Not so much of a play of the year anymore

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I don't know enough to know I don't know
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I may take the day off Sunday as I see some plays but nothing that I’d risk for a heavy play. I might just place a couple of fun bets on Edmonton and Pittsburgh but nothing official.

However I mentioned this a couple days ago and it deserves repeating. I highly recommend taking Tampa Bay to win the Eastern Conference at Olympic. Their odds are still at +550 and after tonight’s action this bet has some great value in that of the remaining 14 games for the Lightning 9 of them are games they should win. They play Carolina twice, Islanders twice, and games against the Rangers, Sabres, Capitals, Panthers, and Thrashers. Nine of their games are at home and five on the road. Their only tests remaining are at Detroit, at Boston, at Toronto and home against the Devils and the Senators.

The standings as of Saturday :

.................GP.....PTS
Tampa Bay ……68.……90
Philadelphia……70.……88
Ottawa…………68.……86
Toronto………..69.……86
Boston…………69.……85


Philly has two less games than Tampa Bay and at this point number of games remaining is the most valuable commodity a team could own. Also of their remaining 12 games six of them are difficult. Two vs. NJ, Dallas, Toronto, Montreal, and Ottawa.

Ottawa has 14 games remaining but 11 of them are on the road where they have played .500 all year. And they do not look very good at present.

Toronto I feel are the strongest contenders to Tampa Bay but the Leafs are only strong providing Belfour keeps playing with his ailing back and it was reported that he hasn’t been attending the practices in an attempt to rest as much as possible which to me say’s his health is tentative at best. In Toronto’s last 13 games they play 7 difficult opponents. Two against Ottawa and Boston each. One against Tampa Bay, Colorado, and Montreal.

Boston has one less game to play than the Lightning and stand 5 points behind. And they still play two games vs. Toronto and two vs. NJ. Singles against TB, Ottawa, and Montreal.


In review, the Lightning by far have the easiest schedule, the most games, most at home, and lead the conference by at least two points on everyone. So why are they a +550 dog?
Take this bet. It is my NHL play of the year.



NHL single unit plays………76-53-7.…..+ 22.92
Unit and a half plays………..13-2-1.…… + 16.695

NHL total to Date…………...89-55-8.……+ 39.615

[This message was edited by VegasVic on March 07, 2004 at 12:19 AM.]
 

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I did some research on this yesterday folks...FYI +700 available at Wil Hill...they are very solid...dont know if it is worth opening account over, however if yu are taking the bet or have an account take a look

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VIC,

THis bet is to win the EASTERN CONFERENCE is it not? Meaning that they have to make the Stanley Cup Finals NO? I was asking you about this yesterday,

that is how I read it anyway I think...
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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Shit! I wasn't thinking that at all. I think you're right Savant.
 

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better change the title of your thread lol...I hope u didnt pound it
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they have a great chance however.....
 

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anyway if you want to you can call & confirm & if they say it isnt I am sure you can explain & cancel if you want...but then again...it is probably fate...let it ride!!!!
 

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No you're absolutely right. I have no idea what I was thinking. I didn't put the mortgage on it, just the pink slip to the caddy!
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btw, I was looking at the + X + 190 for Pitt tomorrow, now I realize there is a great chance they lose but this of course is where the math comes in as we were discussing...I gotta beleive there is at least a 35% chance that they will win or tie against the lowly rangers. Is Messier even playing through this debacle? anyway, nonetheless, the math, IMHO makes this a strong bet but ONLY OVER THE LONG HAUL....cant jump in & out on a bet like this...
 

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Yeah I took the Pens for a small play. If it wasn't for the early start after they played the night before...travel etc. I'd make it larger. The Rangers at this point can't be considered much of a better squad and most important is you have one team playing fired up against one that can't wait for the season to be done. Huge difference in attitude between these two teams.
 

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I was thinking of Edmonton as well. Edmonton has played well lately and Chicago..well...they're Chicago.

IS
 

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