Nfl week one

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Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Welcome back football! Super contest style


Okay so I have been tracking some different kinds of stats for the last 4 years here's some additional info for you and my SC plays.

Divisional Dogs 18-9 in week one
Public is 31-41 in week one
Opening lines within 1 pt of Power rating Fav is 2-10
Top 5 in SC 9.5-11 so almost .500 but last year they went 5-0


So in summary - fade the public, play on divisional dogs and fade lines that look about right.

On a n interesting note I had a good discussion with Seer recently about picking plays on Friday vs Sunday morning.....WE decided to compare picks over the season 5 games, he is welcome to post his plays after the games starts here. I know he watches the line right up to kick off so posting is tough sometimes, but I like what he does alot and he has taught me a few tricks over the years to - Like the Da$ line which is not a factor today by the way.

My SC plays to win $250 each - Played on Friday when I put my picks in

Tampa +2.5... divisional dog with a new HC getting less than a FG vs a historically good home team????? I smell an upset

Saints -1.5.....Lots of love for the raiders this year and for good reason a team on the rise, but the Saints at home with some fresh talent get the job does here. Oakland travelling for an early time zone play

San Diego +6.5.... Divisional Dog if you missed Suma's right up on the Chargers try searching it on the forum.

Lions +3.5....No Johnson no problem, better actually as the lions will have a more balanced attack. This is my top play on the week (so it is to win $500) it went into my RX Super contest team Also played additional $100 on the mL 120....Go lions!

49er's +2.5....Divisional Home dog on MNF, the rvial of the series get cranked up another notch now that the RAMS are in LA ......Beat LA

Sunday AM plays

Bears +4.5 -109 to win $250
Miami +10.5 -112 to win $100....if you missed Suma's write sup on the dolphins go search it. Seattle is a crazy ATS # under Carrol in home openers, think they get the W but fall short ATS


Gl guys Enjoy the games !
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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ML Chart Kick off read

Buffalo +3 -102 to win $250
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Thanks Xs - BOl to you as well....


Opening lines within 1 pt of Power rating Fav is 2-10.....sorry forgto to mention fade these favs Seattle, NYG, Texans, Ravens
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Adding Indy -3 -115 to win $250 - taking a shot a small middle ....Luck is MR 4th Q
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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5-3 +670 - Be back tomorrow night with My wager on the niners might get a better line than current +2.5

3-1 so far in super contest.....damn saints
 

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PWZ..........nicely done with your action and S/contest..........indy
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Thanks Indiana

Today - I go the 3 i wanted so San Fran +3 -115 to win $250.

The niners are one of my SC teams for this week and when I put the picks in on Friday fit 3 criteria of mine;

Public fav 70%-79% and line goes up Car, Cinncy & Arizona (LA)- in week one that Situation was 6-11 the last 4 years So far this wk the Fav is 0-3

Divisional Dog - Tampa and San Diego, (SF) ....Dog is 18-9 in week one so far this week 2-0

Opening line with in one of the PR- Philly, KC, Hou, Pitt, (LA) 2-1 so far in week one ....pitt and LA pending

Home dog on MNF....

Okay a little situational handicapping here; In the 2015 season finale, the 49ers signal-caller threw for 354 yards and helped beat the Rams, 19-16. The defensive backfield of cornerback Trumaine Johnson, cornerback E.J. Gaines, safety T.J. McDonald and safety Maurice Alexander will need to play sound techniques and limit the deep-ball opportunities of Gabbert to wideout Torrey Smith.(from Stax Fox). So he has some confidence and game to reflect on
&
I also like the X factor of Kapp on the bench what if Blaine struggles and KAPP comes in that changes the way the Rams have to play defense from a Pocket passer to a scrambler.
&
Jeff Fischer VS Chip Kelly .....Old school tough nose football vs Run the ball and play fast, both coaches need to get off on positive start Fischer more the Kelly.


This game is going on the PVR not because it is going to be an instant classic, but because there will be many 3 and outs, dropped balls a few turnovers, some sacks and very few points. I will review in the AM on FF

* Breaking a rule here betting on a bad team and the situations mentioned earlier have already had some success this weekend so a correct is due. So tread lightly - not that anybody follows


GL Football fanz and enjoy the game
 

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