Preview: Auburn at Kentucky.

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When: 7:00 PM ET, Thursday, October 15, 2015
Where: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky


October typically finds Kentucky thinking about the start of basketball practice, but four victories in five games has football squarely in the spotlight as the hot Wildcats host Auburn on Thursday. Kentucky sits in second place in the SEC East and, despite not having leading rusher Stanley Williams in its last game Oct. 4, rallied from a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit to dodge Eastern Kentucky’s upset bid 34-27 in overtime.

Williams, who is eighth nationally in yards per carry (7.3), sat with what Kentucky coach Mark Stoops deemed “personal issues,” but will start against an Auburn team seeking stability at quarterback. Sean White replaced Jeremy Johnson three games into the season, but Auburn coach Gus Malzahn told reporters he would not decide on a starter until later in the week. Whoever plays – and it is possible both players see time under center – has to do something to get the Tigers’ passing attack on track. Auburn ranks 113th nationally in passing offense and saw standout receiver Duke Williams dismissed from the team last week.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Auburn --2

ABOUT AUBURN (3-2, 0-2 SEC): The Tigers arguably are the country’s biggest disappointment this side of Oregon, plummeting from seventh in the nation in preseason to last place in the SEC West. Johnson threw six interceptions in three games and lined up at wide receiver in last week’s 35-21 victory over San Jose State, while White is 26-for-38 for 296 yards and no touchdowns in his first two contests. Defensive back Johnathan Ford is tied for sixth in the SEC with 49 tackles and set a career high with 14 last week, but the Tigers are allowing 412 yards per contest.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (4-1, 2-1 SEC): The Wildcats sorely missed Williams, rushing for only 55 yards against Eastern Kentucky, but were bailed out by a strong performance from quarterback Patrick Towles (329 yards, three touchdown passes). Kentucky’s offense has been inconsistent but the Wildcats have scored on each of their 16 trips inside the red zone this season, including 12 touchdowns. Defensive tackle Cory Johnson set a school record for defensive linemen with a career-high 19 tackles against Eastern Kentucky, and linebacker Josh Forrest has a team-high 49.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Auburn has won 16 of the past 17 matchups with Kentucky and has not lost in Lexington since 1966.

2. The Wildcats will get LT Jordan Swindle (groin) and DT Regie Meant (shoulder) back after both missed time the past two games.

3. Auburn RB Peyton Barber ranks sixth in the SEC in rushing with 558 yards -- 284 on 55 carries the past two weeks combined -- and scored five touchdowns against San Jose State.


ATS Trends

Auburn

  1. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
  2. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  3. Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  4. Tigers are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  5. Tigers are 1-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  6. Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  7. Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
  8. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
  9. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  10. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  11. Tigers are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Kentucky

  1. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  2. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  3. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  4. Wildcats are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
  5. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
  6. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  7. Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends

Auburn

  1. Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  2. Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  3. Under is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 games following a bye week.
  4. Under is 3-1-2 in Tigers last 6 games overall.
  5. Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
  6. Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games on grass.
  7. Under is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  8. Over is 10-4 in Tigers last 14 conference games.

Kentucky

  1. Under is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  2. Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games in October.
  3. Over is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 home games.
  4. Over is 12-4 in Wildcats last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  5. Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Head to Head

No trends available.
 

Active member
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Bump
 

Active member
Handicapper
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I just bumped it for the guys who like trends....Lots of guys like those.

Good luck!
 

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Like scary trends and are leaning Auburn. (Tigers have covered only 2 of their last 16 games)

Auburn has NO pass rush but may be in luck against the worst offensive line in the SEC. Kentucky
has allowed 16 sacks and 8 quarterback hurries this season. Towles has been sacked 12 times in
the past 3 games.

On offense, the Cats remain one of five teams to convert all of its chances inside the 20 yard line.

Auburn still hasn't settled on a QB...look for both White and Johnson to share that role tonight.

Flip a coin...may be your best chance at winning this one.......................
 

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