over under states won by bush under 30 +103 a good play.

[trytrytry]

<TABLE width=650 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk>23 Over</TD><TD class=main_body_blk> 30 States -113</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width=120><INPUT type=radio value=riskType name=radio10>Risk <INPUT type=radio CHECKED value=toWinType name=radio10>To Win</TD><TD width=77><INPUT size=8 name=C1P0></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD> </TD><TD class=main_body_blk>24 Under</TD><TD class=main_body_blk> 30 States +103</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width=120><INPUT type=radio CHECKED value=riskType name=radio11>Risk <INPUT type=radio value=toWinType name=radio11>To Win</TD><TD width=77><INPUT size=8 name=C1P1></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




over under states won by Bush.

this has great value on the under. the MAX bush can get I feel is 30 and that is a stretch. 29 has a great chance 31 no chance. so I feel this wager can really not be lost. YEs it could push but its more likely to win. I think Bush with 29 states will happen.

 

[michael777]

betting under 30 states won by bush is not gambling,it is stealing money,where did you get that line try?

 

[trytrytry]

sorry



this is a PINNY PROP. Its a good one I think.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

try, this is no gimmey at all. I put Bush at 31 or 32 right now. Beware.

 

[trytrytry]

31 or 32? how? thanks

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

The line has moved up to +109 so that's not a good sign for you there. I would guess 32 for Bush. Wouldn't play it.

 

[trytrytry]

im looking at it again and I see 29 wins with a coin flip on 30 states.

Do people think Bush is going to win Minnesota or something strange like that? That will not happen. I see 32 if he wins Minnesota and Penn. but neither of those will happen.

 

[ChuckSims]

I've got Bush winning 31. If you think Bush is going to get less than 30, I suggest you bet Kerry at +130

 

[trytrytry]

this makes no sense. 4 weeks ago When bush was -200 this line was 29 1/2 states, even dipped to 29 for a short time.



Now he is -135 to win the election and its 30 over -115.

strange.

he does not win over 30 states you can bank on that.

 

[Doug]

this makes no sense. 4 weeks ago When bush was -200 this line was 29 1/2 states, even dipped to 29 for a short time.



Now he is -135 to win the election and its 30 over -115.

strange.

he does not win over 30 states you can bank on that.

Try: I'm sure you know states aren't equal, so if an "important" state with a lot of votes became less sure for a candidate, it scews the relationship between states won ,and electoral votes. If I bet this at all it will be on Tuesday for a token amount. I'd be a bit worried having most of bankroll possibly tied up for months longer than expected on scalps. There is something taboo about betting on elections also, but as a gambler I don't care.

 

[ChuckSims]

trytrytry, Two months ago Ohio was in Bush's column. With Ohio and Fla, Bush is a lock. Fast forward to today. Ohio is leaning to Kerry now. Blue states like NM, HI, Minnesota, Iowa are now leaning toward Bush. Thats where you get the odds favoring Over 30 states for Bush.

 

[Doug]

trytrytry, Two months ago Ohio was in Bush's column. With Ohio and Fla, Bush is a lock. Fast forward to today. Ohio is leaning to Kerry now. Blue states like NM, HI, Minnesota, Iowa are now leaning toward Bush. Thats where you get the odds favoring Over 30 states for Bush.

Chuck: A better explanation than I could provide, I don't follow closely.

 

[ChuckSims]

I heard on the radio that a Kerry insider says they believe Fla may be Kerry's only hope as their internal polls show Ohio slipping away.

 

[trytrytry]

another free political scalp brought to you by trytrytry

in case your nervous and want to now scalp out and lock in a profit look what the line has done at Pinny. As expected

<TABLE width=650 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=wht-title width="14%" bgColor=#000066>Mon 11/1</TD><TD class=wht-title bgColor=#000066 colSpan=4>Total states won by Republicans</TD></TR><TR><TD class=wht-title align=middle bgColor=#999999 colSpan=5>Maximum Wager: 1000.00 USD</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk>11:30 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk>23 Over</TD><TD class=main_body_blk>30 States +121</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width=120><INPUT type=radio CHECKED value=riskType name=radio10>Risk <INPUT type=radio value=toWinType name=radio10>To Win</TD><TD width=77><INPUT size=8 name=C1P0></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD></TD><TD class=main_body_blk>24 Under</TD><TD class=main_body_blk>30 States -131</TD><TD class=main_body_blk width=120><INPUT type=radio value=riskType name=radio11>Risk <INPUT type=radio CHECKED value=toWinType name=radio11>To Win</TD><TD width=77><INPUT size=8 name=C1P1></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



i am not buying out as I dont think there is any chance that Bush wins more than 30, 30 is probable this will likely push but if you want some free money if it does go 28 or 29 or 31 or 32 you have it if you played the +103 a few days ago!!

We need an election every other year, this stuff is so easy to predict what will happen to the odds as the zig zag around. can we ammend the constitution? Get an RX ammendment going? Ill sign.

 

[trytrytry]

WOW Im at 2000 + posts. I feel like Ive made a few decent observations and helpful suggestions in the past 1000 posts! Ill trytrytry for more by 3000!