<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Think I'm getting a woody...how sick is that!? <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
u can still get those at your age? just kidding
Check out these baseball tips taken from poster GRANDFATHER at MW...
Let me know which if any are of any use if you have time...
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Houston has only been swept in a home series 5 times in the last 71 home series.
Look hard at them if they lose game 1 of a home series.
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Like betting the Yankees, but hate the price?
Try them on the road where the price is fair.
They have only been swept in a road series 2 times in 69 road series.
And no better time than the opening series in Tampa Bay April 6th and 7th.
In the 6 years Tampa Bay has been a Major League team, the Yankees have owned the first series there each year. The Yankees are a combined 16-3 in the 1st series of the year in Tampa the last 6 years. They won game #1 five times, and the year they lost game 1, they won game 2.
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Yesterday, we picked on Tampa Bay a little bit.
Today, we look to play them.
After the April 6 & 7th games at home vs the Yankees, Tampa welcomes the Baltimore Birds to town on April 9th - April 11th. Baltimore opened with a 4 game set at home vs Boston. They will have their #5 starter going in the opener.(Barring postponements in Baltimore). Tampa has played only 2 games.
History points us right at Tampa as they have won 11 of the last 14 games at home vs the Birds and have not been swept in 15 series. Baltimore has lost either game 1 or 2 (or both) of a road series 38 of the last 40 times, and only has 2 road series sweeps in 68 tries. It's Tampa Bay all the way.
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Another nice setup comes our way on the opening series in Minnesota this year. April 5-7.
The last 12 times the Tribe came-a-calling here, at least one game went under, of the first two of the series, 11 times.
Also Cleveland has won game 1 and 2 of a series here, only once in the same 12 tries.
Unlike Col. Custer, we have plenty notice about these Indians, and how to beat them.
We better get back to the Senior Circuit and find a good diddy.
We have already documented Houston's home record. But in the opening series, the San Francisco Giants come calling. San Fran on the road is always worth a look, as they have only been swept 3 times in 69 road series. And in Houston, they have won 14 of the last 16 games there.
This series will not be a sweep one way or the other, so bet accordingly after game #1.
Then San Fran makes a visit to San Deigo, where they have not lost the first 2 games of a series since 1998 (14 in a row). They won game #1 here 10 of the last 14 times.
We will look to capture a unit or two on the Giants during this opening week of action.
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Detroit visits Toronto April 5-7th. Hardly a marque matchup, but a money maker for us nontheless.
You see, with a little research, we find the Jays have caged the Tigers 20 of the last 23 times they played north of the border.
Sorry Tiger fans. Your team will again start out under .500....Pudge or no Pudge.
Pick up a little gas money playing the under too. 8 of the last 12 went under. And the last 6 years, the first series of the year at Toronto, either game 1 or game 2 or both, went under.
"Hold that Tiger...Hold that Tiger"
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Today we look at another bad team and figure out how to make money off them.
No, we won't make 2 Million $ like Bud Selig's daughter does, but the Milwaukee Brewers offer
a chance to cash in a few units now and then.
The Brewers are 64 -3 to have at least one under in a home series. (Only 3 series have been all overs in the new park)
We bring this up because Houston stops by for the opener to get a few brats and beers.
And when they have visited the last 15 times, at least one game went under, and 14 of those 15 times, either game #1 or game #2 or both, went under
Bernie Brewer won't be sliding much in this series. But we will slide up to the pay window to collect.
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Time for a no brainer.
Texas @ Oakland Apr 5-7th
Oakland is on a 18-3 run at home vs Texas.
7-0 game 1 of a home series vs Texas
6-1 game 1 of the year here vs Texas.
5-0-1 over the total, game 1 of the year last 6 years home vs Texas.
If you decided to take Oakland, you all get "A's"
Class dismissed.
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Today we look at the Atlanta Braves on the road. Their first road series is in week 2 @ the NY Mets April 12th and 14th-15th. (Mets open in Atlanta so pay attention to that outcome)
The Braves have only been swept on the road 3 times in 71 road series. But this series is not the best spot for the Braves, as they hardly dominate the Mets in NY. The opening series in Atlanta will give us a clearer picture if this is a play or not.
Use the "no sweep" for the Braves method, "down the road" a bit. I'll be passing this series as it now stands, but things can change in a month.
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By now our pockets should be going "jingle jangle jingle...as we go riding merrily along."
In week 2, Florida hits the road with inflated World Series Champ lines tacked to them.
We'll take advantage of that in Montreal April 13-15th.
You see, Florida has only 2 road sweeps in 72 road series.
And in Montreal, they have 1 road sweep in 18 tries. Only once in 8 years have they swept the first series of the year in Montreal. Add to that, Montreal has only been swpet 3 times in their last 43 home series.
It's fish fry Canadian style.
n the second series of week #1, we find a gem in Tinsle Town. Colorado @ LA. April 9-11th
LA is the play!!!
On Colorado's first visit of the year here, LA is 12-2 the last 4 years.
In all series here, LA is 10-1 to win either game 1 or game 2 or both.
LA is 12-2 in the Last game of the series the last 14 series here vs Colorado.
Gas money can be made looking at the under too. The last 16 games have produced a 12-3-1 under record.
Colorado will truely be in "La-La Land".
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Today I venture into one of my personal favorites, teams playing in new parks.
The last 10 years or so, we have seen a bundle of new parks built. Several years ago, I studied this angle, and have had super results.
Play against a team seeing a new park for the first time.
There are many varibles, but this is the very best senerio.
The home team is coming off a home series.
The visitor played the night before elsewhere.
Let me paint the picture. Team B travels to Team A. Team B has never seen the new park. They get in town late, get hooked up in their hotels, chase a few women and beers, call their stock brokers, take care of any other personal business and finally hit the sack. Next day they get to the park maybe 3 hours before game time. Of course all the talk will be about the new park. Tours will be taken.
You have a team comfy in their new digs and a team that has seen the park for 3 hours. Hitting backdrops, pitching mounds, ground rules, etc will be the topics. It all adds up to a HUGE home team advantage that will not be reflected in the line. Sellouts are the norm the first year of a new park too. Don't underestimate the will of Team A playing before a packed venue of friendlies.
OK. Who has new parks this year? San Deigo and Philadelphia.
15 teams will come to visit for the first time. BUT, have a little caution in April. This gets stronger as the year goes on. Remember, the park is new to the home team too till they get used to it.
Opening day in Pittsburg finds the Phillies in town.
We want Pittsburg in a big way as they have won game 1 of the year here vs Philadelphia 5 years in a row.
They have won 11 of 16 here overall and of the last 9 series, they have won game 1 or game 2 or both, 8 of 9 times.
We double up on the over too.
Over is on a 12-5-2 run here and 6 series in a row went over at least 1 of the first 2 games.
Pittsburg will have no Brotherly Love for the visitors in this one.
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April 8th, 10th 11th, Minnesota travels to Detroit.
The Twins have won 12 of the last 15 here.
12 of the last 14 also went under.
Let's make a case for the Twins and under, even though the # 4 and maybe #5 starters will chuck the first 2 games.
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Everyone's attention will be on March madness the next 2 weeks, but not I!!!
March 15th is my date to start bringing together a plan to wage an all out war for 6 months investing on baseball. We don't want to peak too early, but need to be ready when the season opens.
Just as the teams round themselves into shape, so must we.
Here's a good one to stick your toes into the shallow end of the pool to test the waters opening series:
NY Mets @ Atlanta....April 6-7-8
Here we find no sweeps by the Mets in the last 21 tries. In fact, The Braves have won game 1 or game 2 or both, 19 of 21 times!! Glavine may be the most popular pitcher to the fans in this opening series, but I'll stick with history.
Mets also have only 2 road sweeps anywhere in 48 tries and Atlanta has a 68-2 run going not to be swept at home.
11 of 13 series here have also had an over in game 1 or game 2 or both.
Be "Brave" and take Atlanta.
Seattle opens at Anaheim April 6-7-8th and we'll be there to pick up a unit on the under in this series.
6 years in a row, the first series of the year here between these 2 teams, either game 1 or game 2 or both went under.
15 straight series have produce zero "over sweeps", in fact, 13 of the 15 have had an under in at least 1 of the first 2 games.
Put your man UNDER right from the start this year!!
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With Baseball Tip #13, we touched on the Phillies when on the road.
Let's expand that talk.
In 46 road series, the Phils have only been "under swept" 4 times.
They open at Pitts and then Florida as they await their new stadium digs.
Can we find a double trend at work here?
YES we can!!
At Pittsburgh, they are on a 12-5-1 over run the last 18 games. The last 6 series went over game 1 or game 2 or both.
Then to Florida where we find all 9 games last year went over and get this, they are on a 25-3-2 OVER run @ Florida!!!!!!!
Opening week produces over's in baseball, and no better team to look at then the Phillies on the road.
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Seattle @ Oakland Apr. 9-11
Short and sweet today.
Game #1 of a series in Oakland vs Seattle, game #1 has gone under 9 of 10 times.
If you have read these tips everyday, you may be interested in this.
"The Baseball Sheet" has the kind of info you have been reading, for every series all year long. It comes twice a week, before each new series. It's out of Phoenix Arizona, and I know the writer. The last 3 years, a group of us here at MW get it and split the cost. If interested, the e-mail is below.
Works great. I get it. I send it to the email below. You get the password and can access it at your convienece. Copy it or forward it to yourself.
Here's a season long moneymaker.
Kansas City has road woes.
They have 2 road sweeps in 69 tries!!
In the last 67 road series, they lost game 1 or game 2 or both 60 times!!
Reason? They don't score.
They finished last year on a 29-12 under run on the road.
Betting KC on the road is a "Royal" pain.
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There seems to be 1 or 2 Boston fans around.
So let's look at them today and tomorrow.
Boston at home.
Boston is an amazing 66-1 to not be swept at home the last 67 times.
But, they only have 11 win sweeps of a series in 68 tries.
Always think of a split in a Boston home series, and surely get on them if they lose game #1.
Not as strong, but something to consider, is the under. Only 13 "over sweeps" in 71 home series.
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Today we stay talking about Boston.
Beting the Beanbags at home can get expensive. But we will like to jump on them on the road.
Here's why.
Only 2 times in the last 46 road series has Boston been swept.
In fact only 7 of those times did they not win at least one of the first 2 games.
We can make a play right out of the gate this year.
April 5,6,7,8 we find we find the Beaners @ The Birds in Baltimore.
14 straight series here and no Baltimore sweeps.
In fact, in the first series of the year here, Baltimore is a dismal 3-12 the last 5 years.
Those same first of the year series, have produced a 7-2 under run the last 3 years.
EZ $$$ comes your way on April 5,6,7,8.
In a battle of beer towns, The Milwaukee Brewers open at St Louis Budweisers...ahh I mean Cardnials.
Hang on to your longnecks while you read these numbers.
The Cards have only been swept 4 times in 70 home series.
When Milwaukee is in town, the Cards are on a 16-4 overall run.
And in the last 9 series here, they have won at least 1 of the first 2 games.
Now, I hate Budweiser because I had Pabst Blue Ribbon in my baby bottle back home in Milwaukee.
But that won't stop me from picking up an easy unit in this series. Cheers:beers;
Remember, you can have these kind of stats for all the series this year...over 700...with the Baseball Sheet. A group of us get it and split the cost every year. Comes to about 20 cents a series. It comes out of Phoenix Arizona on a timely basis and you can get it at an e-mail we park it at, at your convienence.
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Take a day off now and then if needed. I'm doing so today to catch up on some other things.
Stay cool. It's a long long marathone, this baseball wagering. Unlike other sports where teams play now and then and travel inbetween games, baseball sets you up for 3 games in the same city, against the same team. Consider a series like it's 1 game and play to win a unit during that series.
Have a clue. Map out your goals.
Don't celebrate your wins too much. A losing streak during a 6 month marathone is inevitable.
I could go on and on, but hey, I said I'm taking today off....LOL.
Montreal @ Florida April 6-7-8
Yum Yum under the sun!!!
Florida was 9-1 @ home vs the Expos last year.
This brings their current run to 23-9 hosting in this series.
Florida has only been swept at home 5 times in the last 71 home series they have played.
Pass the Coppertone as we pick up a little tan and also a little cash.
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The New York Yankees have a helter-skelter schedule coming up. Go to Japan...back to Florida to open vs Tampa Bay and then finally come home April 8-12 for a 4 game set vs the Chicago White Sox.
Let's look at that Sox/Yanks matchup a minute. The Sox have a realitive normal spring going...play their spring games...open at KC and then off to the Big Apple to open the series on the 8th of April. Both teams play at another site on the 7th. Herein lies the key to our handicapping.
The Sox have a routine they are settling in with. Hit town, go to the hotel, and get ready to play.
The Yanks hit town and have a nightmare with all the new players....and here's the key...who haven't even seen their new summer long homes. Way too many distractions to be ready to play.
The Sox have won game 1 of the year here in NY 4 of the last 5 years...they come to play from the getgo. And won 5 of 6 game 1's of any series played here.
Look for Chicago to 'Sox" it to em in game #1.
