pick for today easy money.

[shantystar]

Im sh*t out of luck at the moment and I apologise to anyone following my stuff. Lots of small things have gone against me lately and it really annoys me. Worse still im having amazing luck betting in play, getting everything right. A quick example of more luck, I was having trouble with one of my betting accounts yesterday, so the company in question set up a new account for me and gave me a €20 goodwill gesture, the only drawback was that it had to be used in the casino. Apart from the odd bout of blackjack im not really much for casino’s but I decided to use it anyhow. I went to the slots where I thought I was spinning for 20 cent a time, after pressing the button though I realised id messed up and played for 20 Euro instead of 20 cents. The result? I won a mini jackpot of €570. I withdrew the money straight away and thought my luck was changing for the better! Need to get my head right though and pick a few winners.

Fulham V West Brom

Fulham have one of the better home records in the premiership and look like getting their 8th home win of the season. They look way more solid at Craven Cottage and tight pitch seems to suit their style of play. They are tough to break down and only Manchester United, Liverpool and Chelsea have conceded fewer home goals. It’s this defensive quality that has seen them get numerous 0 – 0 draw on the road. Andy Johnson is a dangerous striker who is only feeding off scraps but has found the net out of nothing on more than one occasion.

West Brom are simply awful away and have picked up just five points and scoring a miserable six goals. Coming up against such a mean Fulham defence will be a tough assignment. Jay Simpson is back for selection which will be a boost. The baggies are bottom of the table and have the worst goal record in the league. To be quite honest it’s hard to find any positives for them in this game and even harder to see them getting anything from the game.

Verdict

West Brom are simply conceding too many goals and will find it very hard to break down the Fulham defence.

Fulham to win 1 or 2 – 0

PICK

Fulham win (1.83 @ VC) 7 points

Fulham to win to nil (2.75 @ bet365) 3 points

Pick : Two picks listed above

Odds : 1.83

Stake : 10 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

over 2.5.

Liverpool has to win such matches if they want to stay close to Man U, and also, they need a confidence boost before CL clash against Real Madrid in few days. Unfortunately for them, Gerrard is still out, Rafa wants to have him fully fit for Real. Citizens are under immense pressure from media and their own board as well, to produce better results and qualify for the UEFA Cup but not on fair play basis this time . Hughes has huge problems in motivating his team in away games, that's why they are so inconsistent but things might change in matches against big guns where additional words of motivation aren't neccesary. I'm sure that we'll see at least one goal from City and Pool will have to score one more in that case. Calculations aside, this has the potential to be pacey and entertaining affair more than odds suggest.

Pick : OVER 2.5

Odds : 2.11

Stake : 7 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

away ah.

Newcastle United is clawing away from the relegation zone and the last round 3-2 success at West Brom was their first in seven games and has them in 13th position - four points clear of the relegation zone. New signing Peter Lovenkrands had his first start after two substitute appearances and he scored the second goal in just the ninth minute while Ryan Taylor made his debut after transferring from Wigan. Socceroo Mark Viduka made his first appearance this year coming on in the 80th minute with Michael Owen (19/8) sidelined with a knee ligament injury. There's even speculation that Obefami Martins (12/6) could be making his return from injury this weekend while Alan Smith is also fit for selection.

Newcastle manager Joe Kinnear is unlikely to return this season after undergoing heart surgery, which means that assistant Chris Houghton will once again be in charge. There's still an injury toll with Xisco the latest casualty breaking a big toe and he joins the likes of Carrol, Guthrie, Beye and Kadar on the sidelines. Only one side has triumphed at St James' Park since the Magpies lost twice in September (2-1 against both Hull and Blackburn). It was certainly an embarrassing 5-1 thrashing against Liverpool on December 28. Everton is in a rich vein of form with just one loss in the last 13 competitive matches having defeated Aston Villa 3-1 in the FA Cup at Goodison Park.

Socceroo Tim Cahill (19/6) scored again but picked up another yellow card and is suspended for this game. No doubt Cahill will be missed having also scored three times in the last six EPL matches. Brazilian Jo will return after being Cup-tied, Steve Pienaar is back from suspension but Yakubu, Vaughan and Saha are still injured. Mikel Arteta (25/6) is also in good touch as Everton go in search of their eighth win away from home. They have only lost three times on the road falling 3-1 at Arsenal (October 18), 1-0 at Wigan (November 24) and 1-0 at Manchester United (January 31). Defensively, Everton has secured six clean sheets in the last nine rounds and they should win this game by just the odd goal.

Pick : Away +0 AH

Odds : 1.90

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

home -1.75.

Galatasaray hosting Kocaelispor at Ali Sami Yen stadium.

After grabbing a 0-0 draw in UEFA Cup's third round clash against Bordeaux, Galatasaray looking forward a win in the league. They took only 1 point in the last two games and two of their rivals Trabzonspor and Fenerbahçe lost yesterday.

On the other hand, playmaker Lincoln and magic winger Kewell returned to squad in Bordeaux game and will play today. This will trigger them to play more offensively. Also striker Milan Baros is recovered from his injury and will be available.

Kocaelispor probably will relegate at the end of the season, because the difference increased to 9 point between the upside of relegation zone. And It's not looking possible to stand against Galatasaray in away.

It's ok that Kocaeli have some good strikers but they changed 8 players from first 11 in half break and defensive line of the team is huge crap.

To sum up, Galatasaray will probably get an esay win at least by two difference and Over 2,5 is the alternative choice.

Pick : Home (-1,5)

Odds : 1.72

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

home -0.25.

one moment in 2006. Osijek have lost 4 consecutive matches against Rijeka and 6 out of 7. In meanwhile, Rijeka haven't win in their h2h matches for long seven matches and they will hardly do it today too imho.

I admitt,Rijeka probably has showned slight improvement, but that's under big questionmark cause only competitive matches will show where they are atm.

On the other hand, Osijek didn't changed almost anything during the transfer window but he has at least 20-30% stronger team now, according to his statement. I also consider them much tougher opposition than they were so far.

I give Osijek the edge over Rijeka, mostly because they are more compact and determined side. Many things are wrong at Rijeka and i doubt we'll see too much more from them this spring. Osijek should use home ground advantage and at least not lose this match.

Pick : HOME -0.25

Odds : 2.00

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

under 2.5.

There's still some questions over pitch condition but i'm sure it will be good enough for playing. Media are announcing this match since December last year and intentionally or not, they and public both have put enormous pressure on Hajduk's backs. Everything but a win will be a dissapointment for their fans and that could heavily affect them. I know i already posted "Hajduk to win the title" pick, and i still stick by that but i have much bigger doubts over that now cause atmosphere in and outside of Dinamo locker room improved.

Honestly, overall quality is still on Dinamo's side. They are better in all lines, except for maybe in midfield where Hajduk has really good and most of all, experienced players. Their only disadvantage could be lack of time for clicking between the newcomers and other players. Although i'm eternal sceptic when it comes to foreign players in HNL, and especially Dinamo, i have to admitt that Slepička and Calello with addition of Ibanez are almost perfect signings and will improve their game.

On the other hand, its hard to stress how big advantage is the one of the home ground. I remember much stronger Dinamo losing much weaker Hajduk and reverse on away games. Its simply the tradition. All that fuss and expectations could easily be a mental brake for Hajduk and i decided to go with away team, draw no bet. Thus my first tought was under, we saw hundred of those h2h matches with big expectations which ended with one or none goal and over 50 fouls and 10 yellow cards.

If its possible i'd make the second pick, if not okay;

Dinamo DNB 2.05 (SportingBet), 8/10

Pick : UNDER 2.5

Odds : 1.90

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

home -0.75.

Its very likely that Inter will struggle in keeping their 1st league status untill the last round. I rate them as the weakest team in the league along with Sesvete and can't see them getting anything out of this match. True, Zagreb didn't changed much comparing to 2008. but they are now 2 months "older" with quality preparations in their legs. They are 6 points clear of todays opponent and another win would bring them peaceful continuation of the season.

Although both teams have similar home&away record , Inter will have lots of problems in this one. Their offensive capablities suffered a lot by losing Sivonjić who joined Dinamo and although they were most overish team in the league so far they will have to focus more on defending their own goal. With 16 years old keeper between the posts and lousy defenders i can't see them staying undefeated today.

Pick : HOME -0.75

Odds : 2.00

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

under 2.5.

Both teams are physical and lacking technical skills. Pitch will probably be in bad condition despite calm wheather last two days and it could only mean that we'll have a "rugby match" since this match is very important for both teams. Zadar is 5 points behind 11th Inter and they can't afford to fail today. Cibalia is only 3 points clear of 11th spot so they will also have lots of work to do if they want to stay up. Undoubtly Zadar is lot weaker without Tomasov, especially in offensive part of the game, while Bagarić is also a big loss for Cibalia. To sum it up, odds are good enough to take this, Cibalia scored only 3 goals away from home so far what only proves their mentality on away games. Zadar scored less than any other team in the league, and without Tomasov they will be more focused not to concede in the next matches. Only one match in last 13 meetings was over 2.5.

Pick : UNDER 2.5

Odds : 1.87

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

under 2.5.

Both teams kept most of their regular players including coaches. Slaven were holding an impressive home record not losing almost two years but this season they have lost twice(Varteks and Hajduk) in a row and showed serious drop of form after great intro in the season and succesfull UEFA Cup campaign. Their goal is 3rd spot, currently owned by Šibenik. Visitors benefit a lot from their determination, tactical responsibility and motivation. One of the most succesfull seasons in their history is nehind them and everyone expect them to repeat performances from first part of the season.

Both teams have similar phylosophy, both teams are relying on discipline and responsibility in defense. Since it started to snow over here, in northern Croatia, and forecast says that it will snow during the whole day, poor and wet pitch is a sure thing. Visitors already declared more cautious tactics and under is only logical bet. Slaven still didn't won Šibenik at home with 2 goals margin.

Pick : UNDER 2.5

Odds : 1.90

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

over 2.5.

@)After dissapointing defeat in derby de la Madoninna last week, Milan will again remain empty handed, at least when it comes to scudetto. Still, they have lot to do untill May, most important thing is to secure one of the CL spots and try to win some silverware through UEFA Cup. Kaka is doubtful, long term absents Nesta, Gattuso, Sheva and Boriello are out.

Cagliari is, without doubt, biggest surprise of the season. They were considered as usual relegation battlers but point by point, they made it through 7th spot atm, which leads to UEFA Cup. WHta is important for this match, Cagliari plays great against big guns such as Milan, they already took the scalp off Juve and Lazio, both on away winning 3-2 and 4-1, what shows their atittude in such matches.

With Milan furious after last weeks defeat and Cagliari playing out of joy, 3 goals shouldn't be a problem. Cagliari will score once at least, and Milan has to deliver enough for safe over.

Pick : OVER 2.5

Odds : 1.94

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

over 2.5.

Had to re-wrote this pick because of that bloody "reset form" button... Anyway, this is pick mostly based on numbers and statistic since i dont follow the league too often but had watched both of the teams this season. Salzburg just recently lost a friendly match against Dinamo on their ground, conceding 4 times in almost half hour, but coming back with 3 goals in 2nd half. What i noticed is that they tend to play pacey football, fast and aggressive but their defenders simply cant find the right balance with DM's who oftenly stay to far from goal and then the big gap in the middle appears. Offensively, they are pretty solid with that guy Janko and two more forwards supporting him from behind. Rapid is similar story, on their day they can trash anyone and they are familiar with results like 8-1, 7-2, 4-3 etc especially when they're playing against opposition which likes to play offensively. Just like Salzburg, they like to finish their attack with 5-6 players but their midfielders are oftenly leaving the big gap behind them. Loss in this match would keep them 7 points behind Salzburg and RBS would have one game in hand in that case so they have to be at their best if they want to stay in the title race. Like i wrote on the start, its mainly a pick based on numbers, its really hard to predict in what shape are they atm since they are coming after winter break and bad weather could influence the outcome eventough Salzburg plays on artificial turf. Hopefully, we'll see 3 at least, maybe even a real show between these two, and when it comes to 1x2 i'll be far away from that. Btw, last time when Rapid visited Salzburg they've stuffed them with 7 goals and kept their net untouched. GL

Pick : OVER 2.75

Odds : 1.94

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

over 2.5.

Last week Leverkusen won 4-1 at away against Hoffenheim and I suggested Over 2.5 at this match.It was very profitable that match for Leverkusen,now they are more motivated.Hamburg is one of the other strong team of Bundesliga and specially Olic is the very important player for this team.

Leverkusen is a scorer team,but they are open to make suprises like 1-1 cotbuss draw and after 2-4 lost against Stuttgart.However Hamburg scores easily but they have problem as protecting the result.I think both teams to score.When I observed away performance of hamburg,only one of them ended under 2.5.So it will end over 2.5 goals.Good luck...

Pick : Over 2.5

Odds : 1.67

Stake : 8 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[shantystar]

avran grant prop.

Well, with Tony Adams keeping up his marvelous impression of a hopeless drunk fully into his football management career, it is no surprise that he has been releived of his duties this morning. Some shrewdies were on at 25/1 for Pompey to get relegated, and will be kicking themselves now as it looks like the new manager will pull them out of the fire.

I have a pretty good idea that it is going to be Grant, as all the talk is about him and when you think about it, it makes perfect sense.

Grant was technical director under Redknapp on the south coast before he moved to Chelsea, where to be fair to him, even though he didn't win anything, he did get the blues to a champs league final, and we went into the last day of the season with a chance to still win it.

He still has a home near the ground, and he is very friendly with the owner who is still deaprate to sell the club. He is also a decent shout because when you look at the next few in the betting, you realise that there is not that much about.

Curbishley is next best, but doesn't have the oomph that he had in the past, Sven is in charge of Mexico at the moment, and he would not have any sort of budget to spend on players, Poyet would be better suited to starting off at a lower level, Jordan is just another Adams, and should keep to doing what he does best, and that's being a number 2. Hoddle is a possible as he has been making noises about a return, but that's again too much of a gamble as he has been out of the game for too long. Then you've got the usual suspects who will never get offered it, or take it.

Grant will be made manager sooner rather than later, so get on whilst you can.

Pick : Avram Grant to be next portsmouth manager

Odds : 3.00

Stake : 10 / 10

Bookmaker :

 

[chriscol]

why are you copying all these picks and write ups from the other cappers in another forum?
in addition this strange format in the header so nobody knows what you are talking about

 

[Frankinho]

Hey mate, I like your write ups and see a lot of value in them. However I wonder if it wouldn't be easier for people to read if you would have the team names in the title of the topic. This way people know what to click or they know what to expect inside the topic. Right now I have to start reading to only find out two sentences later that it is Inter Zapresic instead of Inter Milan of Inter Turku.

 

[Frankinho]

It's from another forum? hmm strange. And I agree with the strange format.

 

[chriscol]

it s a selection of picks from the guys at betshoot

 

[chelseafan1]

keep all your pick of the week in one threat please.

 

[Betallsports]

His Threads are Now all Cleaned up and in ONE Thread.

 

[chelseafan1]

thats better