Question for you smart guys here???What are the true odds on next year's election?

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I am thinking Bush unfortunately is still a big favorite. I hope, however, that by some miracle he loses. I just don't see it.
 

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I am not that smart, but i would say that bush is about a 55 percent favorite. Its closer than most think. Bush is the incumbent but things aren't much better than they were 4 years ago. I am not saying this as a knock on bush, just an observation.
 

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