NHL Tuesday

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I don't know enough to know I don't know
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The trade deadline comes at noon tomorrow PST. Things can and will change in a hurry. You can try to use this to your advantage and bet on speculation that a team out of contention will jettison some key talent and leave themselves shorthanded for tonight’s action.

Case in point. Sunday night I penciled in a play for the Atlanta Thrashers. They are playing like they’re battling for the Stanley Cup itself. Holding nothing back and coming together as a team as if there is no tomorrow, (which there probably is none). The Rangers are dismantled and disinterested. Any wonder who will be let go from New York’s roster by this time tomorrow? Jagr, Messier??? As of 8:45 pm PST on Monday night Pinnacle won’t post any odds on this game. Olympic won’t post odds on any of the games tomorrow at this late hour, (for them).
So I wait.

The Islanders are another team that could be making some moves tomorrow. I like the Blues in their game but the status of Osgood concerns me and as of this hour I can’t find any information of his health for tomorrows game.
So I wait.

Lastly I’m not a parlay player but every now and then there is a combination that stands out and Tuesday has one that stands tall to me. Toronto -.5 -170 with Los Angeles -.5 -165. Unfortunately Pinnacle does not allow parlays to be placed until the day of the game. And as I mentioned Olympic is down all together so….
I wait.


But then there’s a one game where I don’t have to take a number or wait in any lines so boldly I go…..


Calgary Flames -.5 +105
[unit a half play]

The Flames showed me much in their 7-1 victory at Colorado last Sunday. (worst loss at home by the Avs in their history since they’ve been in Colorado) Calgary looked very much like the team that I got fat on in December when I started this series of posts. Back when Miikka Kiprusoff came with little acclaim and attention. Well he’s not flying under the radar anymore but according to the linesmaker, with this number posted, the team sure is.

The Flames have played a monstrous schedule for the last three weeks and the results have shown their inability to play with the big boys. First there was a five game road trip where they started with a win at Minnesota then lost at Montreal, Ottawa, and New Jersey. Then they shut out the Avs at Colorado. They come home and lose to the Red Wings but beat Phoenix. Back to the road for four games and win at St. Louis, lose at Detroit and at Dallas, then beat the Avs last Sunday. After playing 9 on the road and 2 at home they come home for two. Against Edmonton tonight and Ottawa Thursday. Then go back to the road against Nashville, St. Louis , and Detroit. The reason I include all this is two fold. (A) They clearly have a hard time against top teams, (excluding Colorado) and they beat the weaker teams. (B) Their schedule has been impossible, continues to be impossible and they can not let this game against a mediocre Oiler squad get by them.

Calgary fights with four teams for the last three spots in the western conference playoff version of musical chairs. And the Flames need to be sitting when the music stops. Only three points separates those four teams.

The Flames added Chris Simon last week who is one of the league’s most feared fighters and his presence on the team gives them the enforcer that they’ve been lacking all year. A high scoring forward isn’t the only way to immediately change a team’s chemistry and confidence. Having someone bigger and tougher than the school yard bully behind you to watch your back does wonders for your self esteem, doesn’t it? Same principal here…except they wear skates and there’s no jungle gyms on their playground.

And you thought I was going to spout off stats? (trust me I got ‘em but you’re getting bored as hell reading this aren’t you?)



NHL single unit plays………77-53-7.…..+ 23.97
Unit and a half plays………..13-2-1.…… + 16.695

NHL total to Date…………...90-55-8.……+ 40.665


I’ll try to add more tomorrow as the cowards decide to start posting some numbers.
 

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-wow, colorada really was angry about that whooping they took at the hands of the flames as they are up 9-2 on the cannucks as I write this...

-as for the cannucks, forget it, they have no chance in winning this years cup...
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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I have little time to write my reasons why so I’ll keep this brief.

Atlanta Thrashers -.5 -155

[unit and a half play]

New York continues to dismantle and by the time this game rolls around they will be little more than a AHL team in Ranger unis.

Last night two more bit the dust in Vladimir Malakhov and Matthew Barnbary. There could very well be some more this morning.

The Thrashers are playing some of the most enthused hockey of any team in the league and will easily handle this shell of a team from New York.



Parlay….Toronto -.5 -175 / Los Angeles -.5 -159


Putting one unit on this will net you better than a unit and a half. (+155)

Toronto rebounds from a poor performance against Buffalo and will look like the same team that destroyed the Devils, Bruins, and Islanders before last Saturday.

Florida traded their leading scorer, (Valeri Bure), from a team lacking in offensive punch. Roberto Luongo has looked human in his last two being pulled in the third period from both. Toronto will take a early convincing lead and never look back.

The Kings are playing for the last spot in the west playoff race and need every point they can get. And if you need wins, Phoenix is the best medicine for any club.
 

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Vic,

I think you have some winners there. Already at noon est, these lines have increased substantially.

Atlanta is a winner for sure. By gametime even Mess will be wondering who half of his teamates are.. that is, if he's still with the club.

I can't wait until you tackle the bases this year Vic. Baseball is a game of patience because there are so many games each day. It seems that you have a knack of picking out the way teams are playing, even if they aren't main stream teams. You must have one hell of a hockey package and one mad wife...

Thanks for the run lately, keep it up.

sharp.
 

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Question,

When you wager on a game for one unit...if it's Atlanta -.5 -155,

Would you wager 155 to win 100 (assuming each unit is $100 in value)?

Thanks for the clarification
 

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yo sharp, am thinking about going to see your band this Friday!!!!

how's the 'guest list' looking...
lolBIG.gif
 

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Savant,

Hope to see you at the show. Btw, what kind of business man would I be if I gave away all my tickets?

I'll be the one in the suit.
icon_smile.gif


Btw, what do you think the line is going to be tomorrow: Pitt @ TOR?
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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Thanks sharp for the props and you better believe I’m looking forward to baseball season.
And wife? Who’s to say the hockey package isn’t the wife?

Gab,
Yes when I’m betting on a favorite, I’m betting to win one unit. So if I was wagering only one unit with Atlanta tonight I would be risking 155 to win 100. In case of a team with a plus price like Calgary tonight I would risk 100 to win 105. However both plays tonight are unit and a half plays so Atlanta would be 232.50 to win 150 and Calgary 150 to win 157.50.
 

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