NFL Week 1

Search

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
Early season Road Dog spot

Gearing up for another great season

Good Luck everyone

Screenshot 2024-09-02 at 11.58.10 AM.png


Screenshot 2024-09-02 at 12.00.00 PM.png
 

MLB

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Dec 14, 2010
Messages
2,538
Tokens
Good info Biz. I'm already on them all
 

my clock is stuck on 420 time to hit this bong
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,470
Tokens
Biz of those 4 I’m assuming you have 1 circled based on your yearly plays and laws of averages .
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
I've already played Jax and Tenn.........and should have grabbed 3.5 with Raiders who I still like

Pitt I'm not sure if I'll play yet
 
Joined
Nov 1, 2007
Messages
7,889
Tokens
Biz did you tinker with your 1st H unders system? Last year was a horrific outlier year for what I have compared to the last 9 years
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
Didn't tinker with it and it wasn't horrific.

It was 50% on the closing line 7-7-1 and 9-5-1 on the lines we got at the time I posted.

These games pop up early in the week, I usually give them out on Tuesdays. The line will move against us from there, which is why I send them out. early in the week

Horrific to me is many games below 50%. At the close you lost juice on a 50-50 split

At the lines we got at the time I released them, it was a solid profit

.Screenshot 2024-09-03 at 4.33.24 PM.pngScreenshot 2024-09-03 at 4.33.33 PM.pngScreenshot 2024-09-03 at 4.33.37 PM.png
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
So you are saying the play is the short road dogs circled? Care to elaborate on the theory here? Love your post!
Yes play the short road dogs.

next week being a NDIV game there is less reason for a lookahead spot

Dogs in general have fared well week 1. 84-65 (56.4%) if you just blindly bet every one

54-38 on road 58.7%

In week 1 these have gone 17-3-1 and as a side note the Under 7-13-1 in these week 1 matchups

Screenshot 2024-09-04 at 6.54.31 AM.png

Screenshot 2024-09-04 at 6.55.15 AM.png
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
Since 2014 for that week 1 number on dogs in general
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
Let me look and I'll get back to you
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
Ravens Prev HTH was a loss
GB is neutral site
Panthers lost Prev HTH
Wash next week plays a DIV game
Dallas Prev HTH was a loss
Rams next week DIV
Jets lost Prev HTH
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,652
Tokens
PREVIOUS HTH LOSS
NEXT WEEK DIV GAME

EITHER OF THESE APPLY IT DOES NOT QUALIFY
 
Joined
Nov 1, 2007
Messages
7,889
Tokens
Didn't tinker with it and it wasn't horrific.

It was 50% on the closing line 7-7-1 and 9-5-1 on the lines we got at the time I posted.

These games pop up early in the week, I usually give them out on Tuesdays. The line will move against us from there, which is why I send them out. early in the week

Horrific to me is many games below 50%. At the close you lost juice on a 50-50 split

At the lines we got at the time I released them, it was a solid profit

.View attachment 98753View attachment 98754View attachment 98755

50/50 is a big step back. Horrific was incorrect for the right description. Not bashing. Just wondering if you saw something as I have a similar one built and it was the first losing/neutral year in 14 years, basically what you are showing too.

Could have been just bad luck.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,476
Messages
13,568,755
Members
100,808
Latest member
davidjames
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com