Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys 12/16/2012

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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 54% of simulations, and the Dallas Cowboys 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 59% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Dallas Cowboys wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ben Roethlisberger is averaging 290 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Tony Romo is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 55%.
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