Really like this Minnesota/Green Bay match-up for a potential share of the lead in the National Conference North Division. Very good fundamental and situational edges arise in this game. Green Bay is coming off a bye week following three consecutive wins after head coach Sherman began calling the offensive plays. Therefore, the Packers have had two weeks to mentally and physically prepare for this game and heal up some of their key defensive run stoppers. Meanwhile, Minnesota comes in off a very short week, where they played at Indianapolis on Monday night, had to travel back to Minnesota after the game, had a shortened work week and then have to travel to Green Bay on Saturday. This left a reduced amount of time to prepare for this game. Add to this the meanful nature of the game whereby the Packers can tie for the division lead with a win in this spot.
Fundamentally, after watching Edgerin James practically run at will against the Viking defense Monday night, sense here is that Ahman Green and company running behind a very good offensive line should be able to do very much the same against a less then full strength defense. Fully expect Favre to be able to have his choice off the running game of either using play action passes, screen passes or straight up patterns as Viking secondary was vulnerable to the Indianapolis aerial attack and don't see any reason why they shouldn't be just as vulnerable against Green Bay and Favre. Meanwhile, a wounded Viking offense comes into the game without Randy Moss. Without Moss, the Viking offense has been inconsistent, scoring 20 against a beat up Tennessee team, 13 against the Giants while getting pounded at home 34-13, but putting up 28 against an Indianapolis defense ranked nearly last in the league. Their running game led by Onterrio Smith won't find it that easy to run against a Packer defensive front that is getting healthy, so expect inconsistency both on the ground and through the air. Culpepper may have stretches where he may make plays in this game, but don't expect to see a smooth flowing Viking offense.
Emotionally rested Packers should have a huge edge against a somewhat tired and banged up Viking team here. As a result, this play becomes a strong play for me and the first game that I have deeply considered releasing in the category of one of the few rare plays of my wagering year. After much consideraton, I have decided to do just that. This will be the release of my first 3* play of the football season. As I mentioned last week, I have changed the rating of my plays from 1*-5* to 1*-3*, so this play is equivalent to last year's 5* release. Now, as I always do when releasing a strong play, I want to caution those who choose to follow to not unload your wallet on this play. Anything can happen in any game, at any time, so it is important to adhere to strict money management. This 3* play will be three times larger then my usual 1* play and equivalent to 3% of my bankroll. I strongly encourage anyone that follows to make your play wisely. It is a long season with many, many more plays ahead, so please play the game confidently yet responsibly.
Overall Unit Record YTD: (37-20.9-1)(+16.10) 2*(2-0)(+4.00) 1*(33-19-1)(+12.10)
Overall W/L Record YTD: (35-19-1) 64.81%
NFL Record YTD: (9-3)(+6.70)
NCAAF Record YTD: (26-16-1)(+9.40)
3* Green Bay -3.5 (Free Half Point) or -4
Plays are rated 1*-3*
Good Luck All.
Fundamentally, after watching Edgerin James practically run at will against the Viking defense Monday night, sense here is that Ahman Green and company running behind a very good offensive line should be able to do very much the same against a less then full strength defense. Fully expect Favre to be able to have his choice off the running game of either using play action passes, screen passes or straight up patterns as Viking secondary was vulnerable to the Indianapolis aerial attack and don't see any reason why they shouldn't be just as vulnerable against Green Bay and Favre. Meanwhile, a wounded Viking offense comes into the game without Randy Moss. Without Moss, the Viking offense has been inconsistent, scoring 20 against a beat up Tennessee team, 13 against the Giants while getting pounded at home 34-13, but putting up 28 against an Indianapolis defense ranked nearly last in the league. Their running game led by Onterrio Smith won't find it that easy to run against a Packer defensive front that is getting healthy, so expect inconsistency both on the ground and through the air. Culpepper may have stretches where he may make plays in this game, but don't expect to see a smooth flowing Viking offense.
Emotionally rested Packers should have a huge edge against a somewhat tired and banged up Viking team here. As a result, this play becomes a strong play for me and the first game that I have deeply considered releasing in the category of one of the few rare plays of my wagering year. After much consideraton, I have decided to do just that. This will be the release of my first 3* play of the football season. As I mentioned last week, I have changed the rating of my plays from 1*-5* to 1*-3*, so this play is equivalent to last year's 5* release. Now, as I always do when releasing a strong play, I want to caution those who choose to follow to not unload your wallet on this play. Anything can happen in any game, at any time, so it is important to adhere to strict money management. This 3* play will be three times larger then my usual 1* play and equivalent to 3% of my bankroll. I strongly encourage anyone that follows to make your play wisely. It is a long season with many, many more plays ahead, so please play the game confidently yet responsibly.
Overall Unit Record YTD: (37-20.9-1)(+16.10) 2*(2-0)(+4.00) 1*(33-19-1)(+12.10)
Overall W/L Record YTD: (35-19-1) 64.81%
NFL Record YTD: (9-3)(+6.70)
NCAAF Record YTD: (26-16-1)(+9.40)
3* Green Bay -3.5 (Free Half Point) or -4
Plays are rated 1*-3*
Good Luck All.
