Small card today, but a very good one I think. I wouldnt be suprised if EVERY game goes under today!
1. Boston -1.5 runs +116 2 units
Boston has won 8 games in a row.EACH OF THOSE GAMES WERE BY 2 OR MORE RUNS!! I HAVE NEVER SEEN SOMETHING SUCH AS THAT! Usually a team will win one or 2 games by 1 run in a winning streak! The opposite could be said of the Phillies. They have lost 4 games in a row, each of which were lost by 2 or more runs. They have lost 10 out of their last 12 games overall and in only 1 GAME did they only lose by 1 run! We clearly have the better team here. This is like stealing!!
Tim Wakefield is on the mound for Boston. He is a great daytime pitcher. He is 2-1 with a 0.78 era in day games. He is also a better pitcher at home with a 3-3 record and a decent 2.84 era. In Wakefields last 5 starts, he has not given up more than 3 runs in any game including a masterpiece (in his standards) in his last start. He pitched 6 strong innings while only giving up 4 hits and only walking 1 batter! He only gave up 1 run as well. In his last start against the Phillies last year, he looked marvelous by pitching 8 complete innings and only giving up 2 hits while earning the shutout victory. Against a struggling Phillies team, he will look like Cy Young!
Cory Lidle takes the mound for Philly. He was hit pretty hard in his last 2 starts by giving up 4 and 5 earned runs. Also, he is NOT a pitcher that can pitch very many innings. Lidle has not pitched more than 6 innings all year long!!! Easy call here!!
<LI class=morecool>Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 1-10 in their last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 games as a road underdog. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite of +151 to +200. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 road games. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 1-4 in Lidle's last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 overall. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague day games. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 18-4 in their last 22 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague home games. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 45-12 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. National League East. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 47-16 in their last 63 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 38-13 in their last 51 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 51-18 in their last 69 games as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 42-15 in their last 57 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 52-20 in their last 72 home games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 day games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 36-15 in their last 51 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 37-16 in their last 53 interleague games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 40-18 in their last 58 games on Grass. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 60-27 in their last 87 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 40-18 in their last 58 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 35-16 in their last 51 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 121-57 in their last 178 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 36-17 in their last 53 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 59-28 in their last 87 during game 3 of a series. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 5-0 in Wakefield's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 19-7 in Wakefield's last 26 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 20-8 in Wakefield's last 28 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
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2. Detroit Tigers -157 2 units
Now I am actually betting this play at the runline of -1.5 runs and the +++134 juice!! But just to be safe here, you may want to just take the Tigers to win since they are at home! Lets look at this matchup closely since my next pick is dependent on this information as well. Detroit is one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. They have won 3 in a row and 9 of 10 and and 13 of 15. It is hard to beat those numbers even BEFORE we look at the pitching matchup!
Rookie Phenom Zach Minor is on the hill for the Tigers! He has been outstanding since taking the hill earlier this year. His record is 3-0 and he has era is 1.23. He has pitched 4 starts and hasnt given up more than 3 runs yet. Hell, he gave up 3 runs once, the other starts he gave up 1, 0 and 2 runs. His start where he gave up 3 runs was the first of the year! HE has since been awesone since then. In his last start, he pitched 9 complete innings for a 5 hit complete game where he only gave up 1 run!! In his previous start before that one, he pitched 7 scoreless innings! For some reason, 3 of 4 starts have been during the day. But in his only night start, he pitched a complete game!!
Wandy Rodriguez is on the hill for Houston. He has looked very good at times this season. His record is 8-4 with an era of 4.45. But that era is a bit deceptive in my view and this is the main reason why I cant take tell you to take the runline in this spot. The era is deceiving because of 1 start where he gave up 7 runs in 1.1 innings on one start and 6 runs in 3.2 innings in another start. But none of this should matter too much seeing how much the Tigers have been. In contrast, the Astros are a sinking ship of late! The Astros have only won 3 of their last 10 games and only won 1 game against KC at home!!
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3. Detroit wayyyyyy under 9.5 runs 3 units
Now this pick may suprise you since every square in the world will take the Astros over in this spot seeing how they have been scoring runs lately. But I FIRMLY believe that Minor will pitch a shuout in this spot or at least give up no more than 2 runs!! The Astros will be a bit tired from the game last night, so that may effect their hitting. Check out the pick above for all of the stats for this game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
<LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rodriguez's last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-1 in Rodriguez's last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Rodriguez's last 13 starts as an underdog.<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 3 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 3 starts as a road underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Over is 3-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 3 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.<LI class=morehot>Under is 7-3-0 in Astros last 10 interleague night games.<LI class=morehot>Under is 20-8-1 in Astros last 29 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.<LI class=morehot>Under is 6-0-0 in Tigers last 6 Monday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Tigers last 3 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Tigers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Tigers last 7 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 26-5-2 in Tigers last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-0 in Tigers last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Tigers last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=more>Under is 22-6-2 in Tigers last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Tigers last 8 during game 1 of a series
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4. Milwaukee -122 3 units with Capuano conditional
This is a really NICE PLAY at the odds. I would take this play even if the odds were -160, at this price it is just an early Christmas Present.
First of all, the Chicago Cubs are playing absolutely HORRID of late. They have lost 3 games in a row and 10 games out of 12. They have been getting KILLED in these starts!! In all 12 games, they could only score more than 3 runs on one occasion. In their last 3 games, they have only scored 3 total runs! Maddux is on the hill for the Cubs and he has been roughed up of late. In his last 7 starts he has given up 4,5,2,6,3,6 and 6 runs.
Milwaukee has Capuano on the hill. He has a record of 8-4 for the season and his era is 3.33. In Capuano's last 10 starts, he has given up more than 3 runs only on one occassion. Now that is consistent. Also not including in the last stat is the fact that his last start against Chicago came back in April where he pitched a 5 hit complete game shutout! He didnt walk any batter in that game.
<LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-1 in Capuano's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-1 in Capuano's last 5 starts vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 12-3 in Capuano's last 15 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Brewers are 8-3 in Capuano's last 11 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.<LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-3 in their last 3 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-12 in their last 12 games as a home underdog. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-8 in their last 8 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.<LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in Maddux's last 16 home starts. <LI class=more>Cubs are 3-10 in Maddux's last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-8 in Maddux's last 10 starts. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-8 in Maddux's last 10 starts on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-5 in Maddux's last 6 starts as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-6 in Maddux's last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-6 in Maddux's last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-8 in Maddux's last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-10 in Maddux's last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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5. Tampa Bay under 7.5 runs 2 units
This would be a 3 unit play if they could have just given us an 8 run total. At 7.5 betting an under is pretty rough, but it is the right play.
Shields gets the call for Tampa bay. His record is 4-0 with an era of 3.00. But he actually a little better than that. The numbers above include his first start of the season where he wasnt sharp and he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings. But since that start, he has been dominate. 2 of his starts were shutouts! His other 2 starts saw him give up only 2 and 3 runs. Tampa as a team has a 5 game under streak.
Jason Johnson gets the call for Florida. Johnson is 6-4 for the year with an incredible 2.00 era!! My guess is that not too many people are aware of that fact! In his last 3 starts, his era is .96. In his last 10 starts, he has NOT given up more than 2 earned runs except for one occassion where he slumped and gave up 3 earned runs!!
If I have EVER seen a 1-0 extra inning game, then it would be this one!!
<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 vs. National League East. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Devil Rays last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Devil Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Devil Rays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Devil Rays last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Devil Rays last 5 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Devil Rays last 5 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 10-1-0 in Devil Rays last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Devil Rays last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Devil Rays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-2-0 in Devil Rays last 10 games as an underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Devil Rays last 8 road games. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Devil Rays last 8 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-1 in Devil Rays last 8 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Shields' last 3 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 6-0-0 in Johnson's last 6 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Johnson's last 4 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Johnson's last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-0 in Marlins last 14 vs. American League East. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-0 in Marlins last 14 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Marlins last 9 home games. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Marlins last 8 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Marlins last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-0 in Marlins last 18 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 games following a win. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 14-6-0 in Marlins last 20 night games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Marlins last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Marlins last 10 interleague night games.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Marlins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Marlins last 3 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Marlins last 3 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 9-1-0 in Marlins last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Marlins last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
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6. Colorado wayyyyy under 8 runs 3 units
Jason Jennings is on the hill for Colorado in this spot. In his last 2 starts, he hasnt given up a single run! He pitched a one hit shutout in his last start! He also has a 2 hit complete game shutout earlier this season! For that matter, he also has another complete game shutout where he only gave up 7 hits! A shutout in this game would not be unexpected by me!
Not to be outdone, John Lackey takes the hill for Anaheim. In his last 2 starts, he gave up 1 run in 7 innings of work in one start and NO RUNS in 7 innings of work in the other start! Back on June 4th, he pitched great by not giving up a run in 7 innings of work!!
This one is like stealing!!
<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague road games. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-1-0 in Rockies last 9 interleague games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-2 in Rockies last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-2 in Rockies last 18 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-2 in Rockies last 16 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-2 in Rockies last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=more>Under is 18-6-1 in Rockies last 25 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-1 in Rockies last 27 games following a win. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-2 in Rockies last 28 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-1 in Rockies last 27 Monday games. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Rockies last 12 vs. American League West. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Rockies last 12 interleague night games. <LI class=more>Under is 20-8-3 in Rockies last 31 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rockies last 7 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rockies last 7 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 23-10-4 in Rockies last 37 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-0-0 in Jennings' last 7 Monday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Jennings' last 3 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Jennings' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Lackey's last 3 Monday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-0-0 in Lackey's last 8 starts vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-1-1 in Lackey's last 15 interleague starts. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Lackey's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 21-5-0 in Lackey's last 26 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. . <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Lackey's last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 36-15-0 in Lackey's last 51 home starts.
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7. Colorado +146 1 unit
Obviously, Jennings would have to be conditional here, but checking the data above would make you believe that the WRONG team is favored here! Bet it early, as everyone and their dead grandmother will be on Colorado in this spot! Or at least anyone who has actually checked and handicapped the game!!
No trends even needed here!!
1. Boston -1.5 runs +116 2 units
Boston has won 8 games in a row.EACH OF THOSE GAMES WERE BY 2 OR MORE RUNS!! I HAVE NEVER SEEN SOMETHING SUCH AS THAT! Usually a team will win one or 2 games by 1 run in a winning streak! The opposite could be said of the Phillies. They have lost 4 games in a row, each of which were lost by 2 or more runs. They have lost 10 out of their last 12 games overall and in only 1 GAME did they only lose by 1 run! We clearly have the better team here. This is like stealing!!
Tim Wakefield is on the mound for Boston. He is a great daytime pitcher. He is 2-1 with a 0.78 era in day games. He is also a better pitcher at home with a 3-3 record and a decent 2.84 era. In Wakefields last 5 starts, he has not given up more than 3 runs in any game including a masterpiece (in his standards) in his last start. He pitched 6 strong innings while only giving up 4 hits and only walking 1 batter! He only gave up 1 run as well. In his last start against the Phillies last year, he looked marvelous by pitching 8 complete innings and only giving up 2 hits while earning the shutout victory. Against a struggling Phillies team, he will look like Cy Young!
Cory Lidle takes the mound for Philly. He was hit pretty hard in his last 2 starts by giving up 4 and 5 earned runs. Also, he is NOT a pitcher that can pitch very many innings. Lidle has not pitched more than 6 innings all year long!!! Easy call here!!
<LI class=morecool>Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 1-10 in their last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 games as a road underdog. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite of +151 to +200. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 0-3 in their last 3 road games. <LI class=morecool>Phillies are 1-4 in Lidle's last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 overall. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague day games. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 18-4 in their last 22 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague home games. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 45-12 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. National League East. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 47-16 in their last 63 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 38-13 in their last 51 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 51-18 in their last 69 games as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 42-15 in their last 57 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 52-20 in their last 72 home games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 day games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 36-15 in their last 51 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 37-16 in their last 53 interleague games. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 40-18 in their last 58 games on Grass. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 60-27 in their last 87 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 40-18 in their last 58 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 35-16 in their last 51 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 121-57 in their last 178 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 36-17 in their last 53 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 59-28 in their last 87 during game 3 of a series. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 5-0 in Wakefield's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Red Sox are 3-0 in Wakefield's last 3 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 19-7 in Wakefield's last 26 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Red Sox are 20-8 in Wakefield's last 28 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
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2. Detroit Tigers -157 2 units
Now I am actually betting this play at the runline of -1.5 runs and the +++134 juice!! But just to be safe here, you may want to just take the Tigers to win since they are at home! Lets look at this matchup closely since my next pick is dependent on this information as well. Detroit is one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. They have won 3 in a row and 9 of 10 and and 13 of 15. It is hard to beat those numbers even BEFORE we look at the pitching matchup!
Rookie Phenom Zach Minor is on the hill for the Tigers! He has been outstanding since taking the hill earlier this year. His record is 3-0 and he has era is 1.23. He has pitched 4 starts and hasnt given up more than 3 runs yet. Hell, he gave up 3 runs once, the other starts he gave up 1, 0 and 2 runs. His start where he gave up 3 runs was the first of the year! HE has since been awesone since then. In his last start, he pitched 9 complete innings for a 5 hit complete game where he only gave up 1 run!! In his previous start before that one, he pitched 7 scoreless innings! For some reason, 3 of 4 starts have been during the day. But in his only night start, he pitched a complete game!!
Wandy Rodriguez is on the hill for Houston. He has looked very good at times this season. His record is 8-4 with an era of 4.45. But that era is a bit deceptive in my view and this is the main reason why I cant take tell you to take the runline in this spot. The era is deceiving because of 1 start where he gave up 7 runs in 1.1 innings on one start and 6 runs in 3.2 innings in another start. But none of this should matter too much seeing how much the Tigers have been. In contrast, the Astros are a sinking ship of late! The Astros have only won 3 of their last 10 games and only won 1 game against KC at home!!
- <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 3-0 in their last 3 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 9-0 in their last 9 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Tigers are 18-5 in their last 23 interleague home games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=more>Tigers are 16-5 in their last 21 interleague games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Tigers are 41-15 in their last 56 games on Grass. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Tigers are 40-15 in their last 55 games following a win. <LI class=more>Tigers are 16-6 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Tigers are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=more>Tigers are 44-18 in their last 62 overall. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 night games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Tigers are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=more>Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 3-0 in Miner's last 3 starts.
- Tigers are 3-0 in Miner's last 3 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.<LI class=morecool>Astros are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games. <LI class=morecool>Astros are 4-22 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games. <LI class=morecool>Astros are 0-3 in their last 3 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win.<LI class=morecool>Astros are 1-4 in Rodriguez's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Astros are 1-5 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.<LI class=more>Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague night games. <LI class=more>Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=more>Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games on Grass. <LI class=more>Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. <LI class=more>Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games. <LI class=more>Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Astros are 6-18 in their last 24 interleague games as a favorite of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Astros are 9-30 in their last 39 interleague games as an underdog.
- Astros are 3-11 in their last 14 vs. American League Central.
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3. Detroit wayyyyyy under 9.5 runs 3 units
Now this pick may suprise you since every square in the world will take the Astros over in this spot seeing how they have been scoring runs lately. But I FIRMLY believe that Minor will pitch a shuout in this spot or at least give up no more than 2 runs!! The Astros will be a bit tired from the game last night, so that may effect their hitting. Check out the pick above for all of the stats for this game.
Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
<LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rodriguez's last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-1 in Rodriguez's last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Rodriguez's last 13 starts as an underdog.<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 3 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 3 starts as a road underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Over is 3-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 3 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Rodriguez's last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.<LI class=morehot>Under is 7-3-0 in Astros last 10 interleague night games.<LI class=morehot>Under is 20-8-1 in Astros last 29 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.<LI class=morehot>Under is 6-0-0 in Tigers last 6 Monday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Tigers last 3 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Tigers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Tigers last 7 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 26-5-2 in Tigers last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-0 in Tigers last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Tigers last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=more>Under is 22-6-2 in Tigers last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Tigers last 8 during game 1 of a series
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4. Milwaukee -122 3 units with Capuano conditional
This is a really NICE PLAY at the odds. I would take this play even if the odds were -160, at this price it is just an early Christmas Present.
First of all, the Chicago Cubs are playing absolutely HORRID of late. They have lost 3 games in a row and 10 games out of 12. They have been getting KILLED in these starts!! In all 12 games, they could only score more than 3 runs on one occasion. In their last 3 games, they have only scored 3 total runs! Maddux is on the hill for the Cubs and he has been roughed up of late. In his last 7 starts he has given up 4,5,2,6,3,6 and 6 runs.
Milwaukee has Capuano on the hill. He has a record of 8-4 for the season and his era is 3.33. In Capuano's last 10 starts, he has given up more than 3 runs only on one occassion. Now that is consistent. Also not including in the last stat is the fact that his last start against Chicago came back in April where he pitched a 5 hit complete game shutout! He didnt walk any batter in that game.
<LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 3-0 in Capuano's last 3 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-1 in Capuano's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 4-1 in Capuano's last 5 starts vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Brewers are 12-3 in Capuano's last 15 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Brewers are 8-3 in Capuano's last 11 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.<LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-3 in their last 3 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-12 in their last 12 games as a home underdog. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-8 in their last 8 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.<LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in Maddux's last 16 home starts. <LI class=more>Cubs are 3-10 in Maddux's last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-8 in Maddux's last 10 starts. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-8 in Maddux's last 10 starts on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-5 in Maddux's last 6 starts as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-6 in Maddux's last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-6 in Maddux's last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-8 in Maddux's last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-10 in Maddux's last 11 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
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5. Tampa Bay under 7.5 runs 2 units
This would be a 3 unit play if they could have just given us an 8 run total. At 7.5 betting an under is pretty rough, but it is the right play.
Shields gets the call for Tampa bay. His record is 4-0 with an era of 3.00. But he actually a little better than that. The numbers above include his first start of the season where he wasnt sharp and he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings. But since that start, he has been dominate. 2 of his starts were shutouts! His other 2 starts saw him give up only 2 and 3 runs. Tampa as a team has a 5 game under streak.
Jason Johnson gets the call for Florida. Johnson is 6-4 for the year with an incredible 2.00 era!! My guess is that not too many people are aware of that fact! In his last 3 starts, his era is .96. In his last 10 starts, he has NOT given up more than 2 earned runs except for one occassion where he slumped and gave up 3 earned runs!!
If I have EVER seen a 1-0 extra inning game, then it would be this one!!
<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 vs. National League East. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Devil Rays last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Devil Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Devil Rays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Devil Rays last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Devil Rays last 3 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Devil Rays last 5 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Devil Rays last 5 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 10-1-0 in Devil Rays last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Devil Rays last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Devil Rays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-2-0 in Devil Rays last 10 games as an underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Devil Rays last 8 road games. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Devil Rays last 8 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-1 in Devil Rays last 8 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Shields' last 3 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 6-0-0 in Johnson's last 6 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Johnson's last 4 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Johnson's last 5 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Johnson's last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-0 in Marlins last 14 vs. American League East. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-0 in Marlins last 14 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Marlins last 9 home games. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Marlins last 8 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Marlins last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-0 in Marlins last 18 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 games following a win. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Marlins last 7 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 14-6-0 in Marlins last 20 night games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Marlins last 10 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Marlins last 10 interleague night games.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Marlins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Marlins last 3 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Marlins last 3 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 9-1-0 in Marlins last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Marlins last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
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6. Colorado wayyyyy under 8 runs 3 units
Jason Jennings is on the hill for Colorado in this spot. In his last 2 starts, he hasnt given up a single run! He pitched a one hit shutout in his last start! He also has a 2 hit complete game shutout earlier this season! For that matter, he also has another complete game shutout where he only gave up 7 hits! A shutout in this game would not be unexpected by me!
Not to be outdone, John Lackey takes the hill for Anaheim. In his last 2 starts, he gave up 1 run in 7 innings of work in one start and NO RUNS in 7 innings of work in the other start! Back on June 4th, he pitched great by not giving up a run in 7 innings of work!!
This one is like stealing!!
<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague road games. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-1-0 in Rockies last 9 interleague games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-2 in Rockies last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-2 in Rockies last 18 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-2 in Rockies last 16 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-2 in Rockies last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=more>Under is 18-6-1 in Rockies last 25 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-1 in Rockies last 27 games following a win. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-2 in Rockies last 28 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-1 in Rockies last 27 Monday games. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Rockies last 12 vs. American League West. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Rockies last 12 interleague night games. <LI class=more>Under is 20-8-3 in Rockies last 31 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rockies last 7 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rockies last 7 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 23-10-4 in Rockies last 37 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-0-0 in Jennings' last 7 Monday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Jennings' last 3 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Jennings' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Lackey's last 3 Monday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-0-0 in Lackey's last 8 starts vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-1-1 in Lackey's last 15 interleague starts. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Lackey's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 21-5-0 in Lackey's last 26 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. . <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Lackey's last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 36-15-0 in Lackey's last 51 home starts.
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7. Colorado +146 1 unit
Obviously, Jennings would have to be conditional here, but checking the data above would make you believe that the WRONG team is favored here! Bet it early, as everyone and their dead grandmother will be on Colorado in this spot! Or at least anyone who has actually checked and handicapped the game!!
No trends even needed here!!