NFL Week 1

[Biz]

Early season Road Dog spot

Gearing up for another great season

Good Luck everyone

 

[MLB]

Good info Biz. I'm already on them all

 

[brendanjack]

Biz of those 4 I’m assuming you have 1 circled based on your yearly plays and laws of averages .

 

[Biz]

Biz of those 4 I’m assuming you have 1 circled based on your yearly plays and laws of averages .

I don't understand what you mean

 

[brendanjack]

I’m assuming your not playing all 4

 

[Biz]

I've already played Jax and Tenn.........and should have grabbed 3.5 with Raiders who I still like

Pitt I'm not sure if I'll play yet

 

[indiana]

Biz.....BOL with your week 1 action buddy......indy

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Biz did you tinker with your 1st H unders system? Last year was a horrific outlier year for what I have compared to the last 9 years

 

[Biz]

Didn't tinker with it and it wasn't horrific.

It was 50% on the closing line 7-7-1 and 9-5-1 on the lines we got at the time I posted.

These games pop up early in the week, I usually give them out on Tuesdays. The line will move against us from there, which is why I send them out. early in the week

Horrific to me is many games below 50%. At the close you lost juice on a 50-50 split

At the lines we got at the time I released them, it was a solid profit

.

 

[Biz]

Biz.....BOL with your week 1 action buddy......indy

Thanks Indy, hope all is well

 

[razorbackpicks]

So you are saying the play is the short road dogs circled? Care to elaborate on the theory here? Love your post!

 

[Biz]

So you are saying the play is the short road dogs circled? Care to elaborate on the theory here? Love your post!

Yes play the short road dogs.

next week being a NDIV game there is less reason for a lookahead spot

Dogs in general have fared well week 1. 84-65 (56.4%) if you just blindly bet every one

54-38 on road 58.7%

In week 1 these have gone 17-3-1 and as a side note the Under 7-13-1 in these week 1 matchups

 

[Biz]

Since 2014 for that week 1 number on dogs in general

 

[razorbackpicks]

So why is the play not on ravens, pack, panthers, commanders, cowboys, rams, and jets?

 

[Biz]

So why is the play not on ravens, pack, panthers, commanders, cowboys, rams, and jets?

why would it?

 

[Biz]

Let me look and I'll get back to you

 

[exploited17]

So why is the play not on ravens, pack, panthers, commanders, cowboys, rams, and jets?

Ravens didn't have previous win vs Chiefs. Have to have won previous match and non-division next game

 

[Biz]

Ravens Prev HTH was a loss
GB is neutral site
Panthers lost Prev HTH
Wash next week plays a DIV game
Dallas Prev HTH was a loss
Rams next week DIV
Jets lost Prev HTH

 

[Biz]

PREVIOUS HTH LOSS
NEXT WEEK DIV GAME

EITHER OF THESE APPLY IT DOES NOT QUALIFY

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Didn't tinker with it and it wasn't horrific.

It was 50% on the closing line 7-7-1 and 9-5-1 on the lines we got at the time I posted.

These games pop up early in the week, I usually give them out on Tuesdays. The line will move against us from there, which is why I send them out. early in the week

Horrific to me is many games below 50%. At the close you lost juice on a 50-50 split

At the lines we got at the time I released them, it was a solid profit

.View attachment 98753View attachment 98754View attachment 98755

50/50 is a big step back. Horrific was incorrect for the right description. Not bashing. Just wondering if you saw something as I have a similar one built and it was the first losing/neutral year in 14 years, basically what you are showing too.

Could have been just bad luck.