Oregon vs UCLA 10/23/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oregon winning 56% of simulations, and UCLA 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oregon commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. UCLA wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. CJ Verdell is averaging 85 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Brittain Brown is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCLA -1.5 --- Over/Under line is 59
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