NFL week “lucky” 13

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YTD. 35-37……. -249.00….. If I don’t at least eke out a winning week, I’ll see ya in 2023 for the playoffs!

Buff - NE over 44…….55/50

Beautiful night in Foxboro!….this Patriot defense has very good numbers against the bums, but when they face real offenses (especially with dual threat QB’s) it’s a different story…Bears (33)…Ravens (37)…also Minnesota and Green Bay averaged 30 (aided by a KR td)…they did hold Tua down week 1, but everyone agrees that the first couple of weeks are the new preseason….Josh Allen turns it over, but they still average close to 30…in the Bills last 5 games they average 159ry 5.8ypc!…they throw too much IMO!…119 targets for Diggs, c’mon….the Patriots offense is showing signs, especially Mac Jones of regaining last years form + they thrive on TO’s….Kick returns and punt returns always seem available in Patriot games…maybe that will help set up the offenses?

the beer is cold, here is to only TD’s!

good luck!
 

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Det -1…….55/50

These teams look dead even to me, so maybe a little value with this line?…the ball will be moving, but the Lions D has been more opportunistic of late…hopefully they win the all important turnover battle.

Falcons - Steelers under 42.5……55/50

If you take away the Falcons games against a depleted Panthers secondary, these QB’s have combined for 6 TD passes last 6 games!…big plays are elusive for both teams…Pickett looked pretty good on Monday night, but overall has struggled on the road (especially on 3rd down 27%)…Atl will try to run, that is who they are…hoping for a slugfest.

Chi- Gb over 45.5…..33/30

The last 6 Bears games have gone over and just about their entire starting secondary is out…Green Bay can’t stop anyone…of course, will either QB make it out of the first quarter?…the reason to be cautious.

Tenn +4.5….33/30

Always love the Titans as an underdog…unfortunately so does the public!

good luck!
 

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taking a flyer on a prop

Will Dissly TD +340

30/102

Rams have given up a touchdown to a TE in 4 of the last 5 games (Kelce, Kittle, Juwan Johnson and Cade Otten)…Geno Smith has thrown for at least 2 TD ‘s in in 9 of 11 games…hopefully he finds Dissly, he does have 3 TD’s.
 

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adding

SF -5…..33/30

I think the Dolphins are legit, just the wrong team to face without both starting offensive tackles.

Bengals +2.5…..44/40

no respect with this line for a very hot team with the better D.

KC - Cincy over 52.5….44/40

square play off the day…but c’mon Mahomes + Burrow!

Las Vegas -2.5…..55/50

I think Herbert is elite, but it’s tough to win in this league and even harder when you have to do everything…the 2 games that center Linsley missed were very ugly for LAC (10 points vs. the Jags and 19 vs. the Broncos)…if Jacobs holds up, he should have another big day here…Carr has been better at home as well.

getting a little crazy, but it’s only beer money!

good luck!
 

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I don’t know how Cincy game does not go over…pass up points at the end of first half…wide open TD dropped?…oh well, had the Bengals as well.

Cowboys - Colts under 44.5……44/40

If this wasn’t a stand alone game, I would take the Cowboys…hopefully Indy shows up…I didn’t think Indy could score last week at home against Pitt…they had 17 greatly aided by 200+ KR yards!…I certainly think they have trouble scoring against this Dallas D…I think Indy’s D is their better side.

here is to punts, fg’s and tick,tick,tick!

good luck!
 

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5-6 on the week -19

both teams are so inconsistent on both sides of the ball.

Tampa - N.O. over 40.5……33/30

for the action and trying to eke out that elusive winning week.

good luck!
 

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In the interest of record keeping, after looking at my account, I was +66 on Sunday…I thought I had lost on the over in the Bears game.

So. 6-6 on the week. +11…….let’s goooo!,

YTD 41-43……. -238….awful
 

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