Playoffs Round 2 Picks

[cashducats]

Regular season record
sides 30-16-1
6 pt teasers 4-7-1
halftime bets 5-11

Playoff record (as of sunday morning prior to cin/sd game)
0-1-1 sides
1-0 in game

seattle -8
1. i have already seen this game earlier this year and have no reason to believe it will be any different
2. seattle got playoff experience last yr on the road and performed well, now they get to play at home with the best home crowd in the league.
3. dont forget harvin is probably playing for seattle.
3. saints put up 26 points on the road in philly which actually surprised me, i thought closer to 20 points. philly d coordinator said they focused on stopping the pass so that's why they allowed 180+ on the ground. seattle secondary is just a touch better than philly secondary. drew brees isnt going to get those short yardage conversions on qb sneaks like they got against philly. i look for sean payton to realize he is outmatched in this game and do some quirky things like onside kicks or flea-flickers etc.
4. a 7-9 seattle team has beaten the saints at home in the playoffs, so there is no reason they shouldn't blow them out as a good team like they did earlier this yr.
5. i know this is probably considered a public pick, but don't think the books could make this line any higher without exposing themselves. line will probably get up to 9.5 or maybe 10 by gametime.

 

[cashducats]

Playoff record
1-2-1 sides
1-2 in game

niners -2
1. these teams played during the season in sf and panthers beat them 10-9. niners were not at full strength then like they are now.
2. newton's and many others on the panthers team 1st taste of the playoffs, and i don't think they will be up to the challenge. maybe next year.
3. harbaugh is the superior coach. i'm not in love with colin but i think harbaugh can come up with a gameplan for him in this game. niners lose next week in seattle.
4. harbaugh kept colin from running much during the regular season, but looks like he is unleashing him in the playoffs. he ran on many of the critical 3rd down situations vs the packers. there is not much defense for that. you just have to have the athletes to stop it. panthers will probably do a better job than gb did, but i think they still get gashed.
5. newton is not as explosive of a runner as kaepernick, and there is more speed in the niner's lb crew than some of the other teams that the panthers faced. panther offense is pedestrian, look how the niners shut them down last time they played. sure, the niners were shut down on offense by the panthers, but that was without crabtree, and now steve smith is hobbled. mario manningham was the leading reciever with 3 catches for 30 yds in that game a couple months ago.

 

[cashducats]

i see this line for sf/car doing what the gb/sf line did and getting to 3 or 3.5 by gametime. that's why i got on this early

 

[cashducats]

i will probably be playing the colts and the chargers in the other two games but think the line goes in my favor later in the week and by gametime so will will wait.

 

[cashducats]

taking colts +2.5 halftime bet

 

[cashducats]

denver moneyline, yes poor value but i don't trust peyton in this howling wind.
1. chargers way too popular on the radio and in the message boards
2. divisional game, i'll take the home team.
3. sd won in dn but on a short week during reg season and i wouldnt be surprised if dn took them lightly after whipping them in sd.
4. dn wins but could see a back door cover by sd, i just want to have to not worry about this large spread being covered. already got pushed with the seahawks this week.

as a sidenote leaning seahawks -3.5 next week