ditto hawker here, don't cross zero as it usually leaves you with one possession to play with as is the case with LSU +7, this is rule #1. Miss St. has the superior offense and according to my numbers has a 28% chance to win by a touch. Also of note teasers of 3 teams or more are at best 50% which gives the house a huge edge.
Just look at the line LSU +7...what is the first thing that you think? Do you really think that Miss St offense is that much better than LSU's offense? LSU will completely lock them down...look at what Miss St was reduced to vs Auburn last week. The ONLY play they were able to do anything on was Relf up the middle...the guy was scared shitless to pass - and that was vs the Auburn CB's and everyone knows that AU's defense is complete dog shit compared to LSU. Couple in the fact that Miss St is playing on short rest with a laundry list of key injuries...the only way they win is if Relf can beat them with his arm. Does anyone give that much of a chance? Sorry, not with LSU's D-Line and CB's I dont. LSU curb-stomped a fantastic team the first week of the year...they are legit and Les Miles knows how to win these games. No chance that Lee will give this game away either...the play calling will be as vanilla as you have ever seen.
What statement win does Mullen have? One over a beaten down Florida team? I saw this song and dance with Alabama last time they went to Starkville...Miss St was supposed to fired up to play and going to win...blah blah blah...guess what? Alabama beat them down and I believe the line was the same as this game. I am looking for basically the same thing on Thursday night. LSU by 14+.
I'd use something besides Boise. I like Boise they are a helluva team but they are going to play in the black hole of the MAC where time and space can sometimes be bent to suit the home team. Just a caution from someone who's seen strange things happen on a Thursday night game in the Glass Bowl
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I don't have a good feel for the PAC whatever but I do for the Big whatever and the MAC. While I see a lot of touts thinking that NIU will keep up with Wisconsin they obviously have never seen the difference in their lines. Tease Wisconsin down 10, even though they'll win by 4 TDs it's a nice cushion.
