NFL (Week 18)

[United]

1 unit: 63-36 +23.25
2 unit: 15-5 +18.90

Overall: 78-41 +42.15


Zona +6 -110 (1)
Zona ML +220 (1)

I know Carolina is on a roll and Newton all of a sudden has been forgiven. It wasn't to many weeks ago people were screaming for a qb change. This will be the best defense they have faced in several weeks and +6 is to many imho to give to the Cards. I'll risk a (1) to double my money just in case they win out right.

Detroit +7 -115 (1)
Detroit +250 (1)

Detroit is a pretty good football team with a pretty good defense. They will need to show up to slow down the powerful Cowboy offense. Detroit has some weapons of their own and were right in the game with the Pack last week until the fumble down in scoring position. I just think America's team is America's team once again. I definitely like the two score spot and quite honestly don't mind risking a (1) in case they pull it off. And with Detroit you always have the possibility of a defender taking a key offensive player out with a dirty hit. I'll bet the bad guys and will find out if Dallas is for real.

Indy ML -175 (2)

The line is currently at -3 -125 so what the hell, I'll gamble with my homey in this one. Really, if you have looked at my threads, I have bet against the Colt's this season so it's not like I'm backing my home team just because! Luck or Dalton, who do you want on your side in a playoff game?

Ravens @ Pitt

No decision yet, as Bell is a big factor in the run game. It's going to come down to the QB play in this one, as both teams know each other so well. Did you see the 2nd to last play of the Cincy/Pitt game last Sunday night? Ben handed the ball off and fumbled it!. All he had to do was take a knee, and he did the next play. Point is that's the kind of shit he does all the time with the football. He's very careless with it. Baltimore offense has taking some time off and they needed help to slip through the back door. I don't think either one of these two teams will win next week. May play the total or a (1) play on a tease for action. Just really don't know who to play yet.

Always open for opinions, information, and as always, bet reasonably, keep it clean,

good luck

 

[bully07]

:toast:

 

[XSPower]

Good luck in the Playoffs my friend.....

 

[Grindstone30]

Love DET and ARZ let's get this buddy GL

 

[jaxfactor]

Congrats on a great season U! Like the DET play and think BAL wins SU. On the fence with the other 2 games at this point.

 

[awnp]

Love seeing you on AZ, United. I think you're right to sprinkle a little on the ML. There's a reason the Panthers have 7 wins. BOL

 

[bobbyjones2]

that arizona line has me vexed as well...my favorite play of the weekend..i thought it would be a pick..small home field advantage for the panthers..

the lions, or shall i say matt stafford, is another story...that kid on the road, i dont have the numbers handy, is jay cutler with a nice disposition...imo, one of the most over rated players in sports, let alone the nfl...he just never shows up..suh obviously huge against the dallas power run game..i can see this getting away from the lions

 

[bobbyjones2]

plus united, i take arians over riveria any day of the week....

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Good luck man........I think you hit all 3 plays. No way should the Cards be +6.5.........

 

[PatPatriot]

Just some food for thought.

Wild Card home favs whose opponent has a better win % are undefeated SU/ATS since 01 if favs of > 3. Also 9-0 to under. CAR-5.5 v ARI

 

[Bruins4Life]

Stafford is something like 0-16 on the road versus teams with winning records.But then again, Dallas is a better road team than home team.

 

[WormyPix]

That IND/CIN gm is a really tough one.

IND beat them 27-0 earlier in yr, that was Trent Richardson's best gm as a Colt (5.5 ypc), & Dalton stunk it up on national TV yet again. AJ Green's concussion is worth watching Sat. IND did a great job stuffing CIN's run gm, so that'll be huge here too. IND's oline is in flux as it's been all yr, so how will G Lance Louis do against that good CIN front 7? Luck is so prone to sack/fumbles & INT's, so IND's ball control will also be interesting to watch.

There's so many keys to this gm! Would love more thoughts on your team here.

I'm liking CAR as well. It's the perfect setup for them as they're the losing PO team that doesn't deserve to be there so they'll have the motivation edge for sure. I've never liked Scam as a QB, but CAR has a run gm & strong "D" which usually overcomes poor QB play. Pat Patriot's trend makes sense too, supporting the "undeserving" home team's motivational edge.

Looks good the "U", except the DET play of course! BOL buddy & Happy 2015.

 

[tmader7]

Ah shit U, I'm here in Charlotte, they win by 7 and then some, My story and I'm sticking to it. Defense has come to play and the O is finally healthy. They win by two TD's tonight.

~T~

 

[United]

plus united, i take arians over riveria any day of the week....

Definitely good point!

 

[United]

That IND/CIN gm is a really tough one.

IND beat them 27-0 earlier in yr, that was Trent Richardson's best gm as a Colt (5.5 ypc), & Dalton stunk it up on national TV yet again. AJ Green's concussion is worth watching Sat. IND did a great job stuffing CIN's run gm, so that'll be huge here too. IND's oline is in flux as it's been all yr, so how will G Lance Louis do against that good CIN front 7? Luck is so prone to sack/fumbles & INT's, so IND's ball control will also be interesting to watch.

There's so many keys to this gm! Would love more thoughts on your team here.

I'm liking CAR as well. It's the perfect setup for them as they're the losing PO team that doesn't deserve to be there so they'll have the motivation edge for sure. I've never liked Scam as a QB, but CAR has a run gm & strong "D" which usually overcomes poor QB play. Pat Patriot's trend makes sense too, supporting the "undeserving" home team's motivational edge.

Looks good the "U", except the DET play of course! BOL buddy & Happy 2015.


No doubt Luck has some bad turnovers, but he also ranks right up there at the top of every qb stat. Has won a playoff game last year. After watching both teams play several times this season, I really feel like the Colt's are the better team. They are at home, both Wayne and Hilton reportedly are healthy and ready to go, the offensive line will be fine, as the backups have all had some experience playing different spots on the line, and if it's a close game I like having the veteran kicker and punter on my side, and I just have to believe that the Colt's are the better team, although I know anything can happen on given day in the NFL.

good luck Wormy Pix

 

[United]

Just some food for thought.

Wild Card home favs whose opponent has a better win % are undefeated SU/ATS since 01 if favs of > 3. Also 9-0 to under. CAR-5.5 v ARI

very strong stat

I wonder what their records were heading into the game. Might have been only 1 team under 500. Carolina playing pretty good right now, I just like the points and expect a close game one way or another.

 

[United]

Ah shit U, I'm here in Charlotte, they win by 7 and then some, My story and I'm sticking to it. Defense has come to play and the O is finally healthy. They win by two TD's tonight.

~T~

The way they played last week they could win by a bunch. They will have to prove it to me as Zona has been a tough out most of the season, while Carolina a doubt most of the season, and in any other division an out.

good luck T

 

[sparticus]

Gl!

 

[METFAN]

hi UNITED

Why Detroit? They seem to have a lot of Problems scoring on the road..averaging less than 14 and less than 11 against playoff teams / They are not holding Dallas to less than 20

ANY COMMENT ?

 

[MackDonald]

Dallas players seem to get in trouble at home.....with the women the night before a game. We all know how that plays-out.