NFL Systems 2016

[rolltide]

Week One UNDER non-divisional game with away team favored and total >40 (CAR/DEN under, MIN/TEN under, CIN/NYJ under, GB/JAX under, PIT/WAS under)

week = 1 and total > 40 and AF and season > 1990 and not DIV SU: 26-11-0 (4.92, 70.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 19-17-1 (1.31, 52.8%) avg line: -3.6 +6: 26-10-1 (72.2%) -6: 14-23-0 (37.8%) +10: 29-7-1 (80.6%) -10: 11-26-0 (29.7%) O/U: 7-28-2 (-8.16, 20.0%) avg total: 45.1 +6: 3-34-0 (8.1%) -6: 16-20-1 (44.4%) +10: 3-34-0 (8.1%) -10: 19-18-0 (51.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.2 108.1 35.8 22.8 225.1 1.8 3.3 8.2 4.6 4.7 20.9 Opp 25.6 110.3 33.7 19.3 198.6 2.2 3.7 4.8 2.9 4.6 16.0 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 12, 2016 view Monday 1 2016 Steelers Redskins away -3.0 50.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Packers Jaguars away -4.5 48.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Bengals Jets away -2.5 41.5 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Vikings Titans away -2.0 41.0 Sep 08, 2016 view Thursday 1 2016 Panthers Broncos away -3.0 41.5

OPPOSE week 1 underdogs knocked out from playoffs early last season. (on PIT)

week = 1 and Sum(playoffs@team,N=2) = 1 and D and total > 37 and season >= 2004 SU: 1-24-0 (-12.28, 4.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-23-1 (-8.10, 4.2%) avg line: 4.2 +6: 12-13-0 (48.0%) -6: 1-24-0 (4.0%) +10: 16-8-1 (66.7%) -10: 0-25-0 (0.0%) O/U: 16-8-1 (3.62, 66.7%) avg total: 44.3 +6: 10-15-0 (40.0%) -6: 21-4-0 (84.0%) +10: 7-18-0 (28.0%) -10: 21-4-0 (84.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.4 98.3 36.7 22.6 223.2 2.2 3.0 5.9 4.4 4.6 17.8 Opp 29.4 118.4 32.6 21.6 251.5 1.2 5.3 9.6 7.9 7.3 30.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 12, 2016 view Monday 1 2016 Redskins Steelers home 3.0 50.0

PLAY ON week 1 teams that had horrible turnover differential in previous season when playing team that had a great turnover differential. (on SF, on DAL, on JAX, on BAL, on TEN)

Sum(turnover margin@team and season and playoffs = 0)[team and season -1 and playoffs = 0] >= 5 and Sum(o:turnover margin@o:team and season and playoffs = 0)[o:team and season -1 and playoffs = 0] <= -5 and week = 1 SU: 34-32-0 (1.41, 51.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-21-1 (4.45, 67.7%) avg line: 3.0 +6: 53-13-0 (80.3%) -6: 30-35-1 (46.2%) +10: 59-5-2 (92.2%) -10: 17-47-2 (26.6%) O/U: 32-34-0 (0.48, 48.5%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 19-47-0 (28.8%) -6: 45-21-0 (68.2%) +10: 12-53-1 (18.5%) -10: 50-16-0 (75.8%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.1 115.8 32.7 19.9 209.8 1.7 4.5 6.6 5.3 5.5 22.0 Opp 25.9 97.6 35.5 21.6 228.5 2.1 3.0 6.5 4.0 6.9 20.6 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 12, 2016 view Monday 1 2016 Fortyniners Rams home 2.5 44.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Cowboys Giants home 0.0 46.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Jaguars Packers home 4.5 48.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Ravens Bills home -3.0 44.5 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Titans Vikings home 2.0 41.0

UNDER week 1 divisional home teams with revenge (DAL/NYG under, ATL/TB under)

week = 1 and DIV and H and line < 4.5 and season > 1995 and P:L SU: 29-21-0 (3.04, 58.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 29-20-1 (2.23, 59.2%) avg line: -0.8 +6: 37-11-2 (77.1%) -6: 16-33-1 (32.7%) +10: 43-5-2 (89.6%) -10: 11-38-1 (22.4%) O/U: 16-34-0 (-3.56, 32.0%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 12-38-0 (24.0%) -6: 26-23-1 (53.1%) +10: 8-42-0 (16.0%) -10: 34-15-1 (69.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 110.7 33.3 19.5 211.2 1.5 4.8 5.8 4.6 5.4 20.8 Opp 26.1 101.9 35.0 20.8 221.7 2.2 3.1 5.4 3.4 5.8 17.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Cowboys Giants home 0.0 46.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Falcons Buccaneers home -3.0 47.5

OPPOSE week 1 road dogs that were >.500 last year as long as home team won <14 games last year (on ARI)

total > 37 and week = 1 and PRSW > 8 and AD and oRSW < 14 SU: 7-58-0 (-10.94, 10.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 12-48-5 (-6.67, 20.0%) avg line: 4.3 +6: 35-29-1 (54.7%) -6: 6-59-0 (9.2%) +10: 42-20-3 (67.7%) -10: 3-61-1 (4.7%) O/U: 31-33-1 (0.64, 48.4%) avg total: 44.1 +6: 25-40-0 (38.5%) -6: 41-24-0 (63.1%) +10: 20-45-0 (30.8%) -10: 44-21-0 (67.7%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 22.8 89.2 37.2 21.6 234.4 2.4 2.8 5.5 3.9 4.7 16.9 Opp 29.1 119.0 32.8 21.0 243.3 1.1 5.6 8.1 6.5 7.6 27.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Patriots Cardinals away 6.0 47.0

PLAY ON any week 1 non-division underdog that won just 4-6 games last year. (on CHI, on MIA, on JAX)

3 < PRSW < 7 and week = 1 and not DIV and line > 1.5 SU: 27-41-0 (-2.76, 39.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-20-2 (3.25, 69.7%) avg line: 6.0 +6: 54-14-0 (79.4%) -6: 25-40-3 (38.5%) +10: 57-10-1 (85.1%) -10: 18-50-0 (26.5%) O/U: 32-36-0 (0.09, 47.1%) avg total: 40.5 +6: 19-48-1 (28.4%) -6: 44-22-2 (66.7%) +10: 16-52-0 (23.5%) -10: 52-15-1 (77.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.5 107.0 31.2 18.3 191.2 1.7 3.9 6.3 3.2 5.4 18.9 Opp 27.1 106.5 32.6 20.0 215.1 2.0 3.4 6.0 5.5 6.6 21.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Jaguars Packers home 4.5 48.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Dolphins Seahawks away 10.5 44.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Bears Texans away 6.5 44.0

UNDER very high total in week 1, non-divisional game, away team small dog or favorite (OAK/NO under, JAX/GB under, WAS/PIT under)

A and week = 1 and NDIV and total >= 45 and line < 1.5 SU: 13-5-0 (4.61, 72.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 10-7-1 (1.36, 58.8%) avg line: -3.2 +6: 14-4-0 (77.8%) -6: 6-12-0 (33.3%) +10: 14-3-1 (82.4%) -10: 5-13-0 (27.8%) O/U: 0-17-1 (-12.78, 0.0%) avg total: 47.6 +6: 0-18-0 (0.0%) -6: 5-12-1 (29.4%) +10: 0-18-0 (0.0%) -10: 7-11-0 (38.9%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.6 99.9 35.9 23.8 234.8 1.6 2.7 8.3 4.8 3.7 19.7 Opp 23.9 103.6 33.7 20.7 215.6 2.1 2.7 4.6 2.8 5.0 15.1 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 12, 2016 view Monday 1 2016 Steelers Redskins away -3.0 50.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Packers Jaguars away -4.5 48.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Raiders Saints away 1.0 51.0

 

[indiana]

R/tide..........BOL with all your action this season.........enjoy and may it be profitable...........indy

 

[rolltide]

Week One PLAY ON small away dogs that won 6 or less games last year. (on CLE, on TB, on CHI)

week = 1 and PRSW < 7 and AD and line < 7 SU: 27-39-0 (1.18, 40.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 46-15-5 (5.50, 75.4%) avg line: 4.3 +6: 55-10-1 (84.6%) -6: 24-40-2 (37.5%) +10: 58-7-1 (89.2%) -10: 16-49-1 (24.6%) O/U: 38-28-0 (3.26, 57.6%) avg total: 40.4 +6: 29-37-0 (43.9%) -6: 45-19-2 (70.3%) +10: 22-44-0 (33.3%) -10: 52-13-1 (80.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.8 111.5 32.3 19.4 212.8 1.6 4.2 7.0 4.8 6.4 22.4 Opp 27.5 105.9 31.8 19.5 217.5 2.0 3.8 5.5 5.0 6.7 21.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Browns Eagles away 4.0 41.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Buccaneers Falcons away 3.0 47.5 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Bears Texans away 6.5 44.0

Week One OPPOSE any away dog of < TD if they won 7+ games last year (on ARI, on INDY, on BAL, on NO)

week = 1 and AD and line < 7 and PRSW > 6 SU: 28-89-0 (-6.97, 23.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 37-74-6 (-3.28, 33.3%) avg line: 3.7 +6: 73-43-1 (62.9%) -6: 24-92-1 (20.7%) +10: 85-29-3 (74.6%) -10: 15-101-1 (12.9%) O/U: 52-65-0 (-1.16, 44.4%) avg total: 41.6 +6: 34-81-2 (29.6%) -6: 68-45-4 (60.2%) +10: 24-90-3 (21.1%) -10: 83-33-1 (71.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.7 93.0 34.4 20.0 213.8 2.3 2.4 5.6 3.7 4.9 16.7 Opp 28.2 112.9 32.2 19.7 215.5 1.4 4.8 6.5 5.5 6.8 23.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Patriots Cardinals away 6.0 47.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Lions Colts away 3.5 51.0 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Bills Ravens away 3.0 44.5 Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Raiders Saints away 1.0 51.0

 

[rolltide]

PLAY ON week one divisional team that lost last two h2h meetings (on ATL)

week = 1 and DIV and P:L and PP:L and PRSW > 4 SU: 25-27-0 (0.29, 48.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 35-16-1 (3.84, 68.6%) avg line: 3.5 +6: 44-8-0 (84.6%) -6: 23-29-0 (44.2%) +10: 46-6-0 (88.5%) -10: 15-35-2 (30.0%) O/U: 30-22-0 (2.12, 57.7%) avg total: 41.7 +6: 20-32-0 (38.5%) -6: 37-14-1 (72.5%) +10: 11-39-2 (22.0%) -10: 42-9-1 (82.4%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.4 115.4 31.8 18.0 208.1 1.6 3.9 7.2 5.4 5.4 22.1 Opp 25.9 102.0 36.2 22.0 236.2 2.2 3.8 6.2 4.9 6.8 21.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 11, 2016 view Sunday 1 2016 Falcons Buccaneers home -3.0 47.5

last 10 years best and worst ATS in week 1:

10	8-2-0 (9.30, 80.0%)	5.0	4-6-0 (1.00, 40.0%)	42.5	4-6-0 (4.30, 40.0%)	Bills
10	7-2-1 (2.75, 77.8%)	0.5	4-6-0 (-0.20, 40.0%)	44.1	7-3-0 (2.30, 70.0%)	Fortyniners
10	7-2-1 (8.10, 77.8%)	2.8	3-7-0 (-4.10, 30.0%)	39.8	6-4-0 (5.30, 60.0%)	Titans

10	2-8-0 (-9.05, 20.0%)	2.5	5-5-0 (0.65, 50.0%)	39.9	0-10-0 (-11.50, 0.0%)	Browns
10	2-8-0 (-8.95, 20.0%)	0.1	4-6-0 (-2.05, 40.0%)	40.1	2-8-0 (-9.10, 20.0%)	Buccaneers
10	3-7-0 (-3.25, 30.0%)	0.2	7-3-0 (4.75, 70.0%)	44.4	3-7-0 (-3.50, 30.0%)	Giants
10	3-7-0 (-6.05, 30.0%)	-0.9	2-7-1 (-0.70, 22.2%)	46.8	4-6-0 (-5.10, 40.0%)	Colts
10	3-7-0 (-8.60, 30.0%)	3.1	3-6-1 (-1.35, 33.3%)	43.0	3-7-0 (-11.70, 30.0%)	Rams

Super Bowl champions are 19-3 SU in home openers and Denver is 24-3 SU in home openers....

 

[BobbySteelz]

BOL Roll Tide! And you're from the Burgh, too. Love it.

 

[athan12]

thanks for the great info rolltide @)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Some good information in here.......

Good luck RollTide!

 

[RDTrains]

1st H play from Statfox

- Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (NY JETS) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a good record last season (60% to 75%) playing a team that had a winning record.
(23-5 since 1983.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.6, Opponent 7.5 (Average first half point differential = +7.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).

 

[colorado]

thanks rolltide, for your time and effort, your info is always helpful

 

[seldomseen]

Thanks for posting these. Do you know if sdql has a parameter for primetime games?

 

[rolltide]

Thanks for posting these. Do you know if sdql has a parameter for primetime games?

yes they do. it's "start time" and then using military time in EST time zone. So if you want to only see games that start after 6pm EST it is

start time>1800

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE week 2 teams not favored by >TD that won SU as a dog in the opener, scoring >30 (on ATL, on TEN, on ARIZ)

ATS:	2-18-3 (-9.87, 10.0%)	avg line: 0.3	+6: 7-16-0 (30.4%)	-6: 0-23-0 (0.0%)	+10: 11-12-0 (47.8%)	-10: 0-23-0 (0.0%)
O/U:	12-10-1 (2.57, 54.5%)	avg total: 41.9	+6: 9-14-0 (39.1%)	-6: 18-5-0 (78.3%)	+10: 6-17-0 (26.1%)	-10: 20-3-0 (87.0%)

SU:[TD]5-18-0 (-10.13, 21.7%)[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TH="bgcolor: F8F8F8, colspan: 4, align: center"]Teaser Records[/TH]

[TR]
[TD]

 

[rolltide]

OPPOSE week 2 teams not favored by >TD that won SU as a dog in the opener, scoring >30 (on ATL, on TEN, on ARIZ)

pW and game number = 2 and points > 30 and line > -6
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.2 100.5 37.8 21.4 214.3 2.2 2.7 4.2 5.3 4.8 17.2 Opp 31.6 118.6 30.4 20.0 239.8 1.0 4.8 10.0 5.2 7.3 27.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Buccaneers Cardinals away 6.5 50.0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Lions Titans home -5.5 47.0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Raiders Falcons home -4.5 48.5

PLAY ON a team that allowed an opponent WR to catch 12+ balls last week (on NYJ)

ATS:	42-29-0 (1.32, 59.2%)	avg line: -0.3	+6: 49-21-1 (70.0%)	-6: 29-41-1 (41.4%)	+10: 55-15-1 (78.6%)	-10: 20-49-2 (29.0%)
O/U:	48-20-3 (5.39, 70.6%)	avg total: 43.4	+6: 32-39-0 (45.1%)	-6: 58-12-1 (82.9%)	+10: 23-48-0 (32.4%)	-10: 62-8-1 (88.6%)

[TR]
[TD]

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	25.7	97.6	36.7	22.2	245.5	2.1	3.0	5.4	4.4	7.1	20.3
Opp	27.9	106.6	34.0	20.4	226.6	1.3	4.0	7.5	4.8	5.7	22.3

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Sep 18, 2016	view	Sunday	2	2016	Broncos	Colts	home						-6.0	45.0

[/TD]
[/TR]
UNDER teams that just won in OT after a 4th quarter comeback (OAK under, KC under)

ATS:	39-51-2 (-0.98, 43.3%)	avg line: -1.9	+6: 61-29-2 (67.8%)	-6: 22-69-1 (24.2%)	+10: 72-20-0 (78.3%)	-10: 17-73-2 (18.9%)
O/U:	27-63-2 (-2.82, 30.0%)	avg total: 45.0	+6: 21-70-1 (23.1%)	-6: 54-38-0 (58.7%)	+10: 16-74-2 (17.8%)	-10: 65-26-1 (71.4%)

[TR]
[TD]

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	26.1	116.9	35.1	20.6	218.0	2.2	3.8	6.4	4.9	6.1	21.3
Opp	28.7	114.4	31.7	19.0	215.1	1.5	5.4	7.5	5.4	6.5	24.7

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] Oppose home favs that just lost in OT and playing a team off a loss (on JAX)

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Sep 18, 2016	view	Sunday	2	2016	Chargers	Jaguars	home						-3.0	48.0

[/TD]
[/TR]

OPPOSE low line home teams off a loss allowing 29+ and away team off a loss (on DAL)

ATS:	17-39-2 (-3.54, 30.4%)	avg line: -0.2	+6: 34-20-4 (63.0%)	-6: 12-45-1 (21.1%)	+10: 42-16-0 (72.4%)	-10: 7-51-0 (12.1%)
O/U:	28-28-2 (0.30, 50.0%)	avg total: 41.7	+6: 20-36-2 (35.7%)	-6: 38-20-0 (65.5%)	+10: 18-40-0 (31.0%)	-10: 39-19-0 (67.2%)

[TR]
[TD]

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	26.8	88.9	34.0	21.1	216.1	1.4	2.5	6.1	3.3	5.5	17.4
Opp	25.4	100.6	34.6	20.9	214.4	1.7	4.0	5.6	3.6	5.0	18.6

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Sep 15, 2016	view	Thursday	2	2016	Jets	Bills	away						-0.0	40.0

[/TD]
[/TR]

OPPOSE favs and small dogs off MNF away win (on CIN)

ATS:	2-18-0 (-10.65, 10.0%)	avg line: -4.8	+6: 6-14-0 (30.0%)	-6: 0-20-0 (0.0%)	+10: 9-10-1 (47.4%)	-10: 0-20-0 (0.0%)
O/U:	14-6-0 (4.12, 70.0%)	avg total: 46.8	+6: 10-9-1 (52.6%)	-6: 17-3-0 (85.0%)	+10: 5-12-3 (29.4%)	-10: 17-3-0 (85.0%)

[TR]
[TD]

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Comp	Pass Yds	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	28.6	113.7	34.6	20.9	216.7	1.7	4.0	6.7	4.6	5.4	21.0
Opp	27.9	122.4	32.9	19.9	226.7	1.6	4.9	7.8	4.5	6.5	23.9

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] PLAY ON teams that won the stats at home last week but lost the game vs a team that won the game last week but lost the stats (were outgained but won)

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Sep 18, 2016	view	Sunday	2	2016	Colts	Broncos	away						6.0	45.0
Sep 18, 2016	view	Sunday	2	2016	Saints	Giants	away						5.0	52.5
Sep 18, 2016	view	Sunday	2	2016	Titans	Lions	away						5.5	47.0
Sep 18, 2016	view	Sunday	2	2016	Falcons	Raiders	away						4.5	48.5

[/TD]
[/TR]

 

[rolltide]

obviously site was not too receptive to my tables this week. quick notes would be that this week looks like bad spots for San Diego, Denver, Pittsburgh, Washington, Tampa, Detroit, and Oakland ... good spots for NY Jets, Indy, Tenn, and Atlanta

 

[TomandJerry]

rolltide, may I help the name of the website to run something like this, my comp broke down and I couldn't recall the name of the site. TIA.

 

[rolltide]

http://killersports.com/ or http://sportsdatabase.com/

 

[rolltide]

nice early season contrarian play to take teams that won 4+ games last year which was still at least 5 less wins than their opponent and the lesser team failed to score even 21 points last week... (on Miami) note: every game was a dog yet won nearly 50% of the time at an average of +200 ML

SU: 18-20-0 (2.13, 47.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-30-1 (-5.32, 18.9%) avg line: -7.4 +6: 15-23-0 (39.5%) -6: 5-33-0 (13.2%) +10: 23-13-2 (63.9%) -10: 4-33-1 (10.8%) O/U: 20-18-0 (2.21, 52.6%) avg total: 42.3 +6: 15-23-0 (39.5%) -6: 26-12-0 (68.4%) +10: 9-28-1 (24.3%) -10: 29-7-2 (80.6%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.3 113.4 38.5 24.1 257.4 1.8 5.6 5.4 5.3 6.9 23.3 Opp 26.9 96.8 31.0 18.3 218.7 1.5 3.2 7.1 4.9 5.8 21.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Patriots Dolphins home -6.5 41.5

 

[rolltide]

while historically terrible in game #1 teams that were eliminated early in playoffs last season after winning 9+ games are tremendous when playing at home in game 2 as long as they were not blown out by 3+ TD last week. (on Houston, on Minnesota) - also on 14-1 ATS run since 2010 season

tpA(L@playoffs=1) = 1 and H and game number = 2 and season > 2002 and p:margin > -20 and PRSW > 8
SU: 28-6-0 (10.62, 82.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-8-0 (5.59, 76.5%) avg line: -5.0 +6: 29-4-1 (87.9%) -6: 17-16-1 (51.5%) +10: 32-2-0 (94.1%) -10: 11-23-0 (32.4%) O/U: 16-18-0 (1.66, 47.1%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 12-21-1 (36.4%) -6: 26-8-0 (76.5%) +10: 6-26-2 (18.8%) -10: 28-6-0 (82.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.8 128.1 33.2 21.4 251.2 1.1 6.6 8.4 4.7 8.0 27.7 Opp 23.5 90.0 34.8 20.3 219.0 2.2 2.8 4.9 3.4 6.0 17.1
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Texans Chiefs home -2.5 43.0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Vikings Packers home 2.0 44.0 Sep 20, 2015 view Sunday 2 2015 Bengals Chargers home 7-3 7-3 3-7 7-6 24-19 -3.5 47.0 5 1.5 -4.0 -1.2 -2.8 W W U 0 Sep 20, 2015 view Sunday 2 2015 Steelers Fortyniners home 8-0 21-3 0-0 14-15 43-18 -6.0 46.0 25 19.0 15.0 17.0 -2.0 W W O 0 Sep 14, 2014 view Sunday 2 2014 Bengals Falcons home 3-3 7-0 14-0 0-7 24-10 -5.5 49.0 14 8.5 -15.0 -3.2 -11.8 W W U 0 Sep 14, 2014 view Sunday 2 2014 Panthers Lions home 0-0 6-0 7-7 11-0 24-7 -2.0 43.5 17 15.0 -12.5 1.2 -13.8 W W U 0 Sep 16, 2013 Monday 2 2013 Bengals Steelers home 7-3 3-7 7-0 3-0 20-10 -6.5 41.0 10 3.5 -11.0 -3.8 -7.2 W W U 0 Sep 15, 2013 Sunday 2 2013 Colts Dolphins home 3-14 14-3 3-7 0-0 20-24 -2.0 43.0 -4 -6.0 1.0 -2.5 3.5 L L O 0 Sep 17, 2012 Monday 2 2012 Falcons Broncos home 10-0 10-7 7-0 0-14 27-21 -3.0 52.5 6 3.0 -4.5 -0.8 -3.8 W W U 0 Sep 16, 2012 Sunday 2 2012 Steelers Jets home 3-7 10-3 7-0 7-0 27-10 -5.5 42.5 17 11.5 -5.5 3.0 -8.5 W W U 0 Sep 13, 2012 Thursday 2 2012 Packers Bears home 0-0 13-0 0-3 10-7 23-10 -5.5 50.5 13 7.5 -17.5 -5.0 -12.5 W W U 0 Sep 18, 2011 Sunday 2 2011 Saints Bears home 3-7 13-3 7-3 7-0 30-13 -6.0 47.0 17 11.0 -4.0 3.5 -7.5 W W U 0 Sep 18, 2011 Sunday 2 2011 Patriots Chargers home 7-7 13-0 0-0 15-14 35-21 -7.0 53.5 14 7.0 2.5 4.8 -2.2 W W O 0 Sep 18, 2011 Sunday 2 2011 Falcons Eagles home 7-0 7-10 7-21 14-0 35-31 2.0 49.5 4 6.0 16.5 11.2 5.2 W W O 0 Sep 19, 2010 Sunday 2 2010 Bengals Ravens home 0-0 6-0 3-7 6-3 15-10 2.0 39.5 5 7.0 -14.5 -3.8 -10.8 W W U 0 Sep 19, 2010 Sunday 2 2010 Packers Bills home 13-0 0-7 14-0 7-0 34-7 -13.0 42.0 27 14.0 -1.0 6.5 -7.5 W W U 0 Sep 19, 2010 Sunday 2 2010 Chargers Jaguars home 7-3 14-3 3-0 14-7 38-13 -7.0 45.0 25 18.0 6.0 12.0 -6.0 W W O 0

 

[rolltide]

teams that blew a double digit HT lead and a big 12-16 point 4th quarter lead have covered just 4 of 26 games (on JAX)

11 < p:M3 < 17 and p:L and p:M2 > 9 and.....
SU: 5-21-0 (-11.00, 19.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-20-2 (-7.83, 16.7%) avg line: 3.2 +6: 14-11-1 (56.0%) -6: 2-24-0 (7.7%) +10: 16-9-1 (64.0%) -10: 0-25-1 (0.0%) O/U: 11-14-1 (0.58, 44.0%) avg total: 42.3 +6: 7-19-0 (26.9%) -6: 17-8-1 (68.0%) +10: 5-21-0 (19.2%) -10: 21-5-0 (80.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.8 105.6 35.3 20.0 201.6 2.3 4.2 4.8 2.5 4.5 16.0 Opp 31.9 122.9 32.5 20.3 239.7 1.5 6.5 8.3 6.2 5.9 27.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Chargers Jaguars home -3.0 47.0

week 2 teams that covered 7 or less games from previous season and failed to cover in week 1 by a narrow margin have done very well ATS. (on TENN, on BUF, on DAL)

tpS(ats margin>0) < 8 and week = 2 and -9 < p:ats margin < 0 and PRSW > 1 ...
SU: 21-14-0 (3.06, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 26-7-2 (6.01, 78.8%) avg line: 3.0 +6: 32-3-0 (91.4%) -6: 18-17-0 (51.4%) +10: 33-2-0 (94.3%) -10: 11-22-2 (33.3%) O/U: 14-20-1 (-1.43, 41.2%) avg total: 40.9 +6: 10-24-1 (29.4%) -6: 21-14-0 (60.0%) +10: 5-29-1 (14.7%) -10: 25-9-1 (73.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 102.1 32.7 20.7 226.5 1.1 4.1 6.8 3.3 6.7 21.3 Opp 24.7 97.1 34.7 20.3 215.6 1.8 2.9 5.1 4.9 5.3 18.2
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Titans Lions away 5.5 47.5 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Cowboys Redskins away 2.5 45.0 Sep 15, 2016 view Thursday 2 2016 Bills Jets home 1.0 40.0

 

[rolltide]

week 3 UNDER 2-0 team on the road after a home game, winners of at least 5 games last year (HOU under, PIT under, MIN under, DEN under)

week = 3 and PRSW > 4 and p:W and pp:W and A and p:H and opooints < 35
SU: 28-25-0 (-0.40, 52.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-26-2 (0.09, 49.0%) avg line: 0.5 +6: 34-17-2 (66.7%) -6: 20-31-2 (39.2%) +10: 39-14-0 (73.6%) -10: 11-38-4 (22.4%) O/U: 15-37-1 (-3.16, 28.8%) avg total: 41.5 +6: 9-44-0 (17.0%) -6: 28-23-2 (54.9%) +10: 7-46-0 (13.2%) -10: 43-9-1 (82.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.6 98.4 33.3 19.8 205.8 1.9 3.8 5.4 3.6 6.0 19.0 Opp 28.3 111.7 32.7 19.5 201.2 1.8 3.9 7.1 3.2 5.0 19.4
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Broncos Bengals away 3.0 41.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Steelers Eagles away -3.5 46.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Vikings Panthers away 7.0 43.0 Sep 22, 2016 view Thursday 3 2016 Texans Patriots away 0.0 41.0

week 3 OVER 0-2 team that was terrible last year vs opponent off a loss (CLE over)

week = 3 and PRSW < 7 and p:L and pp:L and D and op:L and season > 1991
SU: 7-25-0 (-12.19, 21.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 13-18-1 (-4.42, 41.9%) avg line: 7.8 +6: 18-14-0 (56.2%) -6: 7-25-0 (21.9%) +10: 19-13-0 (59.4%) -10: 5-27-0 (15.6%) O/U: 22-9-1 (6.95, 71.0%) avg total: 40.3 +6: 20-11-1 (64.5%) -6: 24-8-0 (75.0%) +10: 15-17-0 (46.9%) -10: 27-4-1 (87.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 24.7 103.2 32.8 19.1 193.5 2.2 3.4 5.2 3.5 5.5 17.5 Opp 32.2 160.3 31.4 20.5 232.6 1.5 7.2 7.8 7.9 6.8 29.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Browns Dolphins away 10.0 41.5

week 3 PLAY ON 1-1 away dog off a home fav loss and facing another 1-1 team (on DET, on OAK)

AD and week = 3 and wins = 1 and o:wins = 1 and rest <= o:rest and p:HF and p:line > -8
SU: 10-7-0 (5.47, 58.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 15-1-1 (10.03, 93.8%) avg line: 4.6 +6: 16-1-0 (94.1%) -6: 9-8-0 (52.9%) +10: 16-0-1 (100.0%) -10: 6-9-2 (40.0%) O/U: 6-11-0 (-0.47, 35.3%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 4-13-0 (23.5%) -6: 10-6-1 (62.5%) +10: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -10: 12-5-0 (70.6%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.5 104.0 33.2 19.6 234.4 1.5 6.2 5.1 4.1 8.2 24.2 Opp 29.3 111.9 34.0 20.2 217.6 2.3 3.6 5.8 3.8 5.5 18.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Lions Packers away 7.5 47.5 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Raiders Titans away 1.5 46.5

week 3 OPPOSE home teams playing first team with a win on the season and opponent max 10 wins last year (on SF, on BAL)

week = 3 and line < 3 and po:wins = 0 and H and ppo:wins = 0 and o:wins > 0 and season > 1995 and oRSW < 11 and poRSW < 13 and ppoRSW < 12
SU: 25-36-0 (-2.15, 41.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 11-50-0 (-6.43, 18.0%) avg line: -4.3 +6: 26-31-4 (45.6%) -6: 7-54-0 (11.5%) +10: 41-18-2 (69.5%) -10: 5-56-0 (8.2%) O/U: 36-24-1 (2.72, 60.0%) avg total: 42.5 +6: 24-36-1 (40.0%) -6: 46-15-0 (75.4%) +10: 18-43-0 (29.5%) -10: 53-8-0 (86.9%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.6 113.5 34.8 21.2 231.6 2.3 5.0 6.4 4.1 5.9 21.5 Opp 28.6 109.4 32.7 19.8 222.9 1.3 4.7 6.9 4.1 7.9 23.7
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Jaguars Ravens home 1.0 47.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Seahawks Fortyniners home -9.5 40.0

week 3 play on team off a win vs team off a loss that is changing sites and previous meeting not a blowout win. (on BAL, on SD, on DEN, on LA, on ATL, on LA)

week = 3 and WP >= 50 and o:WP <= 50 and p:W and op:L and (site = p:site or A) and op:site != o:site and P:margin > -10 and P:margin < 18
SU: 37-17-0 (6.13, 68.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 43-11-0 (5.61, 79.6%) avg line: -0.5 +6: 46-7-1 (86.8%) -6: 24-28-2 (46.2%) +10: 50-4-0 (92.6%) -10: 14-38-2 (26.9%) O/U: 19-35-0 (-2.40, 35.2%) avg total: 41.7 +6: 14-40-0 (25.9%) -6: 32-21-1 (60.4%) +10: 8-46-0 (14.8%) -10: 38-15-1 (71.7%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.4 114.6 34.1 20.5 229.5 1.4 5.0 6.0 5.0 6.6 22.7 Opp 26.1 101.1 35.1 20.0 210.7 1.9 3.2 5.3 3.1 4.9 16.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2016 view Monday 3 2016 Falcons Saints away 3.0 53.5 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Broncos Bengals away 3.0 41.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Rams Buccaneers away 5.0 42.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Chargers Colts away 2.5 52.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Giants Redskins home -4.5 46.5 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Ravens Jaguars away -1.0 47.0

UNDER dogs off away dog win >400 total yards (ATL/NO under)

D and p:TY >= 400 and p:ADW and p:line > 3
SU: 24-46-0 (-5.04, 34.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 35-32-3 (-0.04, 52.2%) avg line: 5.0 +6: 47-21-2 (69.1%) -6: 19-50-1 (27.5%) +10: 51-18-1 (73.9%) -10: 16-52-2 (23.5%) O/U: 19-50-1 (-4.73, 27.5%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 16-53-1 (23.2%) -6: 33-37-0 (47.1%) +10: 10-58-2 (14.7%) -10: 45-24-1 (65.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.1 103.5 33.3 19.3 203.8 1.9 3.2 5.3 3.5 4.8 16.9 Opp 29.4 121.4 33.5 20.4 221.0 1.5 4.1 7.0 4.8 5.9 21.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2016 view Monday 3 2016 Falcons Saints away 3.0 53.5

OPPOSE away teams off b2b wins allowing a lot of passing yards and on road for at least 2nd of L3 games (on Philly)

p:W and pp:W and poY > 300 and ppoY > 250 and A and week < 19 and pooints < 34 and po:RY + ppo:RY < 276 and pp:A
SU: 6-18-0 (-5.58, 25.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-21-0 (-5.52, 12.5%) avg line: 0.1 +6: 13-11-0 (54.2%) -6: 2-22-0 (8.3%) +10: 16-8-0 (66.7%) -10: 1-23-0 (4.2%) O/U: 9-14-1 (-2.83, 39.1%) avg total: 44.2 +6: 5-19-0 (20.8%) -6: 15-9-0 (62.5%) +10: 5-19-0 (20.8%) -10: 18-6-0 (75.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 21.8 86.1 40.8 23.9 249.2 2.5 3.5 5.2 3.5 5.3 17.9 Opp 30.8 127.1 32.2 19.3 229.5 1.6 5.3 5.9 4.5 7.7 23.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Steelers Eagles away -3.5 46.0

PLAY ON favs of 1-2 TD before their bye week (on GB)

H and -12 <= line <= -6 and n:week = 2 + week and date > 20010909
SU: 65-6-0 (16.15, 91.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 55-16-0 (7.82, 77.5%) avg line: -8.3 +6: 63-7-1 (90.0%) -6: 37-33-1 (52.9%) +10: 66-5-0 (93.0%) -10: 34-37-0 (47.9%) O/U: 36-33-2 (0.54, 52.2%) avg total: 43.3 +6: 18-52-1 (25.7%) -6: 51-19-1 (72.9%) +10: 9-62-0 (12.7%) -10: 60-11-0 (84.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 31.9 141.2 32.3 20.7 228.9 1.4 6.2 9.5 5.9 8.2 30.0 Opp 22.6 85.3 34.2 19.7 190.9 2.3 2.1 5.1 3.3 3.3 13.8
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Packers Lions home -7.5 47.5

UNDER big winning home team off a dog win and opponent not off a dog win (PHI/PIT under)

pW and 38 < total < 48.5 and H and WP > 72 and (opW) = False
SU: 103-54-0 (4.50, 65.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 77-75-5 (0.45, 50.7%) avg line: -4.1 +6: 108-45-4 (70.6%) -6: 49-106-2 (31.6%) +10: 125-31-1 (80.1%) -10: 40-117-0 (25.5%) O/U: 58-96-3 (-1.53, 37.7%) avg total: 43.2 +6: 35-120-2 (22.6%) -6: 90-61-6 (59.6%) +10: 24-131-2 (15.5%) -10: 119-35-3 (77.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.9 117.9 33.6 20.3 222.6 1.7 4.5 6.7 4.8 6.9 23.1 Opp 25.7 99.1 34.6 21.1 226.4 1.9 3.7 5.8 4.1 4.9 18.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Eagles Steelers home 3.5 46.0

OPPOSE dogs off two huge yardage games but allowing a lot of points (on NO)

6.34 >= tA(o:YPPL) >= 5.44 and D and 1057 >= p:TY + pp:TY >= 890 and pooints > 20
SU: 5-29-0 (-11.94, 14.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-27-0 (-7.18, 20.6%) avg line: 4.8 +6: 14-19-1 (42.4%) -6: 5-29-0 (14.7%) +10: 17-17-0 (50.0%) -10: 3-30-1 (9.1%) O/U: 23-9-2 (3.96, 71.9%) avg total: 47.8 +6: 17-16-1 (51.5%) -6: 28-6-0 (82.4%) +10: 11-23-0 (32.4%) -10: 31-3-0 (91.2%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.1 101.0 39.1 22.3 249.6 2.1 3.9 5.6 4.3 6.1 19.9 Opp 32.0 142.5 31.2 20.4 245.4 1.2 6.7 10.1 6.6 8.4 31.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2016 view Monday 3 2016 Falcons Saints away 3.0 53.5

PLAY ON away dogs in 2nd of b2b away games with same record as opponent (on NYJ, on SF) - note SF going from PST to EST to PST

AD and p:A and WP = o:WP and season >= 2005 and game number < 15 and pp:H and date < 20161001
SU: 32-35-0 (-1.33, 47.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 44-20-3 (3.08, 68.8%) avg line: 4.4 +6: 52-14-1 (78.8%) -6: 28-38-1 (42.4%) +10: 54-12-1 (81.8%) -10: 17-49-1 (25.8%) O/U: 37-27-3 (1.71, 57.8%) avg total: 44.2 +6: 26-39-2 (40.0%) -6: 46-21-0 (68.7%) +10: 19-45-3 (29.7%) -10: 51-16-0 (76.1%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.2 110.2 35.2 21.2 230.4 1.5 4.5 5.7 5.4 6.5 22.3 Opp 27.6 112.2 33.6 21.2 229.0 1.7 4.3 7.6 5.2 6.4 23.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Jets Chiefs away 3.0 42.5 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Fortyniners Seahawks away 9.5 40.0

OPPOSE home teams that are awful in first halves (on BAL, on NYJ, on LA)

H and 4 > line > -11.5 and tA(M2) <= -4.37 and season > 2007 and game number > 2 and points < 20
SU: 52-73-0 (-3.53, 41.6%) Teaser Records ATS: 35-90-0 (-4.24, 28.0%) avg line: -0.7 +6: 75-48-2 (61.0%) -6: 17-104-4 (14.0%) +10: 91-33-1 (73.4%) -10: 12-112-1 (9.7%) O/U: 56-65-4 (-0.44, 46.3%) avg total: 42.2 +6: 37-88-0 (29.6%) -6: 80-44-1 (64.5%) +10: 24-100-1 (19.4%) -10: 88-37-0 (70.4%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.7 118.8 34.0 20.2 215.3 1.7 3.8 6.0 3.8 5.3 19.1 Opp 29.9 131.6 30.7 18.5 197.8 1.3 4.2 6.2 5.0 7.0 22.6
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Buccaneers Rams home -5.0 42.0 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Chiefs Jets home -3.0 42.5 Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Jaguars Ravens home 1.0 47.0

UNDER dogs off a blowout win in a closely lined game (SD/INDY under)

34 >= p:margin >= 20 and -4 <= p:line <= 7 and (p:H and H) = False and 1 < line < 8.5
SU: 51-98-0 (-3.95, 34.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 76-68-5 (0.28, 52.8%) avg line: 4.2 +6: 107-42-0 (71.8%) -6: 40-103-6 (28.0%) +10: 122-26-1 (82.4%) -10: 30-118-1 (20.3%) O/U: 46-101-2 (-3.07, 31.3%) avg total: 42.1 +6: 30-118-1 (20.3%) -6: 82-65-2 (55.8%) +10: 24-125-0 (16.1%) -10: 102-43-4 (70.3%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.6 100.4 33.9 19.4 205.1 1.9 3.3 4.8 3.8 5.6 17.5 Opp 28.9 114.8 32.4 19.3 211.9 1.6 3.9 6.3 5.1 6.1 21.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Chargers Colts away 2.5 52.0

PLAY ON away team in 2nd of b2b away games after game with 10 less rushes than season average. (on SF)

A and p:A and tA(p:rushes) - p:rushes > 9.7 and season > 2007
SU: 47-19-0 (5.05, 71.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 51-15-0 (5.45, 77.3%) avg line: 0.4 +6: 56-8-2 (87.5%) -6: 31-32-3 (49.2%) +10: 58-8-0 (87.9%) -10: 20-46-0 (30.3%) O/U: 35-29-2 (0.42, 54.7%) avg total: 44.3 +6: 21-43-2 (32.8%) -6: 47-19-0 (71.2%) +10: 15-51-0 (22.7%) -10: 52-14-0 (78.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.0 124.2 33.5 20.7 235.5 1.4 5.3 7.9 5.1 6.4 24.9 Opp 23.2 96.0 36.8 21.9 225.7 1.6 4.0 6.6 4.2 5.1 19.9
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 25, 2016 view Sunday 3 2016 Fortyniners Seahawks away 9.5 40.0

PLAY ON Monday team off away win (on NO)

day = Monday and p:AW and season >= 2006 and p:line >= -5.5
SU: 35-11-0 (7.00, 76.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 31-13-2 (5.15, 70.5%) avg line: -1.8 +6: 37-9-0 (80.4%) -6: 21-22-3 (48.8%) +10: 38-8-0 (82.6%) -10: 18-27-1 (40.0%) O/U: 21-25-0 (-0.38, 45.7%) avg total: 45.4 +6: 16-29-1 (35.6%) -6: 29-17-0 (63.0%) +10: 11-35-0 (23.9%) -10: 31-13-2 (70.5%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.1 124.7 32.0 19.8 226.7 1.5 5.7 6.6 6.7 6.9 26.0 Opp 24.8 107.9 35.1 21.7 226.3 2.0 3.1 5.5 5.1 5.3 19.0
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 26, 2016 view Monday 3 2016 Falcons Saints away 3.0 53.5