Coming off a very nice 5-0 sweep of the bowl games, winning with all sides on Auburn, Oregon, Utah, Arkansas and Boston College.
As promised, I decided to put out this thread early because of the early start to some of tomorrow's games. We will be looking at the first three games namely the Outback Bowl with Iowa vs Florida, the Gator Bowl with Maryland vs West Virginia, and the Capital One Bowl with Purdue vs Georgia.
Outback Bowl: Iowa vs Florida
This game brings another SEC/BIG-10 match-up. Florida plays out of the SEC and Iowa comes out of the Big 10. Florida brings a well balanced offensive attack and a solid defense squad that put up quality wins over SEC powers LSU and Georgia as well as close losses to Mississippi and Tennessee and non conference losses to Florida State and Miami, Fla.. Iowa brings a well balanced attack as well and a decent but not exceptional defensive team that beat Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota but lost to Ohio State, Purdue and Michigan State. Feeling here is that the Gators played the stronger teams and performed better against them. Florida has an overall speed advantage as well, and will have the crowd support advantage playing in Tampa. Hence,
1* Florida -3.5
Gator Bowl: Maryland vs West Virginia
This game matches the ACC against the Big East with Maryland playing out of the former and West Virginia the latter. These two teams played earlier in the year with Maryland winning 34-7 at home with the Terps outgaining the Mountaineers 498-156 in yardage. In fact, the Terps have won and covered the last 3 meetings, the last two by a combined score of 82-23. Both teams come into the game finishing the season strongly with Maryland winning their last 4 and West Virginia winning their last 7. Motivation is clearly with the Mounaineers but fundamentals are on the side of the Terps. Feeling here is that Maryland possesses the game plan that disrupts West Virginia. Hence,
1* Maryland -3.5
Capital One Bowl: Purdue vs Georgia
This game brings yet another SEC/BIG-10 match-up as Georgia plays out of the SEC and Purdue plays out of the Big 10. This match-up is different than the previous games as this one will feature two quality defensive teams. On offense, Georgia feaures QB David Greene who completed 59% of his passes but with a 10-11 TD to inception ratio primarily because the offensive line yielded an SEC worse 44 sacks. The running game is complimentary but mediocre at best. The defense allowed only 3.1 yards per carry and 54% completions with an 11-16 TD to interception ratio. Special teams are solid in both punting and place kicking. Purdue features QB Kyle Orton who completed 61% of his passes with a 14-6 TD to interception ratio. The running game is complimentary and is average. The defense allowed 2.7 yards per carry and 51% completions with 9-14 TD to interception ratio. Special teams are solid in both punting and place kicking. This game promises to be a defensive struggle and the feeling here is that the Purdue defense will put sufficient pressure on Greene to cause the Georgia offense to struggle. Don't expect the Purdue offense to have an easy time either as the Dawgs play hard for an entire game. In a close game, that possibly could be low scoring, unless turnovers come in to play with Georgia -19 for the year and Purdue +10 for the year, we think the line becomes the value. Hence,
1* Purdue +3.5
Overall Unit Record YTD (All Sports): (51-27.6) 64.88% 3*(6-1)(+14.7) 1*(33-22-2)(+8.7)
Overall W/L Record YTD (All Sports): (39-23-2) 62.90%
NCAAF Record YTD: (16-4)(+19.6) (Bowl Game Record 14-4 Included)
NFL Record YTD: (6-6-1)(-2.9)
NCAAB Record YTD: (12-9-1)(+4.1)
NBA Record YTD: (5-4)(+2.6)
Plays are rated 1*-5*
Good Luck All and check back tomorrow for the remaining games. Happy New Year!!!
Note: Edited original thread to include analysis of Capital One Bowl and posted record too date.
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on December 31, 2003 at 11:38 PM.]
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on January 01, 2004 at 01:50 AM.]
As promised, I decided to put out this thread early because of the early start to some of tomorrow's games. We will be looking at the first three games namely the Outback Bowl with Iowa vs Florida, the Gator Bowl with Maryland vs West Virginia, and the Capital One Bowl with Purdue vs Georgia.
Outback Bowl: Iowa vs Florida
This game brings another SEC/BIG-10 match-up. Florida plays out of the SEC and Iowa comes out of the Big 10. Florida brings a well balanced offensive attack and a solid defense squad that put up quality wins over SEC powers LSU and Georgia as well as close losses to Mississippi and Tennessee and non conference losses to Florida State and Miami, Fla.. Iowa brings a well balanced attack as well and a decent but not exceptional defensive team that beat Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota but lost to Ohio State, Purdue and Michigan State. Feeling here is that the Gators played the stronger teams and performed better against them. Florida has an overall speed advantage as well, and will have the crowd support advantage playing in Tampa. Hence,
1* Florida -3.5
Gator Bowl: Maryland vs West Virginia
This game matches the ACC against the Big East with Maryland playing out of the former and West Virginia the latter. These two teams played earlier in the year with Maryland winning 34-7 at home with the Terps outgaining the Mountaineers 498-156 in yardage. In fact, the Terps have won and covered the last 3 meetings, the last two by a combined score of 82-23. Both teams come into the game finishing the season strongly with Maryland winning their last 4 and West Virginia winning their last 7. Motivation is clearly with the Mounaineers but fundamentals are on the side of the Terps. Feeling here is that Maryland possesses the game plan that disrupts West Virginia. Hence,
1* Maryland -3.5
Capital One Bowl: Purdue vs Georgia
This game brings yet another SEC/BIG-10 match-up as Georgia plays out of the SEC and Purdue plays out of the Big 10. This match-up is different than the previous games as this one will feature two quality defensive teams. On offense, Georgia feaures QB David Greene who completed 59% of his passes but with a 10-11 TD to inception ratio primarily because the offensive line yielded an SEC worse 44 sacks. The running game is complimentary but mediocre at best. The defense allowed only 3.1 yards per carry and 54% completions with an 11-16 TD to interception ratio. Special teams are solid in both punting and place kicking. Purdue features QB Kyle Orton who completed 61% of his passes with a 14-6 TD to interception ratio. The running game is complimentary and is average. The defense allowed 2.7 yards per carry and 51% completions with 9-14 TD to interception ratio. Special teams are solid in both punting and place kicking. This game promises to be a defensive struggle and the feeling here is that the Purdue defense will put sufficient pressure on Greene to cause the Georgia offense to struggle. Don't expect the Purdue offense to have an easy time either as the Dawgs play hard for an entire game. In a close game, that possibly could be low scoring, unless turnovers come in to play with Georgia -19 for the year and Purdue +10 for the year, we think the line becomes the value. Hence,
1* Purdue +3.5
Overall Unit Record YTD (All Sports): (51-27.6) 64.88% 3*(6-1)(+14.7) 1*(33-22-2)(+8.7)
Overall W/L Record YTD (All Sports): (39-23-2) 62.90%
NCAAF Record YTD: (16-4)(+19.6) (Bowl Game Record 14-4 Included)
NFL Record YTD: (6-6-1)(-2.9)
NCAAB Record YTD: (12-9-1)(+4.1)
NBA Record YTD: (5-4)(+2.6)
Plays are rated 1*-5*
Good Luck All and check back tomorrow for the remaining games. Happy New Year!!!
Note: Edited original thread to include analysis of Capital One Bowl and posted record too date.
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on December 31, 2003 at 11:38 PM.]
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on January 01, 2004 at 01:50 AM.]
