Oddsmaker's Are Really Keyed in Right Now

[Leatherballs]

The lines are as tight as I have seen them and I swear almost every game is almost within a few points of the line. I am not having much luck in college football this year as I am losing and winning games by the skin of my teeth.

The oddsmakers are as sharp as I have seen them in recent years.

What are your thoughts? Anyone noticing this?

 

[8ate]

Start Teasing...gl

 

[rivercitybirdie]

had big written comment but i lost it somehow.

yes, i've noticed alot of games coming in closer to line.

i also notice huge line movements last week. not sure if it was just last week, but i really noticed it.

i am very surprised the odds that are put on upstart teams like CAL. wanted to play CAL but couldn't believe the colorado spread when i saw it. NO PLAY for me but obv should have gone other way. (don't want to draw huge conclusions on one game).

alot more parity and less dominance in general (a few results notwithstanding). in line with this, i can't even think of any heisman candidates now (which is rare... obv winston and manziel took alot of the publicity the last couple of years)

 

[Leatherballs]

Agreed! I do not even think there is one team that is a clear cut #1 in my opinion. Seems like there is a lot teams that are evenly matched even though the spread maybe reflects public perception.

 

[sdf]

lines usually get tight this time of the season and what you'll see is betting groups/syndicates be on opposite sides of a game. Lines will go back and forth on a team. Sometimes groups will move the line one way, then hammer the other way later. Or the line is so tight they just try and middle a game. I find October to be the toughest to win at in CFB....

 

[russ1945]

The lines may be tight but they still change. I made my main bet Sunday night. I just checked the line again today and there were 34 changes since yesterday. Big jump on E. Carolina. You have to anticipate line changes and try to be on the right side. That gives you a slight edge. If you stop and think about it whenever you buy a half point of a point you should maybe rethink that wager to begin with. If it is going to be that close there has to be something on the board better than that.

I am not much on middling bets. I bet a lot of parlays (hit 13 two weeks ago) and you can bet against them but only when the line is still in the proper range. Sometimes you are stuck and the line does not make the bet against the thing to do if the final score is within a point or so of the lines.

The early line moves usually reflect informed betters.

 

[HawkerJimbo73]

They always tighten up around this time, but I also think maybe it's a coincidence. The law of averages will even things out. Vegas will have weeks where the lines are spot on where they should be, but the games don't even fall close to the number they put out. I say just keep trucking.