- Joined
- Sep 26, 2012
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DET. Spring line was 2.5.
DET O-Line is brutal. Why risk Stafford, even if he is ok to go with the bye week on deck after NWO, and then two b2b primetime games following the bye. And even if Stafford does play, see O-Line.
DET before bye last 10 years, 3-7 ATS, 4-6 SU.
NWO coming off bye last 10 years at home, 6-1 SU+ATS, 5-0 SU+ATS vs non-division, 1-1 vs CAR.
DET O-Line is brutal. Why risk Stafford, even if he is ok to go with the bye week on deck after NWO, and then two b2b primetime games following the bye. And even if Stafford does play, see O-Line.
DET before bye last 10 years, 3-7 ATS, 4-6 SU.
NWO coming off bye last 10 years at home, 6-1 SU+ATS, 5-0 SU+ATS vs non-division, 1-1 vs CAR.
Here's an interesting stat:
teams coming off a bye to play the lions are 12-2 SU and 10-3-1 ATS. They win their last 7 consecutively SU and last game covered. Before was a push and 3 covers ATS. Perhaps the mean comes into play?
saints have won't their last 6 Coming off the bye and covered.
Saints lost their last 3 SU vs lions.
Lions as an away dog vs a team coming off a bye are 2-10 su and 3-8-1 ATS losing the last 7 SU and have only covered one of those last 7 games. I think Detroit ML is probably worth a look.
teams coming off a bye to play the lions are 12-2 SU and 10-3-1 ATS. They win their last 7 consecutively SU and last game covered. Before was a push and 3 covers ATS. Perhaps the mean comes into play?
saints have won't their last 6 Coming off the bye and covered.
Saints lost their last 3 SU vs lions.
Lions as an away dog vs a team coming off a bye are 2-10 su and 3-8-1 ATS losing the last 7 SU and have only covered one of those last 7 games. I think Detroit ML is probably worth a look.
- Joined
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New England -10 is absurd. Jets one of my two plays so far this week.
BAL -6.5
This line fell from -7. CHI have lost all their starting LBs and were really struggling to stop the run last night. Also down both starting WRs. Their rookie QB is playing well but there will be TOs on the road against one of the better Ds.
This line fell from -7. CHI have lost all their starting LBs and were really struggling to stop the run last night. Also down both starting WRs. Their rookie QB is playing well but there will be TOs on the road against one of the better Ds.
Agree.
Minny was stupid to run the ball the whole 2nd half, their passing could not be stopped with 4 LBs and 2 CBs out. Baltimore will have time to approach this effectively, short passes to the vulnerable LB area and then some bombs when DB's try to cheat.
With pathetic WRs, the Bears will predictably try to run and it will not go well against Baltimore.
Balt will smother Bears, who were fortunate as hell to cover at home on MNF (deflected pass TD, fake punt TD). Trubisky is good but in an impossible situation.
Bears 10-16 points, Balt 27-38 points in this spot.
I agree however pats haven't really covered much this yr and Jets W SU and ATS last 3. Not to mention Jets seem to be that team that shits the bed vs Pats many times. Last time they played in Foxboro, they only scored 3. But there's a few times where they barely scored and replayed and Lost ATS again. So it's up in the air. Perhaps teasing them to 22.5 is worth a look? Lol
