Question: Is there anyway Spurs flat out LOSE tonight?

[Boxslayer]

Detroit coming off of a brutal series with Miami. Playing at SAN ANTONIO. Spurs at full health, they're a great team, playing great basketball. Forget the point spread, is there anyway they LOSE this game on the moneyline? I think Spurs ML might be free money.
I think the Spurs come out a little bit rusty in the 1st quarter, but they turn it on and I dont think Detroit wins over the course of 4 quarters.

Thoughts?

 

[SureGuy]

Do you remember the 76ers against the Lakers in the first game, after the Lakers were waiting around for them..

The coach of the 76ers that year.......Larry Brown.

Pistons steal game 1 but thats about it.

 

[richdude57]

DET MICHT BE A LITTLE TIRED,I THINK S A WINS TONIGHT AND THE SERIES,BUT WHAT DO I KNOW?:monsters- GLTU ON WHATEVER PATH U TAKE. THE DUDE >)~ PARTY TIME @ DA BASH.arty:

 

[Elvin11]

Hello Boxslayer,

I was up close and personal with the Sonics-SA series and as you likely know, the Sonics played toe-to-toe with the Spurs.

The Sonics had the big bodies that were willing to clog the paint and do the dirty work, unlike the matador-D Suns. Needless to say, Detroit's "D" is better than Seattle's, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Detroit keep this series very tight and take it to 6 or 7.

So I don't think SA is a shoe-in this eve. Good luck!

 

[spreadbeater]

Box,

Although the Spurs should and most likely will win tonight, it is no lock by any stretch. The Pistons can hang with them, as they play similar styles. You never know how the "rust factor" will work for/against the Spurs. Pistons have showed that they can win in hostile environments on the road, as we both unfortunately already know. I would stay away from this moneyline. When you headed to Vegas?

SB

 

[Boxslayer]

The Spurs can play any style. The Sonics also rely on a lot of screens and shooting like Rip Hamilton. Spurs took that series. Spurs can grind it out on defense and they can play run and gun and outscore you (Suns series). With Wade, he's more of a penetrator. Ginobili can shoot a little bit better. Add in Barry's shooting, Parker's shooting, and some Bruce Bowen defense on Hamilton, and I just can't see Detroit scoring enough points on the road in this one. Plus, let's not forget Duncan is the best player on the floor.

They're at home, and unlike the Heat, it isn't just a two man show. While they have the two best players on the floor with Duncan and Ginobili, they also have much better perimeter shooting (Barry), point guard who can get penetration as well (Parker), and play better defense. They are healthy, rested, maybe rusty out of the gates. I think Detroit is mentally exhausted. I really don't think Detroit expected to get past Miami after they went up 3-2. I think Detroit might be just happy to be here for game 1, their backs aren't quite against the wall yet. They know it's not a big deal if they lose game 1, they are in San Antonio for the split. This Detroit team almost enjoys putting their backs against the wall, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them come and concede game 1 with some weak play, put their backs against the wall for game 2, and come out a little more rested and with some intensity in game 2.

By no means is any game at the NBA finals level a lock. But just as that Miami game in Game 6, I felt there was no way in hell Miami would win game 6 and it was free money. I kind of feel similiar with this game. The only factors holding me back is the rust factor and referee factor. Will the officiating be fair? Will the NBA try to make this thing a 6 or 7 game series and ref this thing for Detroit?
All in all, with the Detroit scoring droughts, I just can't see them keeping up with the Spurs fresh legs.
Detroit won the Miami series off of 2nd chance points. I don't see them getting all of those easy put backs, and easy rebound-dunks, and 2nd and 3rd chances at shots.

My mind is practically set on the Spurs. I'm not looking for agreement. I would like some more anti-Spurs feedback so I can see the other angle, like a couple of you have offered.

 

[Boxslayer]

By the way, my LAST BET is Spurs -6.5.

My debate right now is Detroit +6.5, or Spurs ML. 6.5 is too much and limits what can happen in this game.

 

[Holysmoke+]

In the pros anyone can win on any given night.

 

[Boxslayer]

OK, I did it. Spurs ML. Thanks for the input everyone.

 

[Holysmoke+]

You love to lay chalk. college baseball you had more balls than me.

 

[SportSavant]

detroit is rested & healthy also?


that Miami series ended on what... Monday?

 

[Boxslayer]

I'm really an underdog player to be honest. All baseball season I pick 4-6 dogs and play them. I love value and dogs. Just in college baseball you HAVE to play favorites, and those lines were so far off. For example:

Cal State Fullerton was -160 vs. Harvard....Harvard is absolutely terrible
Now Cal State Fullerton is -308 vs. Ariz State...Ariz State is obviously a good team to have made it to super regionals....and the line is still off...Im still taking cal state for the series....

Now with this basketball pick, this is the first professional sport that I've laid chalk like this since I first started betting. I think the Spurs win by 4-8 points tonight, and I don't want to mess with that line. I just think the ML is a solid bet.

Later.

 

[Boxslayer]

detroit is rested & healthy also?


that Miami series ended on what... Monday?

Yeah, Monday. They are healthy for the most part(Detroit, Hamilton calf), but that was a mentally exhausting series. They had their backs to the wall so many times, and I think they will take this game 1 for granted. San Antonio should come out tonight totally focused, just waiting for this game, studying Detroit all series long. Detroit I think will wait to back themselves into a wall before they get back to focus. This game isnt that important for Detroit. They can lose this game, still win the next game, and be in great shape. I'm more looking for mental fatigue than anything else. Sure, flying form Detroit, to Miami, back to Detroit, down to San Antonio in 4-5 days is exhausting when you include the 7game series they played. But I personally feel that San Antonio is by far the better team, they are at home, Detroit got lucky squeeking out the win in Miami, but I cant see them winning again on the road tonight.

Anyway....Im out..best of luck

 

[SHACK]

I played the Spuse ML - 285 for 11 units and the Pistons + 250 to win the series for 10 units. I really like the Spurs ML tonight. However, after tonight I think each game is 50/50. If SA loses tonight I think Detroit takes the series. If I get the Spurs tonight I can work on hedging, etc. where I feel necessary. Good luck, need the Spurs tonight.

 

[Ego74]

remember fellas, Det took game 1 vs. Miami IN MIAMI, very possible. Game 1 is about coming out and setting "the tone" for the series. Very possible a veteran, battle tested Det team could do this.

I'm one of the many who think Spurs win this series, but woudn't be shocked in the least if Det comes out and plays strong tonight.

 

[joelatti]

Yes DET can win SU

 

[SHACK]

Anything can happen, just think Spurs will have all the energy tonight. Remember how flat Dallas and Boston were when they went on the road and got toasted after winning game 7's.

 

[SHACK]

arty: Now lets go make some money on that college baseball Box.

 

[Holysmoke+]

box you know when to eat chalk, wish I had your testicles.

arent you like 7-0 on these huge chalk picks

 

[Boxslayer]

just got back from Vegas.

I got a hue win out of spurs ML game 1, and I did the same bet for game 2 after watching that game 1 in vegas but couldnt post it bc I didnt have a cpu out there. I laid a massive amount of chalk and money on spurs ML game 2. Curious to see everyones opinions on this game 3 in detroit. Hope everyone has done solid in hoops.