Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5/12/2013

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 10-9 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 9-11 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Brandon McCarthy has a 45% chance of a QS and Kyle Kendrick a 43% chance. If Brandon McCarthy has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 51%. If Kyle Kendrick has a quality start the Phillies has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Chase Utley who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 66% chance of winning.
Visit AccuScore.com for free detailed ATS and Totals Trends.ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 11-9, 55% +81 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 10-9, 53% +138 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 9-8, 53% +26 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-6, 54% +113
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 11-9, 55% +31 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 9-10, 47% -293 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 9-8, 53% -24 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-6, 54% -38
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 13-6, 68% + 640 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 12-7, 63% + 430 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 12-5, 71% + 650 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 9-4, 69% + 460
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