Please tell me how this line makes any sense

[Willie99]

X @ St John's opens at X -6

as per sports insights,
81% ATS bets and 87% ATS dollars on X
84% ML bets and 90% ML on X

and the line drops 4.5




PS: besides that stuff, why is X only giving 4.5 again?

somebody's getting fucked here

 

[exploited17]

I like St Johns because less than 2 weeks ago they lost at Xavier by 6 now they are getting 6(that is the line I got anyway)at home Could it be an injury? Same thing happened last night with Pacers line going down. All the action was on them and line went down 2 points Pacers still covered. Happens sometimes

 

[skins85]

i was on the sbr and the "gambling god" had it as one of his plays tonight. so i started looking and thought the same thing. how the fuck is the #6 team only givin 4/5 to st johns? i didnt play it but in total agreement. was it you willie that said st johns is on the no play list for the rest of the season?

 

[Betallsports]

even though

Xavier had a Tough time @ home against the Johnnies. they did hold on to win.

St.John's has some major problems lately, so I wouldn't worry too much that the line is dropping
I think it might tick back up a bit
​

 

[2ese]

I have -3 now

 

[Willie99]

i was on the sbr and the "gambling god" had it as one of his plays tonight. so i started looking and thought the same thing. how the fuck is the #6 team only givin 4/5 to st johns? i didnt play it but in total agreement. was it you willie that said st johns is on the no play list for the rest of the season?

yes, it's either X or pass, and I bet X this morning anticipating an increase

so all the action and all the money is one sided, but the line still goes down

go fucking figure

 

[slapshot]

Just hit X at -3

 

[Willie99]

I see a range of 3.5 to 5

 

[exploited17]

I'm guessing whoever is on the losing side is gonna add this game to the games you should have never bet list.

 

[NorthernStar]

X @ St John's opens at X -6

as per sports insights,
81% ATS bets and 87% ATS dollars on X
84% ML bets and 90% ML on X

and the line drops 4.5




PS: besides that stuff, why is X only giving 4.5 again?

somebody's getting fucked here

I have zero faith that any numbers in regards to bets are accurate. The only thing that will drive a line is $$$$. So someone is putting money on St. Johns. The bookmaker's job isn't to put out a good number....it is to get even action.

The only other way a line moves is an injury and an adjustment is made.

 

[skins85]

good luck with it. hope you hit. line makes zero sense to me. i am not touching it, too much going on there for me to think i got anything figured out.

 

[kidman232]

auburn line is another fishy one to me. they played ole miss a few weeks back, ole miss was up 10 at half and then auburn just destroyed them 2h, by the tune of 27 or so and it wasn't even close, now your seeing auburn only give 4 or 5 points.......

 

[thetout]

Doesn't make any sense. St John's 64-62

 

[thetout]

Under is screaming to me. Run and take the over I am the tout lol

 

[wabashwonders]

Home teams normally have a 4 pt advantage in CBB and Xavier was favored by 11 at home 2 weeks ago and failed to cover. Giving St. John’s the 4 pt home advantage tonight(8 pt swing) puts spread for tonight at Xavier -3, so I’d say this line makes perfect sense.

 

[StevieRay]

Odd lines both nights of the week thus far

 

[exploited17]

It is not the line but the line movement. I'm guessing it has something to do with so many home dogs covering. Even more so after Purdue and Villanova failed to cover against average to decent teams

 

[Willie99]

I have zero faith that any numbers in regards to bets are accurate. The only thing that will drive a line is $$$$. So someone is putting money on St. Johns. The bookmaker's job isn't to put out a good number....it is to get even action.

The only other way a line moves is an injury and an adjustment is made.

they're over-reporting reporting X action but moving the line to draw more X action? because they really have too much action on St John's?

IDK, if that were true, I think we'd see a lot more anomalies like this. Maybe the computer accumulating data has the wires crossed or something, needs a redirect

 

[Willie99]

I'm guessing whoever is on the losing side is gonna add this game to the games you should have never bet list.

I'll just blame it on St John's again, then scratch them off my do and don't list

 

[Greenbacks]

I'm on John Boy +5

Early line

I see 4 at Betonline

Vegas has this game scripted with that funky line.

I'll say 4 is still good.....Last possession wins.

Good luck