Philly was favored by 3 at Minnestoa in round 1, by 3.5 at Arizona

[Iceman]

I have honestly loved Philadelphia all year. They have great overall team numbers in what I do and how I figure out spreads. I actually thoguht about playng them at 13-1 to win SB once playoffs started (wish I would have now). What I am getting at is how I have wanted to play them all week but this line VALUE WISE is clearly toward Arizona.

How was Phlly favored by 3 at Minnestoa in round 1 and now are 3.5 pont favorites in round 3 against a better team? Not sure that makes sense at all. Then factor in how well Arizona has played at home this year (scored 29 or more points in 8 of 9 games there).

What to do?

 

[Mamon]

Stick with Philly. This Defense was made to beat this team! Also higher scoring leads to bigger spread..

 

[1cheater]

I think over all Philly is the better team. The cards bus get's halted at home.

 

[trytrytry]

I was not that high on Philly this year, I actualy had a big postion on Cinci on the money line in that tie game, still wish I had won that one....did well against Philly early season as they were a disaster of a team at times....but they have stepped up and what I saw at MN made me more of a believer...not sure yet today I think Ill play +4..

 

[EVincent]

PHILLY by 4.

 

[Iceman]

You almost have to play Arizona if you are getting anything over 3 points. This is classic "everyone is on the so called better team on the road", this is the biggest money burner in all of sports betting. The NFL road favorite over a field goal, with everyone on it. Cant say it doesnt happen but if you faded this thru the years you would be up a ton of money.

Have seen this situation so many times with dog winning this game at home. Arizona is a great team at home and Philadelphia is not a good road team. Line should be even but book knows it can get away with this line as everyone will "bet the so called better team no matter where the game is being played at" with Philly.

I have to make a big decison on this (will get into that later). I hate this!!!

 

[OccamsRazor]

Agree with all your reasoning. What i did was I took arizona, (hate going against that philly D that's shutting everything down)but also reasoned that if I'm wrong it will most likely be because the Philly D shut everything down, so i also bet the UNDER in an attempt to hedge.

Arizona's defense plays very aggressive at home and they're are hot on the takeaways right now. Hot defense, Home and the points was too much value for me to pass up.

 

[Fishhead]

Ice--everyone I run into down here likes Arizona ........

The early moves were on Philly, but since Wednesday, the line has slowly moved down.

TOUGH GAME

 

[trytrytry]

ariz + 164 money line is my play

and over 47 -102 at betphoenix..and +108 at matchbook...

BOL all enjoy the first game!

 

[mj23]

Eagles are the side here !!

 

[Hitman26]

I like over if I can get it at 46.5 or below. These are two turnover prone qb's who can set up short fields for the other team but if they are on they can both put up big points especially Zona.

 

[Iceman]

Small road favorites in the NFL continues to be the biggest moneyburner in all of sports wagering.

 

[Iceman]

Next up Pittsburgh easy!!!


Best team in the NFL for much of the year. Will go down as one of the best defenses of all time when it all said and done. The season they have had has been nothing short of amazing.

 

[BadCo]

An ole adage I should of posted pregame rather than post game and had I opened this thread this morning it would of came to me.

Never bet a road favorite coming off a strait up road win!

One of the first adages I remember,heard this on the stardust line many moons ago.

 

[trytrytry]

great first game'



second game Im on under 17 second half...