I looked at all the ways I could take Denver here, and I just can't come up with enough reasons to do that, not even with 4.5 points. And remember only 5 teams have lost and yet covered in SB history, so the odds are that the winner will also cover the spread. I picked this up in O'FRED'S THREAD!
Arizona did it vs pitt in 09, new england in 97 vs gb, pitt did it vs dallas in 96, carolina In 04 vs pats, phily in 05 vs pats, titans did it in 00 vs rams. I have that at 6 times the line mattered.
When pitt covered in back to back superbowls in 79 and 1980 they covered by the hook and 1 pt in those sbs
When pitt covered in back to back superbowls in 79 and 1980 they covered by the hook and 1 pt in those sbs
I keep telling myself this is the 50th anniversary for the NFL & the refs will keep it close. I just can't see a blowout again for Manning, BUT I do see Carolina winning SU.......27-24
The lowest I've heard the line being was -3.5......& Vegas & the books would get middled & crushed if the game landed anywhere from 4 to 6 points......with that said, I see a Carolina 3 point win......just can't see Denver winning SU.......Manning, aka "noodle arm" will have to prove me wrong. I know their defense is great, but their defense isn't exceptional like Seattle 2 years ago, or the Ravens in 2000.
The lowest I've heard the line being was -3.5......& Vegas & the books would get middled & crushed if the game landed anywhere from 4 to 6 points......with that said, I see a Carolina 3 point win......just can't see Denver winning SU.......Manning, aka "noodle arm" will have to prove me wrong. I know their defense is great, but their defense isn't exceptional like Seattle 2 years ago, or the Ravens in 2000.
Here ya go...
01-28-2016, 07:33 PM
01-28-2016, 07:33 PM
| Score | ATS Result | |||||
| L | 2016 | Santa Clara, CA | Carolina vs. Denver | - | - | - |
| XLIX | 2015 | Glendale, AZ | Seattle vs. New England | Pick 'em (47.5) | New England 28 Seattle 24 | Over |
| XLVIII | 2014 | East Rutherford, NJ | Seattle vs. Denver | Denver -2.5 (47.5) | Seattle 43 Denver 8 | Underdog-Over |
| XLVII | 2013 | New Orleans, LA | San Francisco vs. Baltimore | San Francisco -4.5 (48) | Baltimore 34 San Francisco 31 | Underdog-Over |
| XLVI | 2012 | Indianapolis, IN | N.Y. Giants vs. New England | New England -2.5 (53) | N.Y. Giants 21 New England 17 | Underdog-Under |
| XLV | 2011 | Arlington, TX | Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh | Green Bay -3 (45) | Green Bay 31 Pittsburgh 25 | Favorite-Over |
| XLIV | 2010 | Miami, FL | New Orleans vs. Indianapolis | Indianapolis -5 (57) | New Orleans 31 Indianapolis 17 | Underdog-Under |
| XLIII | 2009 | Tampa, FL | Pittsburgh vs. Arizona | Pittsburgh -7 (46) | Pittsburgh 27 Arizona 23 | Underdog-Over |
| XLII | 2008 | Glendale, AZ | N.Y. Giants vs. New England | New England -12 (55) | N.Y. Giants 17 New England 14 | Underdog-Under |
| XLI | 2007 | Miami, FL | Indianapolis vs. Chicago | Indianapolis -7 (47) | Indianapolis 29 Chicago 17 | Favorite-Under |
| XL | 2006 | Detroit, MI | Pittsburgh vs. Seattle | Pittsburgh -4 (47) | Pittsburgh 21 Seattle 10 | Favorite-Under |
| XXXIX | 2005 | Jacksonville, FL | New England vs. Philadelphia | New England -7 (46.5) | New England 24 Philadelphia 21 | Underdog-Under |
| XXXVIII | 2004 | Houston, TX | New England vs. Carolina | New England -7 (37.5) | New England 32 Carolina 29 | Underdog-Over |
| XXXVII | 2003 | San Diego, CA | Tampa Bay vs. Oakland | Oakland -4 (44) | Tampa Bay 48 Oakland 21 | Underdog-Over |
| XXXVI | 2002 | New Orleans, LA | New England vs. St. Louis | St. Louis -14 (53) | New England 20 St. Louis 17 | Underdog-Under |
| XXXV | 2001 | Tampa, FL | Baltimore vs. N.Y. Giants | Baltimore -3 (33) | Baltimore 34 N.Y. Giants 7 | Favorite-Over |
| XXXIV | 2000 | Atlanta, GA | St. Louis vs. Tennessee | St. Louis -7 (45) | St. Louis 23 Tennessee 16 | Push-Under |
| XXXIII | 1999 | Miami, FL | Denver vs. Atlanta | Denver -7.5 (52.5) | Denver 34 Atlanta 19 | Favorite-Over |
| XXXII | 1998 | San Diego, CA | Denver vs. Green Bay | Green Bay -11 (49) | Denver 31 Green Bay 24 | Underdog-Over |
| XXXI | 1997 | New Orleans, LA | Green Bay vs. New England | Green Bay -14 (49) | Green Bay 35 New England 21 | Push-Over |
| XXX | 1996 | Tempe, AZ | Dallas vs. Pittsburgh | Dallas -13.5 (51) | Dallas 27 Pittsburgh 17 | Underdog-Under |
| XXIX | 1995 | Miami, FL | San Francisco vs. San Diego | San Francisco -18.5 (53.5) | San Francisco 49 San Diego 26 | Favorite-Over |
| XXVIII | 1994 | Atlanta, GA | Dallas vs. Buffalo | Dallas -10.5 (50.5) | Dallas 30 Buffalo 13 | Favorite-Under |
| XXVII | 1993 | Pasadena, CA | Dallas vs. Buffalo | Dallas -6.5 (44.5) | Dallas 52 Buffalo 17 | Favorite-Over |
| XXVI | 1992 | Minneapolis, MN | Washington vs. Buffalo | Washington -7 (49) | Washington 37 Buffalo 24 | Favorite-Over |
| XXV | 1991 | Tampa, FL | N.Y. Giants vs. Buffalo | Buffalo -7 (40.5) | N.Y. Giants 20 Buffalo 19 | Underdog-Under |
| XXIV | 1990 | New Orleans, LA | San Francisco vs. Denver | San Francisco -12 (48) | San Francisco 55 Denver 10 | Favorite-Over |
| XXIII | 1989 | Miami, FL | San Francisco vs. Cincinnati | San Francisco -7 (48) | San Francisco 20 Cincinnati 16 | Underdog-Under |
| XXII | 1988 | San Diego, CA | Washington vs. Denver | Denver -3 (47) | Washington 42 Denver 10 | Underdog-Over |
| XXI | 1987 | Pasadena, CA | N.Y. Giants vs. Denver | N.Y. Giants -9.5 (40) | N.Y. Giants 39 Denver 20 | Favorite-Over |
| XX | 1986 | New Orleans, LA | Chicago vs. New England | Chicago -10 (37.5) | Chicago 46 New England 10 | Favorite-Over |
| XIX | 1985 | Stanford, CA | San Francisco vs. Miami | San Francisco -3.5 (53.5) | San Francisco 38 Miami 16 | Favortie-Over |
| XVIII | 1984 | Tampa, FL | L.A. Raiders vs. Washington | Washington -3 (48) | L.A. 38 Washington 9 | Favorite-Under |
| XVII | 1983 | Pasadena, CA | Washington vs. Miami | Miami -3 (36.5) | Washington 27 Miami 17 | Underdog-Over |
| XVI | 1982 | Pontiac, MI | San Francisco vs. Cincinnati | San Francisco -1 (48) | San Francisco 26 Cincinnati 21 | Favorite-Under |
| XV | 1981 | New Orleans, LA | Oakland vs. Philadelphia | Philadelphia -3 (37.5) | Oakland 27 Philadelphia 10 | Underdog-Under |
| XIV | 1980 | Pasadena, CA | Pittsburgh vs. L.A. Rams | Pittsburgh -10.5 (36) | Pittsburgh 31 L.A. Rams 19 | Favorite-Over |
| XIII | 1979 | Miami, FL | Pittsburgh vs. Dallas | Pittsburgh -3.5 (37) | Pittsburgh 35 Dallas 31 | Favorite-Over |
| XII | 1978 | New Orleans, LA | Dallas vs. Denver | Dallas -6 (39) | Dallas 27 Denver 10 | Favorite-Under |
| XI | 1977 | Pasadena, CA | Oakland vs. Minnesota | Oakland -4 (38) | Oakland 34 Minnesota 14 | Favorite-Over |
| X | 1976 | Miami, FL | Pittsburgh vs. Dallas | Pittsburgh -7 (36) | Pittsburgh 21 Dallas 17 | Underdog-Over |
| IX | 1975 | New Orleans, LA | Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota | Pittsburgh -3 (33) | Pittsburgh 16 Minnesota 6 | Favorite-Under |
| VIII | 1974 | Houston, TX | Miami vs. Minnesota | Miami -6.5 (33) | Miami 24 Minnesota 7 | Favorite-Under |
| VII | 1973 | Los Angeles, CA | Miami vs. Washington | Miami -1 (33) | Miami 14 Washington 7 | Favorite-Under |
| VI | 1972 | New Orleans, LA | Dallas vs. Miami | Dallas -6 (34) | Dallas 24 Miami 3 | Favorite-Under |
| V | 1971 | Miami, FL | Baltimore vs. Dallas | Baltimore -2.5 (36) | Baltimore 16 Dallas 13 | Favorite-Under |
| IV | 1970 | New Orleans, LA | Kansas City vs. Minnesota | Minnesota -12 (39) | Kansas City 23 Minnesota 7 | Underdog-Under |
| III | 1969 | Miami, FL | N.Y. Jets vs. Baltimore | Baltimore -18 (40) | N.Y. Jets 16 Baltimore 7 | Underdog-Under |
| II | 1968 | Miami, FL | Green Bay vs. Oakland | Green Bay -13.5 (43) | Green Bay 33 Oakland 14 | Favorite-Over |
| I | 1967 | Los Angeles, CA | Green Bay vs. Kansas City | Green Bay -14 (N/A) |
100% correct! Gbay opened -14.5 vs Pats & the line was gone within hours, & was -14 until kickoff.
Wizard......do you or anyone else remember what the percentages were on say the past 3 super bowls on sides & totals?
http://www.wunderdog.com/public-consensus/nfl.html?date=02/01/2015
thats for last yr. Click the link and then move the date back to the 2SBs before and you'll get your answer. I'm on an iPhone at the moment. It's a real PITA to get all that data.
This was posted earlier: goes back 5 SBs I believe
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1044482&page=2
thats for last yr. Click the link and then move the date back to the 2SBs before and you'll get your answer. I'm on an iPhone at the moment. It's a real PITA to get all that data.
This was posted earlier: goes back 5 SBs I believe
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1044482&page=2
Good stuff Wizard, thanks!
SI shows 64% on the Pats last year, 56% onparlays with Pats & 55% on Over.......wouldn't that mean they got crushed? But they stated they made over $300 million in profits.......
Understood, & this was being pasted all over the place before the Pats back to back wins in the SB but no cover vs Eagles & Carolina......then Pitt won & no cover as well vs Cards.......
Will we see a win but no cover this year? Your guess is as good as mine........
In 1979, Vegas got middled in the Pitt vs Dallas SB, also known as black Sunday.......the line got as high as -4.5, closed at -3.5, & the game finished on 4.......I wonder if we see another black Sunday?
This years line opened -3.5, got as high as -6, & if the game lands on 4 or 5, books will get crushed.
This years line opened -3.5, got as high as -6, & if the game lands on 4 or 5, books will get crushed.
