Pre-season plays

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Here are my pre-season plays so far;

All small 1/2 unit plays to start.

8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11. Not one of my better plays as you can get -10 now at DraftKings. Still I think Illinois will take advantage of a depleted Wyoming squad (Connelly has them 129th in returning production.)

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5. Both of these two could not get a good running game going last yr and Penn St has a very good secondary. In league play last yr both had final scores below 55 pts in 7 of the 9 league games. They did not play each other and for both teams the two over 55 pts in league play were Ohio St and Michigan State. Penn St has won last 9 vs Purdue and 7 of the 9 were under 55 pts. (Also like Penn St -3 but with thin offensive line waiting until close to game time to pull the trigger. Want to make sure no O-lineman go down in August.)

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts. Homer play here as a Michigan fan. Michigan offense should be better than last year, defense replacing a lot. Norvell brings the air raid offense to Colorado St and he brought a bunch of Nevada offensive players with him. Expect the Rams to either get pts or create more possessions for Wolverines.

Other leans; New Mexico St +38 at Minnesota. Jerry Kill New coach at NMSU and he was formally Minnesota coach when he was forced to retire with epilepsy. Now has it under control and back in coaching. I don't see Fleck pouring it on a former Gopher coach who will get applause from Gopher fans when he takes the field. Note, see the line dropping, +37.5 now. May have to jump on it soon.

--Ohio St to win over 8.5 league games @ +125 - Draftkings (undefeated in big10 play). I believe Ohio St will go undefeated in regular season.

Good Luck everyone!!
 

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Here are my pre-season plays so far;

All small 1/2 unit plays to start.

8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11. Not one of my better plays as you can get -10 now at DraftKings. Still I think Illinois will take advantage of a depleted Wyoming squad (Connelly has them 129th in returning production.)

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5. Both of these two could not get a good running game going last yr and Penn St has a very good secondary. In league play last yr both had final scores below 55 pts in 7 of the 9 league games. They did not play each other and for both teams the two over 55 pts in league play were Ohio St and Michigan State. Penn St has won last 9 vs Purdue and 7 of the 9 were under 55 pts. (Also like Penn St -3 but with thin offensive line waiting until close to game time to pull the trigger. Want to make sure no O-lineman go down in August.)

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts. Homer play here as a Michigan fan. Michigan offense should be better than last year, defense replacing a lot. Norvell brings the air raid offense to Colorado St and he brought a bunch of Nevada offensive players with him. Expect the Rams to either get pts or create more possessions for Wolverines.

Other leans; New Mexico St +38 at Minnesota. Jerry Kill New coach at NMSU and he was formally Minnesota coach when he was forced to retire with epilepsy. Now has it under control and back in coaching. I don't see Fleck pouring it on a former Gopher coach who will get applause from Gopher fans when he takes the field. Note, see the line dropping, +37.5 now. May have to jump on it soon.

--Ohio St to win over 8.5 league games @ +125 - Draftkings (undefeated in big10 play). I believe Ohio St will go undefeated in regular season.

Good Luck everyone!!
Agree. One team they won't lose to is Michigan. Wolverines completely lost a ton on defense.
 
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Agree. One team they won lose to is Michigan. Wolverines completely lost a ton on defense.
"They" meaning Ohio State. As a Michigan fan I say; "Not so fast!"

A lot can happen in 12 wks of football. A couple of key players go down and everything can change. Michigan loses a lot on defense but brings in solid replacements, so wait and see there. Didn't want to post that I have a bet on Ohio St to go undefeated regular season @ +155 with Twin Spires sportsbook. Right now it is not available so I didn't post it. Telling you now because currently Mich. is like +14 vs Ohio St. Plan to wait and see how each team develops and at some point could bet Mich. ML to ensure a profit either way if Ohio St makes it to Mich game unbeaten. At +14 that's at least 4-1 odds on ML.

As it looks right now, Buc's should be heads and tails above rest of Big10.
 

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"They" meaning Ohio State. As a Michigan fan I say; "Not so fast!"

A lot can happen in 12 wks of football. A couple of key players go down and everything can change. Michigan loses a lot on defense but brings in solid replacements, so wait and see there. Didn't want to post that I have a bet on Ohio St to go undefeated regular season @ +155 with Twin Spires sportsbook. Right now it is not available so I didn't post it. Telling you now because currently Mich. is like +14 vs Ohio St. Plan to wait and see how each team develops and at some point could bet Mich. ML to ensure a profit either way if Ohio St makes it to Mich game unbeaten. At +14 that's at least 4-1 odds on ML.

As it looks right now, Buc's should be heads and tails above rest of Big10.
Good points/ Injuries control a lot of outcomes. But ML is the best bet in certain situations.
 

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The DraftKings offer of Ohio St Over 8.5 league wins at +125 looks like a good play. I am not high on Penn St ( the only other threat to Buckeyes) and expect the buc's to be undefeated when wolvs come to the Shoe. If Buckeyes healthy then they should win, if they lost some key players maybe a good spot to hedge. Hell, being a mich fan I may hedge anyways!
 

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Here are my pre-season plays so far;

All small 1/2 unit plays to start.

8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11. Not one of my better plays as you can get -10 now at DraftKings. Still I think Illinois will take advantage of a depleted Wyoming squad (Connelly has them 129th in returning production.)

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5. Both of these two could not get a good running game going last yr and Penn St has a very good secondary. In league play last yr both had final scores below 55 pts in 7 of the 9 league games. They did not play each other and for both teams the two over 55 pts in league play were Ohio St and Michigan State. Penn St has won last 9 vs Purdue and 7 of the 9 were under 55 pts. (Also like Penn St -3 but with thin offensive line waiting until close to game time to pull the trigger. Want to make sure no O-lineman go down in August.)

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts. Homer play here as a Michigan fan. Michigan offense should be better than last year, defense replacing a lot. Norvell brings the air raid offense to Colorado St and he brought a bunch of Nevada offensive players with him. Expect the Rams to either get pts or create more possessions for Wolverines.

Other leans; New Mexico St +38 at Minnesota. Jerry Kill New coach at NMSU and he was formally Minnesota coach when he was forced to retire with epilepsy. Now has it under control and back in coaching. I don't see Fleck pouring it on a former Gopher coach who will get applause from Gopher fans when he takes the field. Note, see the line dropping, +37.5 now. May have to jump on it soon.

--Ohio St to win over 8.5 league games @ +125 - Draftkings (undefeated in big10 play). I believe Ohio St will go undefeated in regular season.

Good Luck everyone!!
Like all the plays myself.

Nmsu and the ole ball coach back in town probably just need to squeeze 10 on the board. Under PSU is the one play intriguing me the most. Though I also lean Purdue. Illinois I may need to look at more. Michigan and CSU have 42-23 potential especially with the sling it style of new coach. And as you mentioned he did bring a bunch of Nevada guys familiar with system. Michigan may finally have a little punch on offense. D took a hit but they seem to always reload each year

Good info. Toss out some more!
 

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Toss out some more, ehh.

OK, games on my radar;

Vandy-7 at Hawaii -- 8/27, Rainbows getting faded by most. 53 new players and entire new coaching staff. Vandy set to arrive a week early to the islands to get acclimated. This opened as a pick'em back in May.

WKU -12 at Hawaii -- 9/3, I like the Hilltoppers offense to put points on the board, more so than Vandy.

Buffalo at Maryland -21.5 -- 9/3, when Terps a double-digit fav they cover the spread by dd, when a double-digit dog they lose against the spread by double-digit. On the fence with this one though, think the books are adjusting. Still, they like to blow out lessor opponents.

Ohio State-13.5 at Mich St --10/8, Mel Tucker is personally working on MSU's porus secondary, yet I don't see them stopping the Buc's.
 

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Toss out some more, ehh.

OK, games on my radar;

Vandy-7 at Hawaii -- 8/27, Rainbows getting faded by most. 53 new players and entire new coaching staff. Vandy set to arrive a week early to the islands to get acclimated. This opened as a pick'em back in May.

WKU -12 at Hawaii -- 9/3, I like the Hilltoppers offense to put points on the board, more so than Vandy.

Buffalo at Maryland -21.5 -- 9/3, when Terps a double-digit fav they cover the spread by dd, when a double-digit dog they lose against the spread by double-digit. On the fence with this one though, think the books are adjusting. Still, they like to blow out lessor opponents.

Ohio State-13.5 at Mich St --10/8, Mel Tucker is personally working on MSU's porus secondary, yet I don't see them stopping the Buc's.
Take out that Vandy lean. Even though Hawaii is being faded I just can't get behind Vandy. Arriving a week early to the islands is great but will they tour the place and get distracted? Aloha Stadium condemned and the game to played at practice field that has 9000 capacity. The more I look at it I don't like this one.
Still like WKU.
 

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Toss out some more, ehh.

OK, games on my radar;

Vandy-7 at Hawaii -- 8/27, Rainbows getting faded by most. 53 new players and entire new coaching staff. Vandy set to arrive a week early to the islands to get acclimated. This opened as a pick'em back in May.

WKU -12 at Hawaii -- 9/3, I like the Hilltoppers offense to put points on the board, more so than Vandy.

Buffalo at Maryland -21.5 -- 9/3, when Terps a double-digit fav they cover the spread by dd, when a double-digit dog they lose against the spread by double-digit. On the fence with this one though, think the books are adjusting. Still, they like to blow out lessor opponents.

Ohio State-13.5 at Mich St --10/8, Mel Tucker is personally working on MSU's porus secondary, yet I don't see them stopping the Buc's.
Was eyeing under vs Vandy. The trip distraction. Vandy will try and run. Hawaii new offense should have hiccups. Hawaii should be decent on D and Vandy decent vs a Hawaii type team on D. Nobody at this game will suck some hype out this glorified scrimmage. 26-16 type score seems about right if we get a sloppy O from Hawaii early. Vandy should stay conservative entire game if so. Just depends how much confidence Hawaii Offense can get going Under new coach and his super spread scheme. Takes a bit for offense to get going first game. Vandy should have plenty film to study off. Hawaii shouldn’t throw out much new look stuff as they will need to get basic stuff down on O before coach opens up more complex plays.
 

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Was eyeing under vs Vandy. The trip distraction. Vandy will try and run. Hawaii new offense should have hiccups. Hawaii should be decent on D and Vandy decent vs a Hawaii type team on D. Nobody at this game will suck some hype out this glorified scrimmage. 26-16 type score seems about right if we get a sloppy O from Hawaii early. Vandy should stay conservative entire game if so. Just depends how much confidence Hawaii Offense can get going Under new coach and his super spread scheme. Takes a bit for offense to get going first game. Vandy should have plenty film to study off. Hawaii shouldn’t throw out much new look stuff as they will need to get basic stuff down on O before coach opens up more complex plays.
Under might work here. Just two ugly teams and one of them has to travel a long way.
 

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Here are my pre-season plays so far;

All small 1/2 unit plays to start.

8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11. Not one of my better plays as you can get -10 now at DraftKings. Still I think Illinois will take advantage of a depleted Wyoming squad (Connelly has them 129th in returning production.)

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5. Both of these two could not get a good running game going last yr and Penn St has a very good secondary. In league play last yr both had final scores below 55 pts in 7 of the 9 league games. They did not play each other and for both teams the two over 55 pts in league play were Ohio St and Michigan State. Penn St has won last 9 vs Purdue and 7 of the 9 were under 55 pts. (Also like Penn St -3 but with thin offensive line waiting until close to game time to pull the trigger. Want to make sure no O-lineman go down in August.)

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts. Homer play here as a Michigan fan. Michigan offense should be better than last year, defense replacing a lot. Norvell brings the air raid offense to Colorado St and he brought a bunch of Nevada offensive players with him. Expect the Rams to either get pts or create more possessions for Wolverines.

Other leans; New Mexico St +38 at Minnesota. Jerry Kill New coach at NMSU and he was formally Minnesota coach when he was forced to retire with epilepsy. Now has it under control and back in coaching. I don't see Fleck pouring it on a former Gopher coach who will get applause from Gopher fans when he takes the field. Note, see the line dropping, +37.5 now. May have to jump on it soon.

--Ohio St to win over 8.5 league games @ +125 - Draftkings (undefeated in big10 play). I believe Ohio St will go undefeated in regular season.

Good Luck everyone!!
BOL Vegas ,,,,,,,,,,,,,, much respect ....
 

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RECAP; all 1/2 unit plays unless stated otherwise.

8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5.

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts

adding today; Buffalo vs Maryland -20.5 @ -117. 1 unit play

9/1; New Mexico St +37.5 at Minnesota

9/10; Bama -16 vs Texas

Will be looking at in-play for the Northwestern/Nebraska game.

GOOD LUCK ALL!! :cheers:
 

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Just for fun.....
Alternate line NW/NEB Under 40.5 @ +400 SMALL PLAY
Might just be a bunch of punts and fg's here...orrrrrr the other way.
Going to look for inplay opportunities too.
Good Luck ALL.
 

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Update;
8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11. WIN

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5.

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts

Buffalo vs Maryland -20.5 @ -117. 1 unit play

9/1; New Mexico St +37.5 at Minnesota

9/10; Bama -16 vs Texas

Adding; 9/1; Penn St -3.5 vs Purdue

Adding two team parlay; Penn St -3.5 with ILL/INDY Under 46

--1-0 with 1/2 unit play
--Lost small 4-1 shot

Didn't go inplay on Neb/NW

GoodLuck All.
 

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2-2 on 1/2 unit plays
0-1 on small longshot tries
Lost NMSU by 1/2pt and won PSU by 1/2pt. Tight lines so early!!
Need ILL/INDY to go under to complete parlay.

Michigan State line dropping below -21 is begging me for a play.
 

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Playing Mich St -21. 1/2 unit
PROP; Michigan St WR Jayden Reed Over 82.5 receiving yds. 1/2 unit
 

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Update;
8/27; Wyoming at ILL. ILL -11. ...........WIN

9/1; Penn St at Purdue, Under 54.5. ............LOST

9/1; New Mexico St +37.5 at Minnesota ..........LOST

Adding; 9/1; Penn St -3.5 vs Purdue. ..............WIN

Adding two team parlay; Penn St -3.5 with ILL/INDY Under 46. ................LUCKY WIN

Mich St -21. ...........WIN

PROP; Reed to get 82.5 yds......LOST


TODAY;

9/3; Colorado St at Michigan, Over 57.5 pts

Buffalo vs Maryland -20.5 @ -117.
1 unit play
 

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Getting my plays in early this year has paid off.

Mich/CSU OVER 57.5. Win by 1/2 point
Maryland -20.5. Again, win by 1/2 point

PennSt was a 1/2 pt win. Could have got it -3 earlier
NMSU +37.5 was a 1/2pt loss. Bet that recently, back on July 29th I was eyeing it at +38.5. Missed it.

Lines in Big Ten tight!!!
 

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