this is great news for McCain
As the presidential road show hits Las Vegas this week for a Democratic debate, the bookmakers have already weighed in: New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton is the odds-on favorite both to win her party's nomination and then to go on to capture the White House next fall over former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani.
For those willing to game the system, though, different sites offer different payoffs for the front-runners. As of November, Clinton is a 1 to 3 shot to win the presidency according to Sportsbook.com and Linesmaker (meaning you bet $3 and win $1 if she wins plus the original $3 back), a 1 to 2 shot according to the William Hill bookmaker and a 10 to 11 according to Bodog. That means Sportsbook has the greatest confidence in her victory but bettors who agree would get a bigger payoff by going with Bodog. A still bigger payoff is offered by Vegas Sportsbetting, which rates Clinton at +200, which means you would get $200 by betting $100, but Holly Wagers puts her at -250, which means you bet $250 to get $100 if she wins.
The sites all rate Giuliani likely to win the GOP nomination but behind Clinton for the presidency. He is a 9 to 4 shot on Bodog, 9 to 2 on William Hill and 5 to 1 on Sportsbook and Linesmaker. In other words, Bodog would give you $9 for every $4 you bet, plus the original bet back, if Giuliani is elected president. A 5 to 1 payoff, obviously, would be the most profitable for Rudy fans. Sportsbook has Obama at 7 to 2, while Bodog puts his chances at 5 to 1 and William Hill at 7 to 1. Rating the rest of the field, Bodog offers 6 to 1 for Thompson, 8 to 1 for Romney, 14 to 1 for Edwards and 16 to 1 for McCain. Others give McCain, Edwards or Romney a better chance.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Probably no one inside the Beltway thinks Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) will win, but Sportsbook is giving him 6 to 1 odds :think2:
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2007/11/13/clinton_the_oddson_favorite.html
As the presidential road show hits Las Vegas this week for a Democratic debate, the bookmakers have already weighed in: New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton is the odds-on favorite both to win her party's nomination and then to go on to capture the White House next fall over former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani.
For those willing to game the system, though, different sites offer different payoffs for the front-runners. As of November, Clinton is a 1 to 3 shot to win the presidency according to Sportsbook.com and Linesmaker (meaning you bet $3 and win $1 if she wins plus the original $3 back), a 1 to 2 shot according to the William Hill bookmaker and a 10 to 11 according to Bodog. That means Sportsbook has the greatest confidence in her victory but bettors who agree would get a bigger payoff by going with Bodog. A still bigger payoff is offered by Vegas Sportsbetting, which rates Clinton at +200, which means you would get $200 by betting $100, but Holly Wagers puts her at -250, which means you bet $250 to get $100 if she wins.
The sites all rate Giuliani likely to win the GOP nomination but behind Clinton for the presidency. He is a 9 to 4 shot on Bodog, 9 to 2 on William Hill and 5 to 1 on Sportsbook and Linesmaker. In other words, Bodog would give you $9 for every $4 you bet, plus the original bet back, if Giuliani is elected president. A 5 to 1 payoff, obviously, would be the most profitable for Rudy fans. Sportsbook has Obama at 7 to 2, while Bodog puts his chances at 5 to 1 and William Hill at 7 to 1. Rating the rest of the field, Bodog offers 6 to 1 for Thompson, 8 to 1 for Romney, 14 to 1 for Edwards and 16 to 1 for McCain. Others give McCain, Edwards or Romney a better chance.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Probably no one inside the Beltway thinks Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) will win, but Sportsbook is giving him 6 to 1 odds :think2:
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2007/11/13/clinton_the_oddson_favorite.html
The presidential election might be a tight race now, but one of the country’s top pollsters thinks the race will end in an electoral LANDSLIDE.
John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a group of businesspeople today that it’s up to Democratic Sen. Barack Obama to convince voters to go with him. If he’s not successful, the country will likely vote for “a comfortable old shoe”, that being Republican Sen. John McCain.
Despite the books Obama has written, Americans are still asking, “Who are you, where are you from?,” Zogby said.
John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a group of businesspeople today that it’s up to Democratic Sen. Barack Obama to convince voters to go with him. If he’s not successful, the country will likely vote for “a comfortable old shoe”, that being Republican Sen. John McCain.
Despite the books Obama has written, Americans are still asking, “Who are you, where are you from?,” Zogby said.
A Democratic ticket led by Gov. Michael S. Dukakis of Massachusetts with the Rev. Jesse Jackson as his running mate would defeat Vice President Bush in a general election, a poll made public today showed.
A Democratic ticket led by Gov. Michael S. Dukakis of Massachusetts with the Rev. Jesse Jackson as his running mate would defeat Vice President Bush in a general election, a poll made public today showed.
Without Mr. Jackson, a Dukakis-Bush contest would be a toss-up, and alone Mr. Jackson would be crushed by the Vice President, the Roper Organization survey showed. But together the two Democrats would win, the poll found. :missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte
A Democratic ticket led by Gov. Michael S. Dukakis of Massachusetts with the Rev. Jesse Jackson as his running mate would defeat Vice President Bush in a general election, a poll made public today showed.
Without Mr. Jackson, a Dukakis-Bush contest would be a toss-up, and alone Mr. Jackson would be crushed by the Vice President, the Roper Organization survey showed. But together the two Democrats would win, the poll found. :missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte:missingte
Is that why obama is ahead in almost all of the polls and why virtually ever site that predicts the electoral college says that Obama is ahead based on the polling?
Oh wait, isn't Zogby the same guy that ON ELECTION DAY in 2004, predicted Kerry would win???
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/the_big_picture_politics/
Zogby: Kerry 322, Bush 216
<table><tbody><tr><td valign="center">
</td> <td valign="center"> James Joyner | Thursday, October 7, 2004</td> </tr></tbody></table> Barry Ritholtz passes on a word that a WSJ/Zogby poll has Kerry way up in the electoral college race, contradicting virtually every other poll known to mankind. For example, Slate’s projection two days ago had it Bush 348, Kerry 190.
A new WSJ.com projection of the Electoral College map, based on online polling done in 16 battleground states by Zogby Interactive, shows that under the survey’s current trends, and assuming Mr. Kerry wins states where he has razor-thin leads now, he would have 322 electoral votes and the president would have 216
Yeah, that Zogby really knows his stuff. He is outdate and a joke. The newer models are far more sophisticated and accurate as they rely on a number of polls rather than just 1.
Actually my ultimate goal would be much closer to fruition if Obama IS elected....Nobody should want him in office more than me, Succession from the USA and division of this country between conservatives and liberals is what i dream of every night...If McCain is elected that dream is probably gone for at least 4 yrs, more if he dies in office and Palin takes over. Im sick of Liberals..........sick to my stomach of their stupidity and corruption. I say give them half and let them ruin it any way they please. Give us 10 southern states and 1/3rd of the nukes and i'd be the happiest guy around.....
"Secession" is a very different word from "succession", so I'll presume you intended the former word and desire to see the return of the CSA, but this time with nukes.
So sorry, Jethro. The only significant changes you'll see in the coming half century will be the inevitiable merging of the North American Union.
So sorry, Jethro. The only significant changes you'll see in the coming half century will be the inevitiable merging of the North American Union.
GTC +135
betit +200
Jdog +250
or something like that. I have three wagers and those are the odds, I have to look up the names. I also have propositioned you.
Why on earth would you include me in such a post?
Kinda like BO moaning about earmarks
or Democrats knocking McCain about the frequency or lack of debates
or Democrats blaming Bush for the mortgage meltdown
or knocking Palin while defending Biden about being stupid or saying stupid things
it's gotta be the genes
I gotta go find out who my third bet is with (or maybe not) :thumbsup:
