Oldmans Pick For Sunday 12/5/04

[oldmanTED]

Just so happens that the only game that caught my attention this week and is worthy of a release has had significant discussion on both sides on this game. Duly respect the Steelers and consider them a definite contender for the NFL Championship, but that being said, even with the return of Staley and most likely Burress, believe that this particular spot may find them vulnerable to an underated Jacksonville team which possesses significant skilled position talent. Situational edge to the Jaguars as they should be emotionally up for the top seed in the AFC as they face them at home, in prime time, as a live underdog. Don't expect the line to move below it's current level, but could move up an additional half point by game time, so certainly no urgency here. Hence,

Overall Unit Record YTD: (39-31.9-1)(+7.10) 3*(0-1)(-3.30) 2*(2-0)(+4.00) 1*(35-26-1)(+6.40)
Overall W/L Record YTD: (37-27-1) 57.81%
NFL Record YTD: (9-4)(+3.40)
NCAAF Record YTD: (28-23-1)(+3.70)

1* Jacksonville +3 or better

Plays are rated 1*-3*

Good Luck All.

 

[MARTEL910]

I like the play as well, Jax looked like they were gonna take out Minn. last week till that fumble return cost them the game, I can see them winning the game out right, what do you think of the ML play as well?

 

[oldmanTED]

MARTEL910:

I can see the Jaguars winning the game outright as well. For those who like Jacksonville, the ML should definitely be considered strongly. Best of luck to you this weekend.

 

[ESQAJM]

Oldman: The trail of betting losses this year is strewn with losses of bettors who tried to pick the one game that the streaking teams (NE, Indy, Pitt San Diego) would lose. Why go against Pitt and try to keypoint when they will lose? Or any of the above teams? Either I will bet on the teams on winning streaks or I will stay away from the game. Especially where you are only getting 3 points as an underdog. Ride the winners.
ESQAJM

 

[Gamehendge]

Jaguars could easily win this game. I believe Pittsburgh will come through. Cowher knows his offense is struggling and will shake up things a bit. Hines Ward will have a huge game.

 

[wmublows]

I agree totally. I'm riding Pitt all the way to the bank.

Oldman: The trail of betting losses this year is strewn with losses of bettors who tried to pick the one game that the streaking teams (NE, Indy, Pitt San Diego) would lose. Why go against Pitt and try to keypoint when they will lose? Or any of the above teams? Either I will bet on the teams on winning streaks or I will stay away from the game. Especially where you are only getting 3 points as an underdog. Ride the winners.
ESQAJM

 

[ElIguana]

I appreciate and follow trends (e.g. SD Chargers), but Pitt didn't cover last week @ home against Redskins--that's enough of a streak-breaker for me.

 

[Gamehendge]

no they didn't cover, but the only by 1.5 points. Those were 2 of the top 5 defenses.

 

[thecruncher]

If anything, take the points w/ Jax.

 

[justwinbaby]

OMT -
Been keeping up with your posts and really appreciate the insight. This one scares me a bit but the O/U line (35) seems to be a slam dunk on under.
Also would like your opinion of the Chiefs/Raiders game. I would have placed the line at around Oak -3.5 and I see Oak +1. Am I missing something? Green hurting and Holmes out - really think this could get ugly.
As always - thanks
JWB

 

[Hitman26]

You guys with clone shops probably wanna go ahead and grab the +3 -110 now because it looks like it's gonna cost more by kickoff.






I'm with you on this one Teddy

 

[oldmanTED]

justwinbaby:

Sorry for the delayed response as an emergency had me away until this morning. Regarding the Oakland/Kansas City game, although I am not playing the game, believe you have the proper lean in this game following the Raider effort against the Broncos and the injuries in Kansas City as well as the pouress defense. That being said, I try to abide by one simple rule. When one plays on bad teams, bad things can happen. So beware.

 

[Mr.Leisure]

I`ve got j-ville +10 on the second part of a 2-team teaser.

GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAY!

 

[OccamsRazor]

Nice call on the live dog.