young players follow the "Fraudfathers" moronic "system", i.e. if you lose just keep betting the farm till you HITT one". A sure way to the poorhouse. This s/b THE 1st rule in any form of gaming. In my younger days when I played a lot of BJ, it was always "balls to the wall". Which resulted in huge $$$ swings. I'd be up 3K one day and down 4 the next. That's why I have so much grey hair. BOL & keep on w/your way of doing it. :thumbsup:

 

[betterbet24]

think you are on track with the OU game

 

[sportsfreak]

First off, props to an unbelievable start. I look for your thread pretty much every week before betting... hope you keep it up. BUT....

I usually hit about a 65% clip every season, which in itself is better than most any pay service I can think of.

...let's not get ahead of ourselves. If that statement was anywhere near true, you'd be swimming in a bed of money and not wasting your time posting picks on the Rx.

You're doing great this season, hope you keep it up! ope:

 

[TheNoob]

..........................................................

 

[BaldEagle]

Maybe he started with a very small cup of water and is still building it into a big bed... not everyone starts out with a 1 million dollar bankroll. You could hit 100% betting $1 a game and not end up with much at the end of the year. Especially if you blow it on strippers and gambling!

First off, props to an unbelievable start. I look for your thread pretty much every week before betting... hope you keep it up. BUT....



...let's not get ahead of ourselves. If that statement was anywhere near true, you'd be swimming in a bed of money and not wasting your time posting picks on the Rx.

You're doing great this season, hope you keep it up! ope:

 

[silver7]

You don't expect him to squander it on such nonessentials as CC debt & rent do you?:thumbsup:

 

[Randizzle14]

First off, props to an unbelievable start. I look for your thread pretty much every week before betting... hope you keep it up. BUT....



...let's not get ahead of ourselves. If that statement was anywhere near true, you'd be swimming in a bed of money and not wasting your time posting picks on the Rx.

You're doing great this season, hope you keep it up! ope:

Thanks for the comments. In response to that, I guess I should say for the past 2 seasons (which is how long i've been capping games I have hit about 65% in college football). And yes, I have a tracked Record. These fine gentlemen who posted after you are correct. I'm in school and working full-time to get by. My Units are not nearly as high as many of you guys are. If I had a substantial bankroll to start with I believe I would be doing VERY well. But as it is, I have bills to pay, school work to do, and priorities that are more importrant than this. Hopefully in the near future I will have a larger bankroll to play with which will increase my profits. GL:toast:

 

[CowboyT]

Thanks for the comments. In response to that, I guess I should say for the past 2 seasons (which is how long i've been capping games I have hit about 65% in college football). And yes, I have a tracked Record. These fine gentlemen who posted after you are correct. I'm in school and working full-time to get by. My Units are not nearly as high as many of you guys are. If I had a substantial bankroll to start with I believe I would be doing VERY well. But as it is, I have bills to pay, school work to do, and priorities that are more importrant than this. Hopefully in the near future I will have a larger bankroll to play with which will increase my profits. GL:toast:

If you have seasons consistent to this one in the future and you keep your head about you, I know the above bolded line becomes true. Good luck this weekend.

I like all your leans besides Okie and KY, because Texas is a bit underrated IMO and Souf Carolina is consistently inconsistent.

 

[Randizzle14]

Tuesday Game

TROY (2 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 4)
Week 7 Tuesday, 10/7/2008 8:00 PM

I believe Troy will win this game convincingly.Simple really. Troy is the better team, who is 2-1-0 ATS on away games. Troy demolished the very team that beat FAU last week. Both teams played at MTSU. Also, this may not make much difference but I think it could play a key role in a spread this small, but Troy comes into this game off of 10 days of rest and time to prepare for this game.

Rushing:
Troy is averaging 5.5 YPR and giving up 3.8 YPR on defense.
FAU is averaging 4.0 YPR and giving up 4.4 YPR on defense.
Edge goes to TROY in ball control and pace of game.

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupHeader>All games in this series since 1992</TD></TR><TR><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TROY is 3-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC since 1992</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">TROY is 4-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC since 1992

TROY is 9-2 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
I'm Taking Troy -3 (-115) 2 Unit Play

:toast:

 

[joegaffney]

great job good luck joe gaffney

 

[sportsfreak]

Like the play...I've liked Troy this season and have rode them a couple times. BOL! :toast:

 

[jacksonjohn]

Trends shmends ...

TROY (2 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 4)
Week 7 Tuesday, 10/7/2008 8:00 PM

I believe Troy will win this game convincingly.Simple really. Troy is the better team, who is 2-1-0 ATS on away games. Troy demolished the very team that beat FAU last week. Both teams played at MTSU. Also, this may not make much difference but I think it could play a key role in a spread this small, but Troy comes into this game off of 10 days of rest and time to prepare for this game.

Rushing:
Troy is averaging 5.5 YPR and giving up 3.8 YPR on defense.
FAU is averaging 4.0 YPR and giving up 4.4 YPR on defense.
Edge goes to TROY in ball control and pace of game.

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupHeader">All games in this series since 1992</td></tr><tr><td><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">TROY is 3-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC since 1992</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">TROY is 4-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC since 1992

TROY is 9-2 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
I'm Taking Troy -3 (-115) 2 Unit Play

:toast:

Taking nothing away from your fantastic start and with all due respect, what do these teams performance in 1992 have to do with this week's game? Trends are good for write-ups, but for every trend you find, I can find an opposing trend. Good luck and continued success.

 

[Randizzle14]

Taking nothing away from your fantastic start and with all due respect, what do these teams performance in 1992 have to do with this week's game? Trends are good for write-ups, but for every trend you find, I can find an opposing trend. Good luck and continued success.

If you cannot personally find any value in that trend then simply act as if it weren't there and do not acknowledge that information when deciding who you wager on. Hopefully some of the other information on that particular play you can find value. Thanks for your insight.

 

[jbragg10]

yea ... more than likely I will be on Troy as well.

 

[spooze]

nice picks

 

[Randizzle14]

Saturday Game 1

Game 1
--------
LSU (4 - 0) at FLORIDA (4 - 1)
Week 7 Saturday, 10/11/2008 8:00 PM

Last season LSU beat Florida 28-24 in Baton Rouge and the year before it was Florida winning 23-10. The Gators have won 11 of the last 16 meetings and have gone 10-6 ATS. This series has also gone UNDER the total in 10 of the last 13 games include all 5 in Florida. From what I have seen this season, Florida is a superior team to LSU. I personally see Florida winning by 7-10 pts, or something in that area. I'm not sure what the total will be on this game, but I see this a semi low-scoring game. Will possibly lean to UNDER later in week. LSU is 1-2 ATS this season, and Florida is3-2 ATS.

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader></TD></TR><TR><TD class=matchupCells>LSU is 0-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons.

<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e142033 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffff33" onclick="testHit('e142033', event)"><TD id=info style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=40>Info

</TD><TD id=score width=50>10/11
8:00P

</TD><TD id=team width=135>179 LSU
180 Florida

</TD><TD id=bets width=45>2115

</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>63%
37%

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Line started at Florida -4 and is now at Florida -5 to -5.5. (Depending where you wager.) I see this line getting up to 6 so grab now if you like this side.

Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Gators are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Florida.
Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I'm Taking Florida Gators -5 :toast:
(5 Unit Play)

 

[ZipLock]

YES! just posted my first thread of plays earlier, and I'm with ya on the Gators! great to see we're on the same side, I've been following your picks for awhile now and you've been SOLID

G/L to us bro!:toast:

 

[Randizzle14]

Saturday Game 2

Game 2
--------
MIAMI OHIO (1 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (2 - 3)
Week 7 Saturday, 10/11/2008 4:00 PM

This game between the Huskies and Red Hawks looks to be a blood bath. The Redhawks avgeraging 1.8 YPR on the road and their Dfense allowing 5.0 YPR could be in for a long day Saturday. Especially when the Huskies are running with great success at Home this season averaging 7.7 YPR and allowing just 1.1 YPR on D!! Passing for Miami (OH) is comparitively poor achieving just 5.2 YPA. Frankly I'm not sure how the Redhawks are going to have any chance at moving the ball or stopping N. Illinois on D. Possible blowout here unless i'm missing something.

Recent Trends:
MIAOH are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Huskies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Redhawks are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Redhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

I'm Taking N. Illinois -10.5 (5 Units):toast: