I was hoping OSU had to go to PSU as they would have then beaten OSU for sure.
PSU should win at OSU. Similar to 2005, their defense is very good and should be able to keep the game close enough for the big play makers to make a play. PSU has more team speed by far, and as long as Clarke continues to play as well as he has played they should win that game. I think their toughest test will be at Wisconsin.
Illinois is a tough match up for OSU as well. As long as PSU doesn't turn the ball over in it's game against OSU and Wisconsin they should win both games. That's a big if though. It's an amazingly hard four game stretch their about to be on so we'll see.
Don't forget that the best Defensive Lineman in the Big Ten - and one of the best in the country - Maurice Evans has yet to step foot onto the field this year. Once PSU gets Evans back their defense will become that much stronger. They already have the best secondary in the Big Ten, and one of the best in the nation, and once they get Evans back they will have one of the best lines in America as well.
The season comes down to how well Darryl Clarke and Derrick Williams play in the big games. The running backs will be consistent and PSU's offensive line is dynamite. If Clarke and D-Will step up in the big games they should be OK. If not they will struggle to win at Wisconsin and OSU.
I want to see how their defense plays this week against a spread offense. It'll tell us a lot about how they'll handle Pryor. Lets not forget that PSU now runs the spread offense and OSU has struggled against that in the past.