pay to win game of the year

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hi everyone. i missed last weeks action due to a long trip but i'm back this week with 4 huge plays. two weeks ago my regular plays did not do all that well but my huge plays bailed me out so from now on i will only play the big ones.

so far on big plays : 4-0-1

total of the year = W for 5 units
favorite of the year = W for 5 units
three unit plays = 2-0-1 for 6 units

now four huge plays for this week.

ATS PLAY OF THE YEAR. this one is a no brainer. pay to win is not telling this without a reason. i think miami ohio is no better than last year, at least stat wise. and last year they beat kent by a td. They had 24 rushing yards and 9 passing yards more than Kent state in that game. They also had two more turnovers. Many people believe this Miami ohio team is much better this year but i dont think so. if we compare their numbers this year and last year vs team they played both times heres what we got. (teams they faced both last and this year : akron buffalo cincy and iowa).

2002 : 3-1 su 4-0 ats 38 : 21.5 (+16.5)
2003 : 3-1 su 2-2 ats 37.5 : 21 (+16.5)

there passing game is better but there rushing game is worst.

kent state is one of the most improved teams in D-I this year. They improved by 2 SU and 4 ATS wins record wise and 33 pts, 53.5 rushing yards, 73.5 passing yards and 4.75 turnovers PER GAME !

now someone please tell me how they can be 22 pts underdogs here.i would not be surprised if they win this game straight up just like they did in 2001 as home dogs when they outrushed miami ohio by 334 yards.


Kent +22 for 10 units = ATS play of the year.



Then I also have arizona +17 at california as my Pac Ten play of the year for 5 units.

Why arizona ? they suck and they can not win this one right ? lol. me thinks arizona covers +17 and maybe even wins this game. winless team in divisional games off bye as an underdog i love it.remember arizona wins this games historically as they won six of their last 8 games off bye many of them as dog. as for california this is a huge letdown spot for them. they had a week off to prepare for ucla. they pplayed well but stil lost the game. they lost their last 4 after playing vs ucla and last 4 before playing arzst. they also lost their last 9 second game off bye, including 3 as favs, and this season all teams struggle after playing ucla (0-4 su/ats). take arizona and the points here.

Arizona +17 for 7 units = Pac Ten play of the year.

three unit plays : duke +21 and smiss -3
 

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As long as Miami wins the game. Go Redskins!
icon_wink.gif
 

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my first two goys ?

total of the year : ttch/tam over 64' (W)
fav. of the year : toledo -27 vs emichigan (W)

three unit plays :

kent at marshall over 52' (W)
unlv -3 second half at nevada (W)
kansas state -3 second half at okst (push)
 

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now four huge plays for this week....
i saw kent state and arizona.
what are the other 2
 

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my regular plays (from 0.5 units to 1.5 units) were up and down all season long but thanks to several big dog moneyline winners i posted here i did not lose any money on regular plays. however i decided to play only the big plays for the rest of the season, since these plays have been doing great. college sports are my fortee and i rarely bet on pro sports. a game or two in the nfl and tahts it. college basketball should be even better than college football. historically thats my best sport.
 

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Thank Pay to win,

Your analysis make mucho mucho mucho WINNERS!!

I like Nevada and Tex Tech this week!!

Gl from the dr

drdubois
 

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gl to us guys.

how taugh is this kent state team this year ? well last five teams that faced kent failed to cover the spread in their next game. this week uconn plays against akron after facing kent state and they could have hard time covering the spread as well. i expect kent to win the turnover battle and if they do, they have big chance to cover +22. they covered last 5 with positive to differential and miami ohio lost ats last 4 with negative to differential. good luck pay to win.
 

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gl with nevada and tech drdubois,.i think that tech game flies over the total...again. lol.

anyone noticed what happened to california last year in same situation as this week? they had a week off to prepare for arizona state, and they did beat that team. but then they lost to arizona by 11 points laying 17.arizona much better team under new regime covering last three. their rushing defense improved from 292 rya in week 4 to 206 rya in week 5 to 161 rya in week 6 to 103 rya against ucla in week 7.their rushing offense improved in two straight games with a stunning 276 rushing yards performance (6.57 yards per rush) against ucla.(most r yards ucla defence allowed in 15+ games.)
 

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i just dont know what these books are thinking. kent is a good first half team at home this season.

Kent State +14 first half for 3 units
 

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recap:

ATS GOY : Kent State +22 for 10 units
P-10 GOY : Arizona +17

3* Duke +21
3* Smiss -3
3* Memph -2.5 (1st half)
3* Kent +14 (1st half)

gl everyone pay to win.
 

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chico thanks for the info.

arizona now at +18.5. the squares are charging hard in order to chase there losses. pay to win will up his arizona play to 10 units total.

so, arizona +18.5 for three units.
 

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