Oldmans Pick For Sunday 12/12/04

[oldmanTED]

Very interesting situation in the game between Philadelphia and Washington. Philadelphia has clearly established itself as the team to beat in the NFC as the Eagles have rolled over it's most recent opponents and opened up a two game lead for home field advantage ahead of an inconsistent Atlanta team with just four games to play. Even if the Eagles stumble, they are likely to hold their advantage as the remaining division leaders are struggling to stay above .500. The Eagles certainly look well on their way to representing the NFC in the Superbowl. Meanwhile, quietly, Washington continues to put up good defensive numbers and are showing some signs of life offensively. True that the Eagles beat these same Redskins a few weeks back 28-6 and since appear to perhaps have gotten better, particularly looking sharp last week in beating Green Bay 47-17. But therein lies the problem. Belief here is that the Eagles were very motivated and focused for the incoming Packers led by Brett Favre and on a winning streak and took advantage of a mediocre Packer defense and were able to quickly get the upper hand and role to a easy victory. At the same time the Redskins played a very good Pittsburgh team on the road losing 7-16 and then beating the Giants last week 31-7. Not surprised to see as the Washington season has progressed, the Joe Gibbs coached Redskins beginning to put some of the pieces together. Have to wonder, just how much focus this Eagles team will have against the Redskins after beating them handily in the first game and rolling over the Packers last week, plus having a comfortable lead for home field advantage. Meanwhile, would expect the Redskins to be fired up and emotionally high waiting for the conference's best team to arrive and playing following being embarrassed in the first meeting. The game being on national television in prime time helps as well. No doubt, that fundamentally the Eagles are the better team, but that being said, in the NFL, if the team does not come with it's full level of intensity on the road, they are vulnerable to a motivated divisional home underdog that is improving. Hence,

Overall Unit Record YTD: (40-31.9-1)(+8.10) 3*(0-1)(-3.30) 2*(2-0)(+4.00) 1*(36-26-1)(+7.40)
Overall W/L Record YTD: (38-27-1) 58.46%
NFL Record YTD: (10-4)(+4.40)
NCAAF Record YTD: (28-23-1)(+3.70)

1* Washington +9

Plays are rated 1*-3*

Good Luck All.

 

[moneymario]

Ted...

I was Looking at the playoff picture for Philly myself and was wondering about the motavation Factor for Philly also. As always Good Luck and hope you are well.

MM

 

[dabigdawg3]

Omt

I got the Skins at +10.....glad to see your on them too OLT!!!:fballch3:

MM..........if Philly wins Sunday,they lock home field up,but dont think they will win by 10...maybe 7.

 

[oldmanTED]

dabigdawg3:

I got +10 as well, but since we were asked by the moderators to post "Widely Available Lines", I wanted to abide by their request.

Mario:

As always, thank you for the well wishes.

 

[moneymario]

Ted....

This line may go up I was thinking because Sunday loser's may try the Philly Bail out....Any toughts

MM

 

[BlackampGold]

Ted - Just wanted to say hello and best of luck on this selection. I tend to agree with you and am considering this play myself. All the best to you.

 

[oldmanTED]

Mario:

That was one of the reasons I was going to wait until Sunday to post as I felt there would be a possibility that the line could move to +10 or better. That being said, I have noticed money coming in on the Eagles today, so there is also a possibility it could move to +8 or lower come Sunday. Tough too read this one.

 

[oldmanTED]

B&G:

Thanks. Always nice to hear from you. Even better knowing that you're leaning this way as well. All my best to you for continued success in all sports.

 

[REDEYE]

I like the Pick Ted, I could see this game coming down to a field Goal, grabbed some 10 yesterday

 

[SportSavant]

any sharp player should be able to get 10 when all is said & done,

TED, IMO a 10 is "Widely available" enough & it is only fair for you that this play is graded based on a 10 for your record....

 

[unochamps]

omt, i had wash in phila a few weeks ago and they hung w/ them untill the 3rd qtr when a few bad plays did them in. i think that was wash qb ramsay's first start this yr and the play calling was very conservative.

wash was +10 then and now getting 9/10 by gm time at home. at first i liked phila, now the more i think about it i might lean the other way. only ? is phila has been spread monsters this yr.

 

[sherwood]

Always enjoy your post Ted. You're always looking for value and believe we've found some strong value in this game. I've picked them too. Good luck and more importantly, best of health.

Sherwood

 

[winbet]

any sharp player should be able to get 10 when all is said & done,

TED, IMO a 10 is "Widely available" enough & it is only fair for you that this play is graded based on a 10 for your record....

I will second that. All it needs to pass this is ACE-ACE to approve the message.

By the way ACE, tipped any winners lately.

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

BoDog has been hanging 10, just bet it there myself. Good luck Ted.

 

[ACE-ACE]

OLDMAN TED.......I'M ACE-ACE AND I APPROVE YOUR 10 POINTS.......(WOULD'NT WANT YOU TO WIN YOUR BET AND LOSE YOUR POST)



IM ACE-ACE AND I APPROVE THIS MESSAGE :thumbsup:

 

[Piranha]

Like the Wash game myself. Like your style. Hate to go against you because I lost a couple of times. Since we both agree time to jack it up a little more. Thanks Big Ted and GL!

 

[Mr.Leisure]

I`m With You As Usual

Wash. +10 -115


Good Luck To All!!!

 

[dimeplayersonly]

if you like wash...............get on them now..........line will be dropping

sharp action and tout release on wash

 

[MadCapper]

Good Luck!!

CLASS!

 

[sportsbet]

Ted the Eagles are 19-4 ATS since week 6 of the regular season and 45-22-1 ATS over the last 4 years regular season and playoffs combined. Plus they love Fedex Field!

BUT for me to be happy it won't matter by how many points they win by so good luck to you on your wager tonight.

sb