Notre Dame at Virginia

[sendacash]

I'm trying to build a case for taking the home dog as this looks like somewhat of a sandwich spot for the Irish and everyone saw how they dismantled Texas on national TV last week. But now Virginia is having some depth issues on the O-line as they just lost two offensive linemen for the season:

Similar to Texas, Virginia has been hit hard with attrition recently along the offensive line, including season ending injuries to guard/tackles Jake Fieler and backup center Eric Tetlow. Ryan Doull, who started at guard last season, is also sidelined with an injury and not expected back for the Notre Dame game.

That doesn't bode well for an offense that last year finished 88th in yards per pass attempt (6.6) and 101st in yards per rush (3.7). Those numbers versus UCLA this weekend were 6.8 yards per the 35 pass attempts for quarterback Matt Johns, while the ground attack managed only 98 yards on 34 attempts (2.9 yards per carry). - See more at: https://notredame.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1800175#sthash.QrK4mZmu.dpuf


http://virginia.247sports.com/Bolt/UVa-loses-two-offensive-linemen-for-the-season-39239837


Any thoughts on this game?

 

[Cantpickem]

Virginia got ATS last week on an almost last min TD (I had VA last weekend). UCLA did substitute late in the 3rd qtr as VA was wearing thin.
Do you think Texas is bigger, faster and could be better than VA? I would think that Texas is slightly better than VA. Am I off base here?

 

[rowdyroddy]

Vegas "expert" claims spread will get to 14 by kickoff, may want to wait...

 

[sendacash]

Good point there Rowdy as I see there are close to 86% on ND right now and this line has only moved about 1 point upwards so I'm kind of wondering what's been holding this line back. Makes sense though that there could be a flood of public money flowing in on game day on ND with this game again on national TV.

 

[wub1098]

Vegas "expert" claims spread will get to 14 by kickoff, may want to wait...

It's already attempted to get to there, but sharps started pounding it soon a it got to +13 and now it's sitting at 11.5 at most shops.

Interested to see what the public money may do to the line on Saturday. I personally have VA +13 locked in and don't think it'll get to 14 but I've been wrong before and will be again.

Good luck whoever you decide to play.

 

[rowdyroddy]

roger that, I have Irish at 10.5 and would have NP sprinkling a little on Virginia +14
casual fan/gambler will bet ND till given a reason not to

 

[Acebb]

Case for the dog:

Irish 2-8 ATS laying DD since 2013 and on a 2-5 road favorite ATS run. Cavs 7-1 vs. line last 8 at home, 4-0 last 4 as home dog.

As noted, the line dropped and I would wait it out to hope it gets back to at least 13.