Northern Illinois vs Akron 10/2/2010

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Akron. Chandler Harnish is averaging 167 passing yards and 1.18 TDs per simulation and Chad Spann is projected for 136 rushing yards and a 86% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Akron wins, Patrick Nicely averages 1.38 TD passes vs 0.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.65 TDs to 0.57 interceptions. Nate Burney averages 50 rushing yards and 0.64 rushing TDs when Akron wins and 42 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AKR +13.5 --- Over/Under line is 47

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