Obviously I hedge this, but how much you think?

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Joined
Nov 10, 2006
Messages
479
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<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TH>I have two parlays. Both have one play left.





Ticket Number:
</TH><TH> 1
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Accepted Date:
</TD><TD>Dec 24, 2008 09:40 PM - EST
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Graded Date:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Parlay(3 team)
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Wager Status:
</TD><TD>Pending
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Risk:
</TD><TD>$2,000.00 (USD)
</TD></TR><TR><TD>To Win Amount:
</TD><TD>$11,374.59 (USD)
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Description:
</TD><TD class=print>Football - 217 West Virginia (Football) -1½ -110 for Game Football - 213 Notre Dame (Football) -½ -135 for 2nd Half Football - 213 Notre Dame (Football)/Hawaii (Football) over 24 -115 for 2nd Half
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TH>Item #:
</TH><TH>1
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Spread
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Outcome:
</TD><TD>Pending
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Sport / Period:
</TD><TD>NCAA Football / Game
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:
</TD><TD>West Virginia (Football) 12/27/2008 - (EST)
-1½ -110
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pitchers:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>* Game Notes:
</TD><TD class=print>MEINEKE CARE BOWL @ Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
</TD></TR><TR><TH>Item #:
</TH><TH>2
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Spread
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Outcome:
</TD><TD>Win
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Sport / Period:
</TD><TD>NCAA Football / 2nd Half
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:
</TD><TD>Notre Dame (Football) 12/24/2008 - (EST)
-0½ -135
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pitchers:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>* Game Notes:
</TD><TD class=print>HAWAII BOWL @ Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
</TD></TR><TR><TH>Item #:
</TH><TH>3
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Total
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Outcome:
</TD><TD>Win
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Sport / Period:
</TD><TD>NCAA Football / 2nd Half
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:
</TD><TD>Notre Dame (Football)/Hawaii (Football) 12/24/2008 - (EST)
Over 24 -115
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pitchers:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>* Game Notes:
</TD><TD class=print>HAWAII BOWL @ Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TD>Accepted Date:
</TD><TD>Dec 24, 2008 09:36 PM - EST
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Graded Date:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Parlay(3 team)
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Wager Status:
</TD><TD>Pending
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Risk:
</TD><TD>$1,000.00 (USD)
</TD></TR><TR><TD>To Win Amount:
</TD><TD>$6,209.72 (USD)
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Description:
</TD><TD class=print>Football - 216 Central Michigan (Football) -7 -105 for Game Football - 213 Notre Dame (Football) -½ -120 for 2nd Half Football - 213 Notre Dame (Football)/Hawaii (Football) over 24 -115 for 2nd Half
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TH>Item #:
</TH><TH>1
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Spread
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Outcome:
</TD><TD>Pending
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Sport / Period:
</TD><TD>NCAA Football / Game
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:
</TD><TD>Central Michigan (Football) 12/26/2008 - (EST)
-7 -105
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pitchers:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>* Game Notes:
</TD><TD class=print>MOTOR CITY BOWL @ Ford Field - Detroit, MI
</TD></TR><TR><TH>Item #:
</TH><TH>2
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Spread
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Outcome:
</TD><TD>Win
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Sport / Period:
</TD><TD>NCAA Football / 2nd Half
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:
</TD><TD>Notre Dame (Football) 12/24/2008 - (EST)
-0½ -120
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pitchers:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>* Game Notes:
</TD><TD class=print>HAWAII BOWL @ Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
</TD></TR><TR><TH>Item #:
</TH><TH>3
</TH></TR><TR><TD>Wager Type:
</TD><TD>Total
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Outcome:
</TD><TD>Win
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Sport / Period:
</TD><TD>NCAA Football / 2nd Half
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:
</TD><TD>Notre Dame (Football)/Hawaii (Football) 12/24/2008 - (EST)
Over 24 -115
</TD></TR><TR><TD>Pitchers:
</TD><TD>N/A
</TD></TR><TR><TD>
</TD><TD>
</TD></TR><TR><TD>* Game Notes:
</TD><TD class=print>HAWAII BOWL @ Aloha Stadium - Honolulu, HI
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE><TBODY></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE><TBODY></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE><TBODY></TBODY></TABLE>
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Joined
Nov 15, 2007
Messages
1,556
Tokens
Nice hits. I parlayed the over and ND 2nd half myself!

I like WV here, but don't love them. I would hedge 4 here, and 2 on the other one. Guarantee a win between 6 and 11.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2006
Messages
479
Tokens
crap, the game is circled so the max wager now is $500. I'd rather just lay $4k on unc and $2 on fau now. dammmmmmn.
 
Joined
Mar 9, 2007
Messages
14,157
Tokens
Sweet,

Have $3,500 on UNC +1.5

Have $1,800 on FAU +7


This sounds reasonable to me. UNC is an unkown with TJ Yates now being back in his 3rd game and should have the rustiness worked. UNC was a good team with him @ QB in the beginning of the season and dominated Virginia Tech until he got hurt.

On the other game, See my post on "Things you should know, Ford Motor City". I have alot of concerns with Central Michigan. Terrible defense and 10 of their 12 games, win or lose have been decided by 10 points or less (5 of their 8 wins were by 3 points or less).

Hedge.....absolutely. How much is the question. This post sounds reasonable to me.
 

Have you ever seen a penguin and not smiled?
Joined
Oct 19, 2006
Messages
691
Tokens
Why do people hedge?

If you really wagered $3,000 on two 3-team parlays then you can obviously afford to lose. Why would you hedge? Long run you are not making the best bet.
 

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