Purdue vs Iowa 10/16/2021

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Iowa is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Purdue. Spencer Petras is averaging 256 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Tyler Goodson is projected for 121 rushing yards and a 74% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Purdue wins, Jack Plummer averages 2.43 TD passes vs 0.58 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.23 TDs to 0.85 interceptions. Zander Horvath averages 40 rushing yards and 0.4 rushing TDs when Purdue wins and 34 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. Iowa has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA -12.5 --- Over/Under line is 43.5
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