Coast2Coast
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Record on Rx:
Season: 99-88-6
March: 45-33-4
NIT: 7-2
NCAA : 13-10-2
St. Joe’s -1 vs. <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:State w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">South Carolina</st1lace></st1:State>, 2 units
Greetings from NYC. Good timing for a biz trip as I plan to be in the Garden to watch this one in person Thurs. night. This game breaks down very similarly to the Joe-Memphis game Tuesday night. St. Joe’s is a tough team to play because their tempo will take teams out of their comfort zone and force shot selection discipline on their opponents. On the other end, Joe's offensive screening requires great defensive discipline and the ability to fight through screens for the full 35 seconds of every possession. Can SC play this kind of game? Can they be disciplined in their shot selection? Can they bust ass on defense to jump through screens to get out on shooters yet not leave the back door open or get confuzzled on down screens that leaves Jones wide open under the hoop? These were <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Memphis</st1:City></st1lace>’ problems. Carroll is a great spot up shooter who only needs a microsecond to find his shot. And Joe’s screening results in a lot of wide open looks on the perimeter and in the paint. <st1:State w:st="on">South Carolina</st1:State> is a team, like <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Memphis</st1:City></st1lace>, that is at its best when they can play fast and when their opponents play fast with them. But when they’re forced to play a tempo game and shot selection becomes more critical and each possession is more valuable, SC hasn’t done as well. To wit: When SC has been held to under 70 points, the Gamecocks were just 5-12 ATS. Conversely, they were 9-4 ATS when scoring 70 or more. Do you think they’ll score 70 against a Joe team that has allowed 70 points just once in 2005 (to GW). (Joe allowed more than 70 three times in Nov-Dec). In fact, in its last 15 games, Joe has allowed only three opponents to score more than 60 points. If SC scores fewer than 70, the technicals get even more impressive. SC was a poor 1-7 ATS when scoring less than 65 points, and 0-2 ATS when scoring less than 60. This Joe team is very tough to prepare for. SC hasn’t really played anybody like them. I don’t think 48 hours is enough...and even if they had more time, instilling defensive discipline is a hard thing to coach into players the last week of March.
One final note: I very much respect other people on this site who are posting the other side of this one. This is in no way a fade against anybody or anything. I simply play em as I see em. Good luck all.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<o></o>
Season: 99-88-6
March: 45-33-4
NIT: 7-2
NCAA : 13-10-2
St. Joe’s -1 vs. <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">South Carolina</st1lace></st1:State>, 2 units Greetings from NYC. Good timing for a biz trip as I plan to be in the Garden to watch this one in person Thurs. night. This game breaks down very similarly to the Joe-Memphis game Tuesday night. St. Joe’s is a tough team to play because their tempo will take teams out of their comfort zone and force shot selection discipline on their opponents. On the other end, Joe's offensive screening requires great defensive discipline and the ability to fight through screens for the full 35 seconds of every possession. Can SC play this kind of game? Can they be disciplined in their shot selection? Can they bust ass on defense to jump through screens to get out on shooters yet not leave the back door open or get confuzzled on down screens that leaves Jones wide open under the hoop? These were <st1
lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Memphis</st1:City></st1lace>’ problems. Carroll is a great spot up shooter who only needs a microsecond to find his shot. And Joe’s screening results in a lot of wide open looks on the perimeter and in the paint. <st1:State w:st="on">South Carolina</st1:State> is a team, like <st1lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Memphis</st1:City></st1lace>, that is at its best when they can play fast and when their opponents play fast with them. But when they’re forced to play a tempo game and shot selection becomes more critical and each possession is more valuable, SC hasn’t done as well. To wit: When SC has been held to under 70 points, the Gamecocks were just 5-12 ATS. Conversely, they were 9-4 ATS when scoring 70 or more. Do you think they’ll score 70 against a Joe team that has allowed 70 points just once in 2005 (to GW). (Joe allowed more than 70 three times in Nov-Dec). In fact, in its last 15 games, Joe has allowed only three opponents to score more than 60 points. If SC scores fewer than 70, the technicals get even more impressive. SC was a poor 1-7 ATS when scoring less than 65 points, and 0-2 ATS when scoring less than 60. This Joe team is very tough to prepare for. SC hasn’t really played anybody like them. I don’t think 48 hours is enough...and even if they had more time, instilling defensive discipline is a hard thing to coach into players the last week of March. One final note: I very much respect other people on this site who are posting the other side of this one. This is in no way a fade against anybody or anything. I simply play em as I see em. Good luck all.
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fficeffice" /><o></o><o
></o>
) But I capped this game on the fundamentals, not the betting aspects. More than one way to pick a winner. You are also correct that Odom is a decent coach and he does apparently get his kids fired up for the NIT. However, I would say the same about Martelli. Not sure I can give an edge to either coach or to either team's "wanting" to win this more than the other. Championship games of any kind are rarely about one team having more talent or heart....they're about matchups. Good luck to you.
