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I don't know enough to know I don't know
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Anaheim/Los Angeles Over 4.5 -125

When I first saw this number come up early Saturday afternoon on Olympic I said…. surely it’s a mistake. So I called and found out, it wasn’t a mistake or a misprint and they prefer you don’t call them surely.

So if it’s not a mistake can someone tell me why this number isn’t at 5? Is it a trap? Do they know something that I don’t know? Well the answer to that last question is of course they do but that’s fine….I’ll stumble naively into the darkness and bite anyway.

Here’s what I do know. I’ve seen these two teams play each other a few times this year and every time it’s a wide open, high shooting affair that goes over the total almost every time. Yet every game the linesmaker keeps posting a 4 and a half. Five games this year and all were 4.5 with four of them going over. They combined for 8 goals on 1/7, 6 on 1/24, 7 on 1/28. Then only 3 goals scored on 2/28 but I had that game and watched every minute of it. There could have easily been 7 or 8 as the two teams combined for 67 shots on goal Giguere stood on his head all game for the Ducks only allowing one goal with 36 saves. The next night they combined for 76 shots and lit the lamp 9 times.

This result is not unique to this year either. Last year they went over the total 3 out of 5 times. In the ten games between these two since last year they have scored a total of 66 goals. No calculator is needed to figure out they average 6.6 goals per game. So WHY does this number remain at 4.5?



NHL single unit plays………85-54-7.…..+ 31.47
Unit and a half plays………..13-5-1.…… + 10.845

NHL total to Date…………...98-59-8.……+ 42.315
 

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It seems you've amassed quite a following Vic. I too, have watched these 2 teams go at it over the last couple years. I used to be concerned with Giguere but he has cooled off a little since last year's playoffs.

Thanks for the tip.
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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Funny what a couple wins can do for your popularity!
 

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it is funny,

vic you obviously post a very well thought out plan with only 1 & 1.5 unit plays...very smart...the public reading your thread I hope takes note of this, remember folks, any game can lose so please...play responsible...determine an amount that you could handle losing in a worst case scenerio, say 5000$, or 10000$ (or whatever you can afford).

If your amount is 10000, play 1 unit for 100$ & play 1.5 for 150$...watch your bankroll grow over time....NOT OVERNITE...

If it gowes up by 20% you can increase yout play by 20%, same thing if it goes down (decrease your play)...

Eventually your bankroll will grow & bets get bigger & bigger...

Any game can lose...& EVERY capper has losing weeks & months...it is inevitable...

so play responsibly....

have a plan...

write it down on paper...

DISCLAIMER: this is all my humble opinion...
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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You can tell this man has done some reading. Words of wisdom, discipline, patience, and maturity that are equaly, (if not more), important than all the research and homework could ever be.

No disclaimer necessary
 

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its funny,

been sports wagering for 14 years or so, but only started reading heavily & learning in the past 4 years...

gamblers have a tendency to feel they know it all, the key is to listen....read...read...read...& learn...& listen to advice...

DISCIPLINE & MONEY MANAGEMENT, are more important in my humble opinion than ONE's actual abilty to cap.
 

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I hope you guys ignored my advice & pounded this Fvcker...lol...

way to go Vic...

My reaction to Vic's run =
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Vic:

Thanks much for pointing me in the direction of the Avs/Kings game. I don't take advice blindly but you're suggestion made sense to me and I cashed in on this!
 

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