Prof_Factor and friends for Lone Star Sunday

[escrow]

Hello guys,
heading out to Lone Star Park with the wife on Sunday 6/12. You've generously thrown me some bones in the past, please let me know if you see something that may catch an eye.

Thanks to all and BOL with your Belmont picks. I'll be trying to beat Exaggerator, but using him in some small exotics.

Escrow

 

[Prof_Factor]

Will do.Maybe we could get some Gravy plays too.

 

[Prof_Factor]

No insights to offer, escrow. Expecting a very chalky day.
All races have just a few contenders, and will be low priced.

Top jock at the track is McMahon. If you're playing exotics, make sure you have him underneath as he hits the board 65%.If one of his horses is taking big money you can figure it's very live as he is winning 84% (21/25) with favorites over the past month and is 100% (15/15) with odds-on.
With that said, he is only currently scheduled to ride 4 horses, with his best chance (and favorite) coming in the last race.

The only race I see that has any chance at paying is the 5th.

r#5 - 5f turf
1 (2-1) TAXING RIDE
3 (15-1) TANQ ON THE ROCKS
6 (15-1) NILES CITY
8 (6-10) JOHN LOUIS'CHIEF

... TAXING RIDE logical fav could go wire to wire but if that one fails there are a couple interesting shots. TANQ ON THE ROCKS is first time turf with some grass pedigree, Cabrera rides. NILES CITY has shown enough speed to be a player. JOHN LOUIS'CHIEF has McMahon, enuff said. I do like the 3 at 15-1. Also like 1/3,6,8 exacta and superbox.Considering this is the race with the best chance at a payoff ...


All the other races are basically morning line accurate.
Maybe someone else will show up with something more interesting.
Best of luck, escrow.

 

[G.MONEY]

Couple I looked at do not follow this track but took a look:

r4- Gentleman Code..W+P
r7- No Way out...W+P
r9- Remix...W+P

Good luck and enjoy your day

 

[Gravy]

here is a couple that i looked at

Race 1: $1 Super 4 / 1 3 5 / 1 2 3 5 / 1 2 3 5 ($18) 4 is Lone speed should set easy fractions 3 horse is live IMO

Race 3 $1 Super 1 / 3 4 5 / 3 4 5 6 / 2 3 4 5 6 ($27) Like the rail horse with top jock

Race 4 $1 Super 3 4 / 1 3 4 7 / 1 2 3 4 7 / 1 2 3 4 5 7 ($54) 4 looks tough here but think they might be hiding form on the #3 looks live to me

Race 6 $1 super 4 5 / 3 4 5 6 / 3 4 5 6 / 1 3 4 5 6 ($24)

Race 7 $1 Super 1 4 / 1 4 5 6 / 1 4 5 6 7 / All ($72) This race could pay well don't like the 6 to win

Race 8 $1 Tri 3 6 11 / 3 6 7 11 12 / 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 ($84) This race could pay well here alot of unknowns and money burners

Race 10 $1 Tri 1 6 11 / 1 2 6 10 11 / 1 2 3 6 7 8 10 11 ( $84) Another race that could pay well The 10 horse here is very beatable

BOL today and make some cash

 

[Lt1]

Good luck Escort.

 

[Prof_Factor]

Good call Gravy ..... 10 is vet scratched in the 10th. I like it.

 

[OptionalClaimer]

Way to go Gravy giving out the super in the first by keying only 1 horse on top

 

[Gravy]

0.50 pick 4

Race 7: 1-3-6

Race 8: 6-7-11

Race 9: 5-7

Race 10: 1-2-11