Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins 10/24/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 52% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 76% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rashard Mendenhall is averaging 60 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Ronnie Brown is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA +3 --- Over/Under line is 40

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