NFL Weel 4 2005; YTD 13.2-3, + $14,065

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Ok here we go, right into it. Remember 1 unit equals $1,000 and I often interchange the two. Max bet 10k.

6 pt teaser and favorite tease this week is Bucs -.5, then cincy -2.5.

Plays:
1. 6 pt teaser: Bucs -.5, Balt -1...10 units. Laying -105 and ties win.

Must hedge by taking Jets on ML if Bucs win. Value is in this teaser as opposed to Bucs ML. Do a neutral hedge on Jets ML if Bucs win. So if Bucs win I will use current line of JEts ML + 280 and risk $2697 on Jets ML. So Bucs winning will net me $4606 and Jets win would net me $4603.20. So essentially I'm able to get the Bucs on the ML for -2.279 instead of the -278 at Pinnacle.

2. 7 pt teaser: Bengals - 2.5, Panthers - .5..........2 units. May hedge some if Bengals win first leg.

3. 49ers + 2.5 on action points 6 pt cap. Win $200 per point.

4. Seattle + 1/2 1st half for $800

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

All this guy does is win every year. Good luck MFG, thanks for the looks.

 

[MaverickFan]

Good luck MFG. Let kick some ass Sunday.

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Thanks Pat and Mavsfan. Much appreciated, hope you guys have a nice week.


***note***

Above I said to take $2697 on the Jets ML if Bucs won game one, but it should of been double that. So it should read $5394 not $2697. I did that calculation on 5 units instead of 10. The other two numbers on the returns are correct.

 

[hansenbros.]

Mfg

hey bud,

are the first two plays for 10 u??? literally, just got home from a wedding :drink: sorry if i'm being a bit slow....


gl

 

[Holysmoke+]

mfg,

where do you play teasers at? thanks

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

hey bud,

are the first two plays for 10 u??? literally, just got home from a wedding :drink: sorry if i'm being a bit slow....


gl

Yes the Bucs teaser is for 10 units, if the Bucs win I will hedge 100% on the Jets ML to win the same on each side. I played the Pats teasers in week 1 for 10 units and the Cowboys teasers in week 2 for 10 units. So nothing new here bro.

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

mfg,

where do you play teasers at? thanks

Hey Smoke. How are you bud?

I play teasers at ABC if I need ties to win. The others I play at either WSEX, ABC, Mill, or Payoffs Plus.

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

**ADDING**


Giants ML - 146 1st half $1500

 

[Holysmoke+]

Hey Smoke. How are you bud?

I play teasers at ABC if I need ties to win. The others I play at either WSEX, ABC, Mill, or Payoffs Plus.

doing good thx.

thx for those baseball POD's!

 

[sportsbet]

G/L today MFG.

sb

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Jack - 3 2nd half $ 800

Jack u/ 17 -112 2nd half 800

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Bucs over 17 -110 2nd half 4k

 

[Holysmoke+]

you had to be shitting your pants in that Lions TD that was reversed.

congrats

 

[FourPunchCombo]

Still wiping my chair with paper towels.

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

No doubt Smoke. I hear you FourPunch. I was looking good on the Bucs teaser and the 2nd half over when the Bucs scored a TD about 1 minute into the 2nd half, but couldn't get the sweep there, hopefully no one played that 2nd half over.

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Going to take Packers on ML + 292 for 1 unit

To hedge the two unit teaser I started on the Bengals, will lock in the profit now. NO strong feel on tomorrows game. Don't like to bet on the Packers or Falcons games much with their QB's as big X factors.

 

[J2]

MFG:

You are one of the few posts I look for on here. Not one to follow teasers myself, but you pick your spots well. Great job so far this year.

GL

 

[hansenbros.]

thank you.


gl

 

[MYFOOTBALLGAME]

Thanks Hansen and J2, I hope you guys had a good day.

Recap:

For the week I will show a small profit if I don't play at halftime for tonights game. I will be up $46 if Packers win and up $426 if Panthers win. The halftime over on the Bucs game is what got me. It was a partial hedge on the teaser I had with the Bucs, but it was a play I liked regardless of the teaser. If not for the teaser I would of probably played for 1-2k. It was all looking great when the Bucs got the TD in the 1st minute of the 2nd half, but a missed FG later and turnovers got me on that one.


For tonight game I think Carolina should win, but I never underestimate Favre. He is tough to bet on or against.