***** Nfl Week 14 Plays *****

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+13,349.60 for season........lost -2,100 week 13 thanks to the Saints destroying most of my teasers........the end of the regular season is near, some teams playing for draft picks, & others for playoffs spots......




Thursday night game between KC & Raiders is gonna be a great game......the Raiders don't quit, & are looking for revenge after losing as a home dog against the Chiefs off their bye week.

The Chiefs are an automatic play off the bye week, but will the Raiders get their revenge? Your guess is as good as mine, because as of now, I can't figure this game out.


Trends:

Raiders are 1-7 ATS before playing the Chargers

Raiders are 1-9 ATS on the road off back to back SU wins

Raiders are 4-1 ATS as a dog in 2016 & 4-0 as a road dog

Chiefs are 1-4 ATS as a home fav in 2016


If KC wins this game, they control the #2 seed.......if Raiders win, they hold the #1 seed.......both teams will be all out.

If anyone can figure this game out, let me know.......
 

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I like the chiefs in this spot.

The KC defense will be the difference here and they have been getting healthier. Raiders have had a great season and I am sure many have won a nice chunk riding them. I believe they have the personnel to keep pressure on Carr and force turnovers which will be the difference .

Arrowhead will be a difficult place to play on Thursday and for what its worth I will be on the chiefs.
 
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Chiefs aren't off a bye TCG. Division games are always tough matchups, especially these 2 teams.
 

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Chiefs aren't off a bye TCG. Division games are always tough matchups, especially these 2 teams.
he meant earlier this season when they met... it was off the KC bye week...KC won 26-10 in Oakland
 

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I like the chiefs in this spot.

The KC defense will be the difference here and they have been getting healthier. Raiders have had a great season and I am sure many have won a nice chunk riding them. I believe they have the personnel to keep pressure on Carr and force turnovers which will be the difference .

Arrowhead will be a difficult place to play on Thursday and for what its worth I will be on the chiefs.

If KC wins, its gonna be a wild run for the division teams thru week 17
 

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Browns vs Bengals


The Bengals rolled the Eagles last week, but with the Bengals at 4-7-1, I don't see them making the playoffs at all........Browns coming off a at 0-12.......what can I say, they suck.

But I do think the Browns play their best game of the season & hopefully RG3 plays well.........I do not think the line will go higher than 6.5, some people say +7 or higher, we shall see.

If Browns don't win this game, they will go 0-16
 

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Titans -1.5 vs Denver


The SB champs are dogs vs these Titans that struggle to cover at home (2-4 ATS)........another wacky line.

Denver needs to win to stay close with the division top 2 teams.........Titans also play at KC next week, that's 2 tough teams they're up against.

Titans are 1-11 ATS at home vs AFC West opponents


This is one of several tough spreads on the NFL board this week


Another tough game is Miami -1 vs Cards:


Miami looking for a playoff spot at 7-5.......Cards at 5-6-1 need to run the table & beat Seattle on the road.......miracles do happen, but I doubt it will happen for the Cards.

As for this game......I don't know, damn tough game to figure out.
 

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Steelers -2 at Bills


Must win game for the Bills......Pitt also looking for a win to stay ahead of the Ravens. I guess the line is right assuming Pitt would be about a -6 point home fav vs Bills.

Pitt is on a roll winning 3 str games, but they beat the 0-12 Browns & a Colts team w/o Luck......they did beat up on the Giants last week which is saying something since the Giants were on a 6 game win streak entering last weeks game.

Bills had a 24-7 lead on the Raiders & lost 24-38.......that's right, 31 unanswered points.....the Raiders get their big test on Thursday night, let's see if they're as good as most people think.

Another tough game to figure out as of now.......
 

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Another tough game is the Sunday night game between Dallas -3 vs Giants

Must win game for the Giants to stay in the wildcard race, & if the Giants win out going 12-4, & Dallas losses out going 10-6 or 11-5, Giants win the division......butlets not kid ourselves, that's not gonna happen......Dallas will win this division no matter what happens in this game IMO..........

Dallas is a great team with the best rookie Qb & Rb combo I have ever seen.......good teams get that lucky bounce as we saw last week vs Minny......& the capitalize on the mistakes of other teams, hence an 11-1 record, the best in the NFL........

Giants need this game more than Dallas, but doesn't mean they will win........too tough of match up to bet on as of now.
 

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Wow, huge game you are right.

Just used ESPN simulator, even I

f NE loses, if KC wins it will be 1) NE; 2) KC; -- Oak as a wild card.

If NE wins and KC wins it will be the same.

If Oak wins and NE wins: 1) Oak; 2) NE; KC wild card

Man, KC can push the current #1 seed down the #5 seed with a win. And they are favored, at home. All because of that crazy 2-point conversion. That is a great division. Denver and SD aren't bad either. (flawed, but not bad -- Den has good coach, SD a good QB)
 

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This is the toughest week I have seen so far. A lot of road favs seem to easy (SEA Cinci). I think I like Arizona maybe...and I got minny at 3 (not at 3.5) but I don't think anything else stands out to me.

EDIT; Oh, and Baltimore looks like an inflated line and good value to me; but NE usually covers the number this year and I don't' like to bet against my home team. But the Ravens/Harbaugh/FLacco are historically competitive at Gillette. Won 2 playoff games there (as underdogs). And in 2014 had two 14-point leads taken away by a magical Brady performance.
 

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Wow, huge game you are right.

Just used ESPN simulator, even I

f NE loses, if KC wins it will be 1) NE; 2) KC; -- Oak as a wild card.

If NE wins and KC wins it will be the same.

If Oak wins and NE wins: 1) Oak; 2) NE; KC wild card

Man, KC can push the current #1 seed down the #5 seed with a win. And they are favored, at home. All because of that crazy 2-point conversion. That is a great division. Denver and SD aren't bad either. (flawed, but not bad -- Den has good coach, SD a good QB)

Yeah, this Thursday game has HUGE implications......I think I'm gonna sit back & just watch it.
 

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This is the toughest week I have seen so far. A lot of road favs seem to easy (SEA Cinci). I think I like Arizona maybe...and I got minny at 3 (not at 3.5) but I don't think anything else stands out to me.

EDIT; Oh, and Baltimore looks like an inflated line and good value to me; but NE usually covers the number this year and I don't' like to bet against my home team. But the Ravens/Harbaugh/FLacco are historically competitive at Gillette. Won 2 playoff games there (as underdogs). And in 2014 had two 14-point leads taken away by a magical Brady performance.

All 3 prime time games are really good match ups.
 

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yeah, this thursday game has huge implications......i think i'm gonna sit back & just watch it.
come on you degenerate...who are you kidding...ya gotta take a side!!!

ps interesting note... line did not move after JPP had his surgery... still Dallas -3... Hmmmm. interesting
 

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come on you degenerate...who are you kidding...ya gotta take a side!!!

ps interesting note... line did not move after JPP had his surgery... still Dallas -3... Hmmmm. interesting

Haha.......I like Raiders myself but to me, I can't bet it cause of the implications on both teams.
 

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