***** Nfl Week 15 Plays---All or Nothing *****

[TheComputerGroup]

Lost my ass week 14, don't have enough fingers & toes to count that high to figure out my losing record, lol.......but will post my record later tonight.


I'm gonna try to break down the NFL as well as I can, but the NFL is a Rubik's Cube with an added twist, this is my all or nothing week......either I do well, or I keep losing until I lose my whole roll....I'm down about -$2,700......let's get back in the black.

Just when you think you have the games figured out, the carpet is pulled from under you.........& no, I will not tale a break from betting, quitting when ahead in this game is smart, quitting when down is not smart, don'tever let these bastards beat you at their own game.......then again, I'ma glutton for punishment, & I always get pimp smacked around Xmas, so you may consider fading my plays.



Already have 1 bet in for week 15:



Atlanta +3 (+105).......(X-Large)


The Jaguars are still alive for the playoffs.......Atlanta lost 0-38 to the hottest team in the NFL since the undefeated Patriots in 2007.

The Jaguars are 5-8 & playoffs hopes still alive after waxing the Luckless Colts 51-16.........I really think the Texans win the AFC South since Luck is out for the season.

Atlanta lost 6 str & didn't cover in 9 str.......i really think that stops this week.......Atlanta wins at Jags & then gets waxed next week at home vs Carolina.......


Looking over playoff scenarios, be right back......

 

[METFAN]

I HATE THE PICK..They have been so gutlass after that "great start" but it turns out most of those teams they beat..SUCK

HOUSTON AND THE NFC "LEAST"

Unfortunately, Atlanta falls into the same automatic must play system that Minny did last week..and that turned out well..it sucks getting killed so close to Christmas , so I hope you bounce back..I'm going easy this week and heading to Disney Monday to see the "BIG RAT" . GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND AND THE REST OF THE SEASON AS WELL and thank you for posting

 

[Baronman]

Computer group good luck , but falcons going into the season has terribke defense.still does had jacquars last week straight up.matty ryan sucks in red zone for year i think it is 17tds & 13interceptions.had panthers last week against them.better game out there take look at steelers & ^^^50.good luck

 

[3pointdog]

What bothers me is that i saw the same game........... Again!!! Damn we are on the same wavelength... Hope that's good!!!! Bounce back game... Falcons still have the better talent..not loving on the road... But it is what it is

 

[r.a.]

'I really think the Texans win the AFC South since Luck is out for the season' ... think you need to check your facts as Luck is practicing with the Colts this week. Atlanta is dead ... started out the season 6-1 and have now lost six straight. Never expect a bad team to do something good.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I HATE THE PICK..They have been so gutlass after that "great start" but it turns out most of those teams they beat..SUCK

HOUSTON AND THE NFC "LEAST"

Unfortunately, Atlanta falls into the same automatic must play system that Minny did last week..and that turned out well..it sucks getting killed so close to Christmas , so I hope you bounce back..I'm going easy this week and heading to Disney Monday to see the "BIG RAT" . GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND AND THE REST OF THE SEASON AS WELL and thank you for posting

Yeah, those Falcons suck as much as a $2 whore looking for crack money, lol! But I just don't see them losing & going 6-8......if the Falcons win this game & go 7-7, I do believe the Panthers will crush them in 2 weeks. I see Atlanta finishing 8-8.
Good luck with all your plays as well bro.......

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Computer group good luck , but falcons going into the season has terribke defense.still does had jacquars last week straight up.matty ryan sucks in red zone for year i think it is 17tds & 13interceptions.had panthers last week against them.better game out there take look at steelers & ^^^50.good luck

Thanks Baron, good luck with all your plays!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

What bothers me is that i saw the same game........... Again!!! Damn we are on the same wavelength... Hope that's good!!!! Bounce back game... Falcons still have the better talent..not loving on the road... But it is what it is

We both like Atlanta & the Giants.......is that good or bad?

I can't see the Panthers going undefeated, & if they beat the Giants, they will go undefeated.

I will gave a write up on the Giants vs Carolina when the ML comes out.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

'I really think the Texans win the AFC South since Luck is out for the season' ... think you need to check your facts as Luck is practicing with the Colts this week. Atlanta is dead ... started out the season 6-1 and have now lost six straight. Never expect a bad team to do something good.

I kept hearing on ESPN that Luck may be out for the year.......& I actually hope he foes play, because he sucks ass this year & there will be great value with the Texans!

 

[r.a.]

I kept hearing on ESPN that Luck may be out for the year.......& I actually hope he foes play, because he sucks ass this year & there will be great value with the Texans!

Partially, the reason he sucked was because he was playing hurt. I don't believe in the Texans but it is a shit division.

http://www.colts.com/news/article-1...his-Week/26aea5a6-0a1a-4775-a86e-e9868c5bb174

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding Giants play:




Giants +5.5 (-110).....(X-Large).....will also bet ML when available.



Giants +5.5 vs Carolina


We all know the Panthers are undefeated.....but will they match the Patriots 16-0 record of 2007?

I don't think so.......the Panthers have been destroying bad teams, & for good reason, they're an awesome team! Why couldn't these f**kers cover the spread Monday night vs the pathetic Colts??? Oh, I know, because I bet the Panthers.......

The Giants are known for beating undefeated teams.......they beat the 1998 Always Broncos in week 15 in NY......the line was about the same, +5.5 I believe.

The Giants almost beat the undefeated Patriots twice, but covered.....once in 2007 in week 17, & this year in week 9......covering both.

I believe there are a few other instances as well.

The Giants didn't play that great on Monday night hut did enough to get the win........

No need for a Carolina writeup, because we know what they're capable of, & IMO, if they do best the Giants, they will go undefeated into the playoffs......so this Giants team is their last obstacle that is worthy of upsetting them.

I know I have a system on this game favoring the Giants, & will look into trends, will post them later, as I don'thave anything in front of me right now.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Partially, the reason he sucked was because he was playing hurt. I don't believe in the Texans but it is a shit division.

http://www.colts.com/news/article-1...his-Week/26aea5a6-0a1a-4775-a86e-e9868c5bb174

Thanks r.a.

 

[justanobserver]

Undefeated teams in week 15 or later:

losses = 0 and week >= 15 SU: 6-6-0 (1.33, 50.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-11-0 (-10.46, 8.3%) avg line: -11.8 +6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) -6: 0-12-0 (0.0%) +10: 4-7-1 (36.4%) -10: 0-12-0 (0.0%) O/U: 4-8-0 (-3.00, 33.3%) avg total: 46.0 +6: 2-10-0 (16.7%) -6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) +10: 2-10-0 (16.7%) -10: 7-4-1 (63.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.9 99.7 36.2 22.8 238.0 1.6 2.8 8.5 5.1 5.8 22.2 Opp 28.6 126.8 33.9 20.7 219.1 1.2 4.7 5.3 5.2 5.7 20.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 13, 1998 Sunday 15 1998 Broncos Giants away 3-3 3-7 3-0 7-10 16-20 -13.0 44.5 -4 -17.0 -8.5 -12.8 4.2 L L U 0 Dec 18, 2005 Sunday 15 2005 Colts Chargers home 0-10 0-3 17-3 0-10 17-26 -7.0 51.5 -9 -16.0 -8.5 -12.2 3.8 L L U 0 Dec 16, 2007 Sunday 15 2007 Patriots Jets home 7-0 10-7 0-0 3-3 20-10 -21.5 44.5 10 -11.5 -14.5 -13.0 -1.5 W L U 0 Dec 23, 2007 Sunday 16 2007 Patriots Dolphins home 7-0 21-0 0-7 0-0 28-7 -22.0 43.5 21 -1.0 -8.5 -4.8 -3.8 W L U 0 Dec 29, 2007 Saturday 17 2007 Patriots Giants away 3-7 13-14 7-7 15-7 38-35 -13.0 46.5 3 -10.0 26.5 8.2 18.2 W L O 0 Jan 12, 2008 Saturday 19 2007 Patriots Jaguars home 7-7 7-7 14-3 3-3 31-20 -12.0 50.0 11 -1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 W L O 0 Jan 20, 2008 Sunday 20 2007 Patriots Chargers home 0-3 14-6 0-3 7-0 21-12 -14.5 46.5 9 -5.5 -13.5 -9.5 -4.0 W L U 0 Feb 03, 2008 Sunday 22 2007 Patriots Giants home 0-3 7-0 0-0 7-14 14-17 -12.0 41.0 -3 -15.0 -10.0 -12.5 2.5 L L U 0 Dec 17, 2009 Thursday 15 2009 Colts Jaguars away 0-3 21-14 7-14 7-0 35-31 -3.5 44.0 4 0.5 22.0 11.2 10.8 W W O 0 Dec 19, 2009 Saturday 15 2009 Saints Cowboys home 0-14 3-3 0-7 14-0 17-24 -7.0 53.5 -7 -14.0 -12.5 -13.2 0.8 L L U 0 Dec 27, 2009 Sunday 16 2009 Colts Jets home 6-0 3-3 6-15 0-11 15-29 -4.0 40.5 -14 -18.0 3.5 -7.2 10.8 L L O 0 Dec 18, 2011 Sunday 15 2011 Packers Chiefs away 0-6 0-0 7-3 7-10 14-19 -12.0 46.0 -5 -17.0 -13.0 -15.0 2.0 L L U 0 Dec 20, 2015 view Sunday 15 2015 Panthers Giants away -5.0 48.0

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I was way off on that spread with Giants vs Denver, & the thing is, I bet the Giants heavy that game......& I still don'tr remember +13......anyway, thanks for posting Justin!

Great information!!!!!!


Only one thing bothers me about this game, wtf is this line only Carolina -5.5? Carolina hasn't gotten any respect all year, maybe that's why they're undefeated, besides greatpplayers & all........

 

[3pointdog]

i love fading favs that open -5..... especially on the road....NEVER lay -5 in the NFL..... ever...! (when they open there and basically stay there i.e -5 / -5.5)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

i love fading favs that open -5..... especially on the road....NEVER lay -5 in the NFL..... ever...! (when they open there and basically stay there i.e -5 / -5.5)

I concur with this statement.........but what do you make of Vikings -5.5 & Pitt -5.5?

I know the whole world will be on Vikings -5.5.......& I do think Vikings win SU, but I wouldn't touch the spread.

And the Giants are a great play at +5.5 & ML.......

 

[3pointdog]

Hate bears as long as cutler is at QB. But every time I bet against them I lose so I never play their game. But love minny as the Bears are done now and minny is playing for the division. I really thought they quit but there is still fire in that team. I hate the Bears. Did I say that!?!?

love Denver this week. Pitt has not faced a strong defense in the last 6 weeks except Seattle and they lost that one. And yes I know it's at home. I believe they could win but I'll be taking points in that one. I like the Denver D and like the young QB as well... Den ML might be worth a few $ as well

 

[powerz]

For you SLQ guys how about a Losing team after being shut out week 14 or later.

TCG - Risky bet going in XL on a loser like Atl on a losing streak. These two teams are even on paper difference is one team wants it more....and have covered 5 of their last 7 spreads only 1-2 as a fav thou

GL this week TCG

 

[tmader7]

Hell, I'll throw in a couple of cents. First penny, CG, you're nuts betting Atlanta. They're Malaysian 370 or whatever the tail number was about to hit the ocean. Second penny, Greg Olsen's MRI came out good, J. Stewart's not so good. Bad sprain. If he can't play, Giants are the play, hands down. I'll keep you men up to date on the Panthers...... for wanting to know only information, LOL. God forbid, I get banned for life from my church for gambling.

~T~

 

[TheComputerGroup]

X-Large: 65-78
Large: 48-32




I know I'm taking a shot with Atlanta, but NFL teams just don't go w/o covering after 8 or 9 games, this isn't college football......maybe Atlanta makes history & doesn't cover 10 str, we shall see!