Opinions needed on two games for week 7

Search

Go Blue!!
Joined
Feb 23, 2006
Messages
2,696
Tokens
Alright, I see two lines that seem too good. Hoping the ppl on the forum can give their insight. Thanks in advance.

Chicago -3 vs. Minn.

Chi at home and only laying 3 to the Vikings? Why?

Indy +1 at GB. Indy 2-0 on road, GB 1-2 at home. Why the line?

I can kind of see Indy line since it's outdoors on grass, but GB just isn't very impressive. Chicago seems to be play of the week. Anyone tell me why it isn't?
 

Expert Handicapper
Joined
Oct 23, 2007
Messages
772
Tokens
Alright, I see two lines that seem too good. Hoping the ppl on the forum can give their insight. Thanks in advance.

Chicago -3 vs. Minn.

Chi at home and only laying 3 to the Vikings? Why?

Indy +1 at GB. Indy 2-0 on road, GB 1-2 at home. Why the line?

I can kind of see Indy line since it's outdoors on grass, but GB just isn't very impressive. Chicago seems to be play of the week. Anyone tell me why it isn't?

Both will cash, Pound em before the line changes.
 

...It's All About The U...
Joined
Oct 12, 2008
Messages
70
Tokens
Those lines are real good.... especially that Indy +1 ...

Lines aren't up for me yet...

Good Luck

:103631605
 

New member
Joined
Nov 7, 2007
Messages
55
Tokens
indy has tenn and ne coming up. they have a bye the next week so they should play harder knowing they have an extra week to rest. addai could be injured and since that line seems too good to be true...it probably is. seems like gb or no play.
 

Go Blue!!
Joined
Feb 23, 2006
Messages
2,696
Tokens
Both will cash, Pound em before the line changes.

Is that sarcasm or serious? I'm still in the last man standing contest, here in Vegas, only about 100 ppl left out of 4500, winner take all $86K!! I am thinking of taking Chi -3 as my pick this week. Either that or the Indy +1. Indy seems to be gettin form back.

Doesn't make sense. They lay 3 AT Atlanta and here, they are laying 3 HOME to Minnesota? I know Minn swept last year, but this Chi team is obviously much different.
 

A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
5,533
Tokens
They are both solid bets. Chicago being favored on the Rd was the result of Atlanta starting a rookie QB and not as much a reflection of the Bears prowess. Now at home the Bears meet a division rival that brings in a strong defense. The line is right. Bears have a very underrated QB, the kid is a winner.

Indy being -1 is again a reflection of their recent poor play and having nothing to do with GB. Now after Indy's last 2 games it appears Manning has shaken off the rust from a lack of a preaseason he has started to find Harrison; Clark is back and is a big reason for Manning's success, he is the go to guy. GB has been hit with a rash of injuries. Defenses have had time to look at Rodgers and adjust. Rodgers has an injured shoulder. Indy is the better team and their defense has awoken, I like their aggressiveness the last 2 games.

Personally, I'm going with Indy this week over the Chicago bet. I've stepped in against Minny and lost indicating I dont have a handle on them. If I bet Chicago and it loses, I can see myself saying, "Minny beats me again why did i bet a game involving them?." Just a personal choice not to bet Chicago.

On the other hand, great defensive play is what winning NFL plays is all about. I like Indy, not because Manning is back, but because their defense has stepped it up. They'll get after Rodgers. Rodgers versus Manning, who do you want to trust your money to?

GL.:103631605
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
Joined
Jun 21, 2003
Messages
25,128
Tokens
Really like Minny here. Chicago gave up 300 yrds +5 TD's to Peterson last year. Chicago will stack the line and stop him? Well they are really beaten up in the secondary. Vikes should dominate the line play on both sides of the ball. Bears not running as well as earlier in the season either. Thinking Berrian has a big game vs the Bears here too.

Bears secondary plagued by rash of injuries in loss


By: Larry Mayer | Last Updated: 10/12/2008 11:32 PM

  • <!--
  • -->



ATLANTA – One more injury in the secondary Sunday in Atlanta and converted cornerbacks Rashied Davis and Devin Hester just might have been moved back to their original position.

<table width="200" align="right" border="0" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="1"> <tbody> <tr> <td>
Graham_inside101208.jpg

Roddy White beats Marcus Hamilton for a 3-yard TD reception Sunday at the Georgia Dome.</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Corey Graham and Marcus Hamilton were the Bears’ only two healthy cornerbacks after Charles Tillman and Trumaine McBride exited in the first half with shoulder injuries.

Nickel back Danieal Manning also was forced to leave in the third quarter with a pulled hamstring. “Of course that hurt,” coach Lovie Smith said after the Bears’ shocking 22-20 loss to the Falcons. “When you lose three DBs that would have played, that hurts. [But] we had ourselves in position [to win]. Injuries are part of the game. I’m sure they lost some guys too.”
The Bears were already shorthanded at cornerback with Nate Vasher on the inactive list for the second straight week due to a wrist injury. Tillman then joined him on the sideline after tangling with receiver Roddy White on a deep pass down the right sideline. White was penalized for pass interference, but the play ultimately turned out to be costlier for the Bears.
Tillman originally hurt his shoulder two weeks ago against the Eagles. But he started last weekend against the Detroit Lions and again Sunday versus the Falcons.
“He’s our best player in the secondary,” said safety Mike Brown. “He makes a lot of plays for us. He’s a warrior and he was out there playing hurt. I wouldn’t put it past him that he’ll be back out there next week, but it does hurt to lose your best player in the secondary.”
Hamilton, who was claimed off waivers by the Bears Sept. 23 from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, allowed White’s 3-yard TD reception early in the fourth quarter and failed to prevent Michael Jenkins from catching a 26-yard pass from Matt Ryan that set up Jason Elam's game-winning 48-yard field goal.
“[Hamilton] was facing a bad situation,” Graham said. “Everybody got hurt, and you get thrown in there and you’ve just got to go out there and try to do your best.”
When Manning exited, the Bears kept their base defense on the field, meaning that strongside linebacker Hunter Hillenmeyer was not replaced by a fifth defensive back.
“I don’t think that had a big bearing on some of the things that ended up happening,” said defensive coordinator Bob Babich. “Hunter understands what he has to do. He’s played that position before. As a defense, we just didn’t execute, and that all starts with me.”
 

Banned
Joined
Jan 16, 2005
Messages
8,837
Tokens
Minny and Bears will be an old school divisional grudge-match. Take the points!

Health of Rodgers is the KEY to GB winning this game, eye it until gametime. He was very solid at seahawks and showed he can plain fine with pain.
 

Whatever
Joined
Nov 16, 2004
Messages
2,255
Tokens
Gb slowly getting healthier. Have the bye week after Indy. I expect a solid effort out of the Pack this week.
 

SportsOptions
Joined
Jan 28, 2005
Messages
343
Tokens
Broncos625

Just offering a little FYI:

There was a system posted earlier this year that may be of interest:

Bet AGAINST home favotites of 6.5 or less in division games......Omit weeks 1 and 17
21-4-2 ATS LY......5-2 TY......This weeks qualifiers:
Minnesota
New Orleans


BOL,
Green Valley
 

Go Blue!!
Joined
Feb 23, 2006
Messages
2,696
Tokens
The problem I'm haiving with Indy is the line seems too good and public is all over them. Taking into consideration the articles Ace has posted, seems the books are salivating over ppl on Indy. Minnesota did beat Chi twice last season although Chi now has a QB.

I'm also considering Buffalo. This also seems like a line set by the books to get ppl to bet on SD (as stated in articles posted by Ace). Public perception is SD should romp Buffalo. Public will think of how SD just raped the Pats and how AZ just pounded the Bills. Makes me wonder.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 13, 2007
Messages
120
Tokens
First of all, taking a road favorite/slight road dog is never a "great" play.

This game reminds me of one two or three years ago, when Indy was +1 going into Dallas.

Is Indy a better team than Green Bay? Yes. Are they a significantly better team at this point in the season? I dont think so.

Addai and Sanders are hurt. Green Bay is a tough place to play. Finally, I do not think betting against a good team at home will be +EV in the long run. This is like the SD/Buff game. Just put a unit on this game or stay away. There are better games available. I am not a fan of betting on the road team where the game is so evenly matched the lines are a true coinflip.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,787
Messages
13,572,983
Members
100,862
Latest member
brokenplanethoodiec
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com