Obama -360 @the Greek

[AlwayzRight]

Game Over

 

[paftraft]

Game Over

Take it! I just took BO at -200 yesterday, but also took Mac @+335 at Matchbook. Various books have a differing take on election. It is a scalpers paradise!

 

[tiznow]

currently 70/30 at intrade

so no take line in a more liquid two side market saying right price currently is +233 mccain/-233 obama

 

[SportsAlmanac2000]

I grabbed Bush at +400 in 2004, about 4 hours before the polls closed.

 

[barman]

TIZ, who is the new avatar?

 

[nimue77]

I grabbed Bush at +400 in 2004, about 4 hours before the polls closed.

Made possible by election fraud.

 

[terpkeg]

Take it! I just took BO at -200 yesterday, but also took Mac @+335 at Matchbook. Various books have a differing take on election. It is a scalpers paradise!

where'd you get -200? would like a piece of that.

 

[D2bets]

currently 70/30 at intrade

so no take line in a more liquid two side market saying right price currently is +233 mccain/-233 obama

Intrade has consistently had a lower price on Obama different from all of the other markets out there (betfair, matchbook, other sportsbooks, iowa markets, etc etc). Someone has been manipulating the price there for whatever reason. No big deal, but I don't think it's right to say that Intrade is a true market reflection.

And by the way, I'm very happy that this has been the case.

 

[The Guesser]

-200 was available at Carib yesterday, max of $100 to win. Carib has consistently been lower than any offshore on Obama's odds. They appear to be inviting Obama money, but only at max $100 to win.

 

[bigplay]

5dimes:

Obama -430

 

[zeeman]

5dimes:

Obama -430

Lock! Obviously best man for the job. You have to be extremely smart and solid to become the first African American President of the USA.ope:

 

[Brooklynbomber]

-480 now at Greek...........McCain +360

:nohead:

 

[whormoan]

-400 at Bookmaker

 

[D2bets]

Now -460/+420 at Matchbook. I think it might peak in the low -500's for awhile. There is a bit of a ceiling before election day as regardless of what the polls say you can never quite know for sure what actually will happen and there will always be people looking to bet on a surprise.

 

[SportSavant]

Ive got about 12% of my bankroll at average odds of Obama -130.

I wondering wether to be greedy and ride it out as a LOCK or protect myself a bit....

If I protect myself, should I wait a bit or grab thes odds of +420 now?

I still remember Last year when BUSH was +300 or more on the morning of the election and wound up winning.

 

[zeeman]

Ive got about 12% of my bankroll at average odds of Obama -130.

I wondering wether to be greedy and ride it out as a LOCK or protect myself a bit....

If I protect myself, should I wait a bit or grab thes odds of +420 now?

I still remember Last year when BUSH was +300 or more on the morning of the election and wound up winning.

You mean 4 years ago. If that was the case you might want to hedge. I think it would be a waste of money but you would still make a nice profit if your hedge loses. I don't think there's anyway Mccain wins at the point. Bush did lose in 2004 until they fixxed the outcome of the Florida votes. This will not happen this year. Again hedge is a waste of money, but it will protect your position against the unthinkable happening.

 

[D2bets]

Ive got about 12% of my bankroll at average odds of Obama -130.

I wondering wether to be greedy and ride it out as a LOCK or protect myself a bit....

If I protect myself, should I wait a bit or grab thes odds of +420 now?

I still remember Last year when BUSH was +300 or more on the morning of the election and wound up winning.

Well done. I assume you use Matchbook? Matchbook seems to have good odds on the McCain side (at least as compared to Intrade and it's a market so you don't have huge juice). You might start nibbling on McCain over +400 by making offers to get good prices.

 

[SportSavant]

Well done. I assume you use Matchbook? Matchbook seems to have good odds on the McCain side (at least as compared to Intrade and it's a market so you don't have huge juice). You might start nibbling on McCain over +400 by making offers to get good prices.

forgive me for this dumb question, but what is the forumula for converting Intrade odds to American Style Pricing.

Say intrade is selling OBAMA at 70, how would I convert that to USA style pricing, ive got a forumla, but I dont think its the simplest one.

thanks

 

[SportSavant]

For other conversions I use the convertor at SBR which I have to admit is pretty kewl....

 

[D2bets]

forgive me for this dumb question, but what is the forumula for converting Intrade odds to American Style Pricing.

Say intrade is selling OBAMA at 70, how would I convert that to USA style pricing, ive got a forumla, but I dont think its the simplest one.

thanks

Well one way is that Intrade has a converter chart. I printed it out and have it pasted on my wall. Or, for example, 70 would be 70/30=2.333 is +233.