NFL Week 2

[powerz]

4-1 in the super contest last week
6-3 +$920 Last week - with my posted picks
1 unit = $175 this week up $25 from week 1



Theme for week 2 - watch out for public over reaction 70% or more of the public on the Favs - Favs go 4-17 Divisional Dogs 15-7.



Best bet - Vikes +2.5 -110 $385 to win $350 Risk no value at +110 on the ML - new stadium homer opener vs GBay

Home dog on SNF, Better Def getting pts, 80 % fav in GBAY, RLM and Stats support Vikes, I also like Bradford in Minny he will succeed


The rest are 1* plays


SDG -3 -110 - Home opener OT loss last week, RLMF - Early % Play - Under valued Line vs PR and Stats favor SDG



BROWN +6.5 -115 - Early % Play against Ravens, Divisional Home dog, McCown better than RG3, Bad ML read for ravens


TAMPA +7 -115 - Arizona is Public fav with 0 line move that profile is 4-11 in week 2 the last 4 years and pinny is hanging +$ on them

Tampa is back door team imo and something tweaked me yesterday to put this play on my card.



BEARS -3.0 -120 - Public backing a dog OTR on mNF with a rookie QB. Not so much of a bet against Wentz but history. This also has RLMF and being a game on Monday this tells me that is sharp money come in.



Games that didn't make my card but I liked



WASH -2.5 - Early % play - No public - Under valued line vs PR - Stats - Washington looses at home to a SB fav and Dallas looses at home vs a non PO team - Public on dog in week 2 5-8



KC +2.5 - Early % Play against Texans, H2H history with Reid favs KC - Undervalued line VS PR

will be back in SUNDAY AM with any additional plays

FWIW - My local pub does parlay & teaser cards the guy is dirty every spread on the parlay card has a hook & gets shaded. Every Teaser is rounded off to an even number b/c ties lose.

Here is the shaded lines followed by the teaser line
LIONS -6.5....-1
TEXANS -3.5...+3
RAVENS -7.5....-1
GIANTS -5.5....+1
CARDS -7.5.....-1
DENVER -5.5.....+1
RAIDERS -4.5....+2
CHARGERS -3.5....+3
PACKERS -3.5.....+3

* EVERY FAV EXCEPT LIONS MOVED 6.5PTS LIONS ONLY 5.5. The dog in those games is only move 5.5 points on the teaser card so for example Texans +3 vs KC +9 (spread line was +3.5)

Guy must make a killing i have been speculating for years this year i will track a little closer on the shaded lines


GL everyone enjoy the gamez

 

[indiana]

PWZ............nicely done last week..........BOL with all your action this week and the contest.............indy

 

[United]

Thanks for the info and good luck this week Powerz

 

[KingEleven]

great start! continued success this week brother!


dbanana0-9

 

[Green17]

Great info Powerz. Thank you.
And good luck in the contest week 2.

 

[powerz]

PWZ............nicely done last week..........BOL with all your action this week and the contest.............indy

Thanks for the info and good luck this week Powerz

Great job yesterday in CFB United thanks for stopping by

Couple of Sunday Morning plays

Cinncy +3.5 -130 to Win $175

The bengals were winning that Play off game last until they had that meltdown. I was surprised to see them as such a strong pick in the contest. Pittsburgh is their Daddy, but Cinncy may cover this game

New Orleans +4 -120 to win $175


I don't trust ELI - I don't trust the Giants defense if that stoopid rookie had gone out of bounds and the saints defense get one stop this game would have been closer to pick em. The Saints offense seems just fine I expect NO to hang around all game.

Enjoy the games fellaz

p

 

[powerz]

Thanks Indy - King Eleven and Green17 - BOL with all your action today!

 

[TyBounce]

Good luck today man.

 

[VenomousSanction]

Bol P

 

[powerz]

Thanks TY & VS....

Looks like another profitable week 4-2 yesterday +$446 so far.

Chic -3 -120 pending $210 to win $175

Also 3-1 in SC this week so far waiting on Chic -3.5.....not super confident in Chicago, Tampa bay was a late add and my two other leans failed. So it maybe a 3-2 week which is okay just have to avoid those sub .500 weeks and add a few more 4-1 and 5-0hhhs

Interesting to note the top 5 SC plays went 0-5 and the bottom 5 also below .500 going 2-3.
Last week 55.5 % in the SC at or above .500 this week 47%


Enjoy the game & as always gl football fanz